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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Washington state for the Nov. 4 election

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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Washington state for the Nov. 4 election
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News

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Washington state for the Nov. 4 election

2025-10-28 08:03 Last Updated At:08:10

WASHINGTON (AP) — Washington state voters will decide whether to amend their constitution to allow funds from a long-term care insurance program to be invested in the stock market. It is the only statewide contest in a Nov. 4 election that will mostly feature mayoral and other municipal races across the state.

The proposed constitutional amendment, known as Senate Joint Resolution 8201, will shape the future of the WA Cares Fund, which the state Legislature created in 2019 to help participants defray the costs of certain long-term care services. Washington taxpayers fund the program though a 0.58% payroll tax, which began in July 2023. As of June 30, the fund had a balance of $2.5 billion.

Supporters of the proposal say that harnessing the growth potential from stock investments would secure the fund’s long-term stability. Opponents argue that private investments offer no guarantees and that market volatility could shrink the fund and result in reduced benefits or higher taxes. Stocks tumbled in April following President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariffs but rebounded by the summer.

This will be the second time in five years that this issue will appear on the ballot. About 54% of Washington voters rejected a similar ballot measure in Nov. 2020, compared to about 46% who voted in favor.

The state constitution generally bans the investment of public funds in private stocks and equities, but voters have approved several exemptions in the past, including for public pensions and retirement funds, workers’ compensation funds and a fund for individuals with developmental disabilities. Those funds are managed by the nonpartisan Washington State Investment Board, which would also oversee the WA Cares Fund if the ballot measure passes.

Since 1966, Washington voters have considered at least 10 proposed constitutional amendments to exempt certain funds from the ban on investing public funds in stocks and equities. Five of those measures passed, most recently in 2007.

Only three of Washington’s 39 counties voted in favor of the failed 2020 measure: King and Whatcom, where it received more than 58% of the vote, and Jefferson, where it received about 52%. King is home to Seattle and is the state’s most populous county. Pierce and Snohomish counties, the state’s second and third most populous located just to the north and south of King, both overwhelmingly rejected the proposal with nearly 60% of voters voting against.

In the 2024 general election, voters rejected a proposal that would have allowed workers to opt out of WA Cares, which would have hobbled the program.

The Associated Press does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it’s determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

Machine recounts in Washington state are automatic if the vote margin between the top two candidates is less than 2,000 votes and less than 0.5% of the total votes cast for both candidates. Manual recounts are required for statewide contests if the margin is less than 1,000 votes and less 0.25% of the total votes cast for both candidates. The AP may declare a winner in a race that is eligible for a recount if it can determine the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome.

Here’s a look at what to expect on Nov. 4:

Polls close at 11 p.m. ET.

The AP will provide vote results and declare a winner in the statewide ballot measure. Other elections will be held across the state, including mayoral and municipal elections in Seattle and a handful of state legislative districts, but those contests will not be included in the AP’s vote tabulation.

Any registered voter in Washington state may cast a ballot on the proposed constitutional amendment.

There were about 5.1 million active registered voters in Washington state as of Oct. 1. Voters do not register by party.

Roughly 79% of registered voters cast valid ballots in the 2024 general election. Washington state conducts its elections almost entirely by mail. About 66% of voters delivered their ballots via drop box, 33% sent their ballots by mail and the remainder, less than 1%, used other methods, such as in-person voting.

In the 2021 general election, only about 39% of registered voters cast valid ballots. About 56% of voters used drop boxes, 43% sent their ballots by mail and 0.3% used other methods.

As of Thursday, about 244,000 absentee ballots had been received and accepted before Election Day. See the AP Early Vote Tracker for the latest update.

In the 2024 presidential election in Washington state, the AP first reported results at 11:07 p.m. ET, or seven minutes after polls closed. The election night tabulation ended just after midnight at 12:07 a.m. ET with about 66% of total votes counted. It took about three weeks for all counties to finish counting votes.

As of Nov. 4, there will be 364 days until the 2026 midterm elections and 1,099 days until the 2028 general election.

Follow the AP’s coverage of the 2025 election at https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2025/.

FILE - A voter poses for a photo as they place their ballot in a drop box on Election Day, Nov. 5, 2024, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson, File)

FILE - A voter poses for a photo as they place their ballot in a drop box on Election Day, Nov. 5, 2024, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson, File)

Dan Quinn’s Washington Commanders showed more fight after a late 2-point conversion by the Philadelphia Eagles than they have during many plays and games in this 4-11 season filled with lopsided losses.

