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Turkey braces for hard times amid currency crisis, US spat

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Turkey braces for hard times amid currency crisis, US spat
News

News

Turkey braces for hard times amid currency crisis, US spat

2018-08-16 02:13 Last Updated At:02:20

Some Turks are reacting with defiance to their plunging currency and an escalating trade and political dispute with the United States — an indication that they are ready to endure economic pain and risk further deterioration in a key, yet troubled alliance dating from the Cold War.

"We don't like those who don't like us," said Rifat Tepe, an electronic goods seller in Istanbul who said he will heed a call by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to stop selling American electronic products.

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People walk past a Turkish flag on a mosque compound in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish government’s framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

Some Turks are reacting with defiance to their plunging currency and an escalating trade and political dispute with the United States — an indication that they are ready to endure economic pain and risk further deterioration in a key, yet troubled alliance dating from the Cold War.

People sit in a mosque in Istanbul before of prayers on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

While Turks who propelled Erdogan to election victory in June recognize they could face hardship, there is little domestic criticism of a leader who presided over years of debt-fueled growth that drew warnings of a looming bust and currency crisis. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan's pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country, but opposition voices have been mostly muted as Erdogan, who has concentrated power in a new presidential system of government, projects an image of a righteous state under siege.

Turkish flags are reflected in the window of a currency exchange shop, displaying current rates, in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Many economic crises in emerging market countries like Turkey follow periods of domestic support for governments that focus on electoral gains and avoid unpopular economic reforms, and pressure on the Turkish lira is likely to persist if Turkish authorities shun decisive action, said Nafez Zouk, an analyst at Oxford Economics. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

"I'm not looking for a new product anyway," he said. "I'm looking for something that's secondhand."

A worker at a currency exchange shop worker lays out Turkish lira banknotes depicting modern Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish lira has nosedived in value in the past week, but some Turks are reacting with defiance to their plunging currency and an escalating trade and political dispute with the United States, in an indication that they are ready to endure economic pain and risk further deterioration in a key yet troubled alliance dating from the Cold War. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

The lira, which has lost about 40 percent of its value this year, recovered a little on Wednesday after the Turkish government took steps to support it.

People walk past an advertising billboard for a smartphone in an upscale neighborhood in Istanbul, Turkey, on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Haydar Tastan, an Istanbul resident shopping for a cell phone, said a boycott of American goods could be a “great thing” but he wished there were alternatives. “I'm not looking for a new product anyway,” he said. “I'm looking for something that's secondhand.” (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

"It's not only one problem," he said. "Pastor Brunson is perhaps the tip of the iceberg."

People pray in a mosque in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish government’s framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters, even as fears grow that further falls of the Turkish lira could threaten bankruptcies among Turkish firms carrying high foreign currency debt. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

"Everyone has taken out the gold they've been hiding under their pillows," said jewelry shop owner Tuncay Lus. "The customer isn't buying anything right now. They're just selling. We don't have enough money" to buy all the gold.

Children play in a mosque before prayers in Istanbul, Turkey on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country, but opposition voices have been mostly muted as Erdogan, who has concentrated power in a new presidential system of government, projects an image of a righteous state under siege. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

Children play in a mosque before prayers in Istanbul, Turkey on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country, but opposition voices have been mostly muted as Erdogan, who has concentrated power in a new presidential system of government, projects an image of a righteous state under siege. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

Analysts question the effectiveness of any Turkish boycott of U.S. goods and view Turkey's tit-for-tat taxes — imposed Wednesday on American exports, including cars, tobacco and alcohol — as mostly symbolic because they have relatively little value to a global trade giant engaged in similar disputes with China and other major economies. But the Turkish government's framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters, even as fears grow that further falls of the Turkish lira could threaten bankruptcies among Turkish firms carrying high foreign currency debt.

People walk past a Turkish flag on a mosque compound in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish government’s framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

People walk past a Turkish flag on a mosque compound in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish government’s framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

While Turks who propelled Erdogan to election victory in June recognize they could face hardship, there is little domestic criticism of a leader who presided over years of debt-fueled growth that drew warnings of a looming bust and currency crisis. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan's pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country, but opposition voices have been mostly muted as Erdogan, who has concentrated power in a new presidential system of government, projects an image of a righteous state under siege.

"I think we should always use locally made products," said Gurcan Ulusum, another Istanbul electronics goods shop owner. "After the spike of the U.S. dollar, prices of foreign products have increased dramatically and the consumer has no purchasing power."

Haydar Tastan, an Istanbul resident shopping for a cell phone, said a boycott of American goods could be a "great thing" but he wished there were alternatives.

