Corbin Carroll's 3 extra-base hits lead the Diamondbacks to a 7-2 win over the Mets

NEW YORK (AP) — Corbin Carroll had three extra-base hits in his 500th career game Wednesday, including a two-run double during a four-run second inning that sent the Arizona Diamondbacks to a 7-2 win over the New York Mets.

Carroll also doubled in the first and tripled in the seventh — his major league-leading 44th triple since 2023. Right fielder Brett Baty robbed Carroll of another potential hit with a sliding catch in the fifth before snaring his 100.3 mph liner to end the eighth.

Ketel Marte had an RBI single for Arizona, and Gabriel Moreno and Geraldo Perdomo each delivered a sacrifice fly. Jorge Barrosa added insurance with a two-run double in the eighth.

Ildemaro Vargas had three singles as Arizona tied a season high with 11 hits.

Ryne Nelson (1-0) allowed one run and struck out five in 5 2/3 innings. The win was the first since Aug. 27 for Nelson, who recorded a 3.05 ERA over seven starts during the drought.

Baty ended Nelson’s shutout bid with a run-scoring single in the sixth, and Mark Vientos had a sacrifice fly in the eighth. The Mets, whose four-game winning streak ended, were 2 for 15 with runners on and stranded eight overall.

David Peterson (0-2) permitted five runs in five innings. The left-hander, who made the NL All-Star team last year, has a 6.14 ERA this season and a 7.83 ERA in his last 12 starts dating to Aug. 6.

For the second straight day, the game began at 4:10 p.m., three hours earlier than originally scheduled due to a cold and windy forecast. The temperature at first pitch was 48 degrees.

Diamondbacks LHP Eduardo Rodríguez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) faces Mets RHP Nolan McLean (1-0, 2.61) in the series finale Thursday night.

AP MLB: https://apnews.com/hub/mlb

New York Mets' Bo Bichette (19) bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Wednesday, April 8, 2026, in New York. (AP Photo/Angelina Katsanis)

New York Mets pitcher David Peterson (23) pitches during the first inning of a baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Wednesday, April 8, 2026, in New York. (AP Photo/Angelina Katsanis)

Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Ryne Nelson (19) throws during the second inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Wednesday, April 8, 2026, in New York. (AP Photo/Angelina Katsanis)

Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll (7) triples during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Wednesday, April 8, 2026, in New York. (AP Photo/Angelina Katsanis)

Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll (7) loses his helmet as he runs to third base on a triple during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Wednesday, April 8, 2026, in New York. (AP Photo/Angelina Katsanis)

NEW YORK (AP) — A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the U.S. and Iran would reach a ceasefire on April 7, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers.

These bets were made even though, in the hours before a two-week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, President Donald Trump’s rhetoric had escalated sharply and there were few signals that a ceasefire deal was imminent. Early in the day Trump had issued a warning on social media that “a whole civilization will die tonight” if Iran did not meet his demand to open the Strait of Hormuz by his 8 p.m. ET deadline.

An analysis of publicly available blockchain data from Polymarket, using the crypto analytics platform Dune, shows that at least 50 accounts, or wallets, placed substantial “Yes” bets Tuesday before Trump announced the ceasefire in a Truth Social post at around 6:30 pm ET. These were the first bets made by these particular wallets.

One of these wallets, created Tuesday around 10 am ET, placed roughly $72,000 in bets at an average price of 8.8 cents. The buy-in for each betting event ranges from $0 to $1 each, reflecting a 0% to 100% chance of what users think could happen. This Polymarket user then cashed out for a profit of $200,000.

Another, which joined the platform on April 6 and traded on this exact event, shows a win of $125,500.

Another wallet, created 12 minutes before Trump’s post, made $31,908 of “Yes” bets at 33.7 cents, and is estimated to have earned a profit of $48,500. The higher price for “Yes” at that time may have reflected the efforts late Tuesday by the government of Pakistan to get Trump to extend his deadline by two weeks.

There is also the possibility that these individual Polymarket users placed their bets expecting Trump to back down, given his habit during his second term to make bold threats only to retreat — a phenomenon his critics have derided as “Trump Always Chickens Out,” or TACO.

While some users took handsome profits, others must wait for payouts because Polymarket has labeled the April 7 Iran-U.S. ceasefire contract as “disputed,” given that Iran was still placing restrictions on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and missile attacks in the region continued. That dispute could take 48 hours to resolve.

Public blockchain data cannot identify who controls the new wallets. Polymarket uses proxy smart contract wallets, meaning a single user can create multiple accounts. Only Polymarket has the internal data needed to determine whether these were new users or existing users opening additional accounts.

Polymarket did not respond to a request for comment.

Rep. Blake Moore, R-Utah, who has introduced legislation to regulate prediction markets, released a statement Wednesday saying: “It’s highly unlikely that these are good-faith trades; it’s much more likely that these are insiders with access to information ahead of the public. Without some kind of restrictions, there is nothing stopping government or military officials from profiting from their positions.”

The trading pattern of newly created Polymarket accounts placing strategic, well-timed bets mirrors earlier episodes on the platform. Newly created accounts placed large wagers hours before the January capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and made hundreds of thousands of dollars in profit. Similar clusters of accounts have also repeatedly profited from well-timed bets on military actions involving Iran.

Such bets have repeatedly raised questions from the public as well as members of Congress about whether some traders are using inside information to profit in these prediction markets. Bipartisan groups of senators as well as representatives have introduced legislation that would broaden the definition of insider trading to include prediction markets.

Even the two biggest platforms in the industry, Kalshi and Polymarket, have said they see a need to broaden the definition of insider trading on their platforms.

“This is why these markets need regulation,” said Todd Philips, a professor at Georgia State University who has written on prediction markets and the industry’s regulations. “We can’t have people trading with inside information and expect other traders are going to be OK being in these markets.”

Keller reported from Albuquerque, N.M.

A government supporter chants slogans during a gathering after the announcement of a two-week ceasefire with the United States and Israel in Tehran, Iran, Wednesday, April 8, 2026. (AP Photo/Francisco Seco)