All of those punches, and all of that pushing and shoving, did nothing to change the result Saturday night — Washington allowed Philadelphia to win 29-18 and clinch a second consecutive NFC East title — but could make things interesting when these division rivals meet again in Week 18.

“If that’s how they want to get down, all good,” Quinn said when asked whether Eagles coach Nick Sirianni's choice to try to add on those two points instead of kicking for one was disrespectful. “We’ll play them again in two weeks.”

Well, then.

Far too often, that sort of attitude has been missing from Washington's on-field makeup. Sure, injury after injury has taken a toll on the roster — and no health issues have been more disruptive or concerning than those that limited star quarterback Jayden Daniels to seven games before he was shut down for the season — but too often, the Commanders have failed to even be competitive.

Whether falling behind by 18 or 19 on Saturday with about 4 1/2 minutes left would have made a difference, a lot of the same themes arise week after week in lopsided games, particularly when it comes to a defense that can't really seem to stop anyone.

Washington actually was in this one for a half and led 10-7 at the break.

“The energy was there today. The focus was there. The preparation was there,” Commanders receiver Terry McLaurin said. “We liked where we were going into halftime.”

But as Quinn noted, that sort of energy “has to be for the whole time.”

Instead, Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley and the rest of the Eagles took over in the second half.

The last time these two teams played, a berth in the Super Bowl was at stake in the NFC title game. The Eagles, of course, won that one, too, on their way to becoming NFL champions.

This Commanders squad is a far cry from last season's.

CB Mike Sainristil is a turnover machine. Washington only has nine takeaways all season — only the New York Jets, with three, have fewer — and Sainristil is responsible for more than half of those. He has a team-leading four interceptions and added to his total by forcing a fumble by Philadelphia's Will Shipley on the opening kickoff Saturday. Teammate Kain Medrano recovered the ball at Philadelphia's 26, and the Commanders ended up with a field goal for an early lead.

What doesn't? The biggest problem remains the defense, though. Barkley's 12-yard TD run in the fourth quarter, in which he broke at least four tackles, was emblematic of Washington's problems on that side of the ball.

It's truly hard to find anyone or anything that is a positive at this point in the season. There are so many injuries, so many poor performances, so many reasons to be thinking about needs for general manager Adam Peters to address in the next draft and free agency.

Some players' composure. That brawl in the fourth quarter really was unnecessary, and resulted in the ejections of defensive lineman Javon Kinlaw and safety Quan Martin. The league surely will hand out some additional punishments. Right after the game, Quinn lingered on the field for a bit just to make sure there weren't going to be any more confrontations. "Just wanted to make sure anything didn’t go sideways," he explained.

With Daniels' season already done, Marcus Mariota was supposed to start at QB the rest of the way. But Mariota left in the third quarter after injuring his throwing hand, leaving third-stringer Josh Johnson under center. ... WR Jaylin Lane left Saturday with an ankle injury, LT Brandon Coleman — who started in place of Laremy Tunsil (oblique) hurt his shin, and RG Sam Cosmi and DT Johnny Newton were evaluated for concussions.

4 — The number of passes Saturday it took for Johnson to throw an interception.

On Thursday, Washington plays a game that truly means nothing to the Commanders, their opponents — the Dallas Cowboys — or anyone else, really. Both Washington and Dallas have been eliminated from playoff contention.

AP NFL: https://apnews.com/hub/NFL

Washington Commanders quarterback Josh Johnson looks to pass the ball against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of an NFL football game, Saturday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)

Washington Commanders quarterback Josh Johnson looks to pass the ball against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of an NFL football game, Saturday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)

Washington Commanders quarterback Marcus Mariota (8) and Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) talk after an NFL football game, Thursday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

Washington Commanders quarterback Marcus Mariota (8) and Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) talk after an NFL football game, Thursday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

Washington Commanders head coach Dan Quinn talks to the media during a news conference following an NFL football game against the Philadelphia Eagles, Saturday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

Washington Commanders head coach Dan Quinn talks to the media during a news conference following an NFL football game against the Philadelphia Eagles, Saturday, Dec. 20, 2025, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

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