People sit in a mosque in Istanbul before of prayers on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

People sit in a mosque in Istanbul before of prayers on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

"I'm not looking for a new product anyway," he said. "I'm looking for something that's secondhand."

Cevdet Erdol, president of the Health Sciences University in Istanbul, urged Turks to boycott U.S. tobacco products and "to stop smoking altogether," according to Turkey's state-run Anadolu news agency. It said the southeastern Turkish city of Gaziantep has halted imports of American brands and products.

Many economic crises in emerging market countries like Turkey follow periods of domestic support for governments that focus on electoral gains and avoid unpopular economic reforms, and pressure on the Turkish lira is likely to persist if Turkish authorities shun decisive action, said Nafez Zouk, an analyst at Oxford Economics. Possible measures include an interest rate hike, capital controls, a reduction in spending and an easing of tensions between Turkey and the United States, which are NATO allies, he said.

Turkish flags are reflected in the window of a currency exchange shop, displaying current rates, in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Many economic crises in emerging market countries like Turkey follow periods of domestic support for governments that focus on electoral gains and avoid unpopular economic reforms, and pressure on the Turkish lira is likely to persist if Turkish authorities shun decisive action, said Nafez Zouk, an analyst at Oxford Economics. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

Turkish flags are reflected in the window of a currency exchange shop, displaying current rates, in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Many economic crises in emerging market countries like Turkey follow periods of domestic support for governments that focus on electoral gains and avoid unpopular economic reforms, and pressure on the Turkish lira is likely to persist if Turkish authorities shun decisive action, said Nafez Zouk, an analyst at Oxford Economics. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

The lira, which has lost about 40 percent of its value this year, recovered a little on Wednesday after the Turkish government took steps to support it.

Still, analysts expect the currency crisis to persist or even worsen, and the feud with the United States simmered as a Turkish court rejected an appeal for the release of Andrew Brunson, an American pastor being tried in Turkey on espionage and terrorism-related charges. Washington has imposed financial sanctions on two Turkish ministers and doubled steel and aluminum tariffs on Turkey as the Trump administration tries to secure the release of Brunson, who it says was framed.

The long relationship between Turkey and the United States was always "high maintenance" and often in "crisis management mode," said Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, director of the office of the German Marshall Fund in Ankara, the Turkish capital. Now, he said, the alliance between the two is "very vulnerable" because they have conflicting interests as well as different priorities, including in the Syrian war and over relations with Russia.

A worker at a currency exchange shop worker lays out Turkish lira banknotes depicting modern Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish lira has nosedived in value in the past week, but some Turks are reacting with defiance to their plunging currency and an escalating trade and political dispute with the United States, in an indication that they are ready to endure economic pain and risk further deterioration in a key yet troubled alliance dating from the Cold War. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

A worker at a currency exchange shop worker lays out Turkish lira banknotes depicting modern Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish lira has nosedived in value in the past week, but some Turks are reacting with defiance to their plunging currency and an escalating trade and political dispute with the United States, in an indication that they are ready to endure economic pain and risk further deterioration in a key yet troubled alliance dating from the Cold War. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

"It's not only one problem," he said. "Pastor Brunson is perhaps the tip of the iceberg."

One Ankara resident, Aydin Cavus, said consumer prices are "normal right now" while another shopper said inflation was hitting hard, reflecting mixed impressions about the looming impact of Turkey's financial challenges. Bar owner Burhan Coban said consumer and distributor prices for American whiskey are the same, for now, despite the currency plunges and the new Turkish tariffs. But, he said, a 20 percent or 30 percent increase would force him to take bourbon off the menu.

Some Turks have taken to selling their gold for extra cash as the crisis starts to bite.

People walk past an advertising billboard for a smartphone in an upscale neighborhood in Istanbul, Turkey, on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Haydar Tastan, an Istanbul resident shopping for a cell phone, said a boycott of American goods could be a “great thing” but he wished there were alternatives. “I'm not looking for a new product anyway,” he said. “I'm looking for something that's secondhand.” (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

People walk past an advertising billboard for a smartphone in an upscale neighborhood in Istanbul, Turkey, on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Haydar Tastan, an Istanbul resident shopping for a cell phone, said a boycott of American goods could be a “great thing” but he wished there were alternatives. “I'm not looking for a new product anyway,” he said. “I'm looking for something that's secondhand.” (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

"Everyone has taken out the gold they've been hiding under their pillows," said jewelry shop owner Tuncay Lus. "The customer isn't buying anything right now. They're just selling. We don't have enough money" to buy all the gold.

Associated Press writers Yagmur Cengiz in Istanbul, and Eren Guvendik and Suzan Fraser in Ankara, Turkey, contributed to this report.

Follow Christopher Torchia on Twitter at www.twitter.com/torchiachris

People pray in a mosque in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish government’s framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters, even as fears grow that further falls of the Turkish lira could threaten bankruptcies among Turkish firms carrying high foreign currency debt. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

People pray in a mosque in Istanbul, Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. The Turkish government’s framing of its problems as an epic battle for sovereignty against outside enemies, particularly U.S. President Donald Trump, resonates among core supporters, even as fears grow that further falls of the Turkish lira could threaten bankruptcies among Turkish firms carrying high foreign currency debt. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

Children play in a mosque before prayers in Istanbul, Turkey on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country, but opposition voices have been mostly muted as Erdogan, who has concentrated power in a new presidential system of government, projects an image of a righteous state under siege. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

Children play in a mosque before prayers in Istanbul, Turkey on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018. Turkey is deeply divided between Erdogan’s pious Muslim base and secular Turks who once held sway over the country, but opposition voices have been mostly muted as Erdogan, who has concentrated power in a new presidential system of government, projects an image of a righteous state under siege. (AP PhotoLefteris Pitarakis)

PARIS (AP) — French President Emmanuel Macron warned Thursday that Europe could die if it fails to build its own robust defense as Russia’s war in Ukraine rages on, or if it fails to undertake massive trade and economic reforms to compete with China and the U.S.

Macron urged Europeans to become more ambitious in a fast-changing world to face the challenges of war, fierce trade competition, energy scarcity, climate change and increasing authoritarianism.

In a nearly two-hour speech at the Paris’s Sorbonne University, Macron said the Continent is divided and “too slow and lacks ambition” at a time when the 27-member European Union needs to become a superpower, defend its own borders and speak with one voice if it wants to survive and thrive.

“Our Europe today is mortal,” Macron said. “It can die and that depends solely on our choices,” he added. He called on people to make those choices now because, “it’s today that Europe is between war and peace.”

Russia's aggression in Ukraine, now in its third year, is an existential threat and Europe is not armed enough to defend itself when “confronted by a power like Russia that has no inhibitions, no limits,” Macron said.

‘Our ability to ensure our security is at stake," Macron said. “Russia mustn’t be allowed to win.”

France has been an firm supporter of Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression, and Macron has often clashed with other Western leaders as he has insisted that Europe must stand by the country at any cost. Last month, the French president alarmed European leaders by saying that sending Western troops into Ukraine to shore up its defenses shouldn’t be ruled out.

Referring to trade practices of China and the U.S., Macron said “the two world powers have decided not to respect the rules of global trade” by shoring up protections and subsides while Europe’s industry remains open and is stuck in overregulation.

“Let’s do the same, we are in competition,” Macron said.

Thursday's speech comes ahead of pivotal European Parliament elections.

Macron, a avid advocate of a united and assertive Europe, also rallied support for his centrist Renaissance party ahead of the June 6-9 vote as far-right parties lead the moderate coalitions in the polls. He called for safeguarding the democratic values as the “authoritarian model” that he said was become “more popular” across the Continent.

The French president lost his majority in France’s most influential house of parliament, the National Assembly, after the 2022 election to the far-left coalition and the far-right National Rally party.

The social situation in France remains tense as Paris prepares to host the Olympic Games this summer, amid protests from teachers, police officers, and farmers in recent weeks. The protests follow huge demonstrations last year against Macron’s ultimately successful proposal to rise the retirement age.

Surk reported from Nice, France. AP correspondent Lorne Cook in Brussels contributed.

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron arrives to deliver a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron arrives to deliver a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech on Europe in the amphitheater of the Sorbonne University, Thursday, April 25 in Paris. 2024. French President Emmanuel Macron will outline his vision for Europe as a more assertive global power at the backdrop of war in Ukraine, security, and economic challenges in a speech ahead of pivotal election for the European Parliament in June. (Christophe Petit Tesson, Pool via AP)

French President Emmanuel Macron speaks during a media conference at an EU summit in Brussels, Thursday, April 18, 2024. European Union leaders on Wednesday debated a new "European Competitiveness Deal" aimed at helping the 27-nation bloc close the gap with Chinese and American rivals amid fears the region's industries will otherwise be left behind for good. (AP Photo/Omar Havana)

French President Emmanuel Macron speaks during a media conference at an EU summit in Brussels, Thursday, April 18, 2024. European Union leaders on Wednesday debated a new "European Competitiveness Deal" aimed at helping the 27-nation bloc close the gap with Chinese and American rivals amid fears the region's industries will otherwise be left behind for good. (AP Photo/Omar Havana)

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