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Against the odds at the World Cup, New Zealand is a win away from its first knockout berth

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Against the odds at the World Cup, New Zealand is a win away from its first knockout berth
Sport

Sport

Against the odds at the World Cup, New Zealand is a win away from its first knockout berth

2026-06-26 09:15 Last Updated At:09:31

VANCOUVER, British Columbia (AP) — There are several World Cup teams ranked higher than New Zealand entering their final group-stage matches without any hope of advancing to the round of 32.

“That’s not us,” New Zealand coach Darren Bazeley said Thursday ahead of his team's match against Belgium on Friday. “We’re now in a game where we win, we go through.”

That scenario seemed unthinkable when the All Whites, among the lowest-ranked teams in the this year's World Cup, were drawn into Group G with Belgium, Egypt and Iran.

But thanks to the expanded 48-team format and a group that has veered off script, New Zealand is one win away from advancing out of the group stage for the first time.

“It never works out like you expect it to,” Bazeley said. “Football doesn’t.”

A win against Belgium could push New Zealand into second place in Group G — and therefore the knockout rounds — if Egypt and Iran play to a draw in a match that will be played simultaneously on Friday.

Anything less than a win for New Zealand against Belgium would strip the All Whites of a shot at advancing out of the group stage.

“It’s pretty black and white for us now, which is quite a nice thing,” Bazeley said.

New Zealand, currently 84th in FIFA rankings, has one point from its opening draw against No. 21 Iran. The All Whites led No. 27 Egypt 1-0 at halftime before losing 3-1.

“What we did with Egypt in the first half,” Bazeley said, “I think has shown some people that maybe the rankings don’t necessarily count.”

Getting a win against No. 10-ranked Belgium will not be easy, despite that Belgium drew against both Egypt and Iran. Belgium has one of the sport’s most potent players, veteran midfielder Kevin De Bruyne, and other young stars such as winger Jérémy Doku, who will be making his return after missing the Iran match for the birth of his first child.

“In this game, we need to be flawless,” Bazeley said. “We can’t make a mistake. There are too many world-class players on the pitch.”

In New Zealand’s last World Cup appearance in 2010, the All Whites played to a draw in all of its group-stage matches. They were the only team to go undefeated at that World Cup to not advance to the knockout rounds.

Belgium has not missed a World Cup tournament during New Zealand’s 16-year absence, finishing third overall in 2018.

“The goal was to get out of the group,” Bazeley said. “That’s still the goal. We still believe that’s possible and that we’ve created this opportunity.”

Drew Renner is a student in the University of Georgia’s Carmical Sports Media Institute

See more of AP’s World Cup coverage here

Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne (7), left, fights for the ball with Iran's Milad Mohammadi (5)during the World Cup Group G soccer match between Belgium and Iran in Inglewood, Calif., near Los Angeles, Sunday, June 21, 2026. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne (7), left, fights for the ball with Iran's Milad Mohammadi (5)during the World Cup Group G soccer match between Belgium and Iran in Inglewood, Calif., near Los Angeles, Sunday, June 21, 2026. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

New Zealand head coach Darren Bazeley, left, and Liberato Cacace, right, attend a news conference on the eve of the team's World Cup soccer match against Belgium, Thursday, June 25, 2026, in Vancouver, British Columbia. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

New Zealand head coach Darren Bazeley, left, and Liberato Cacace, right, attend a news conference on the eve of the team's World Cup soccer match against Belgium, Thursday, June 25, 2026, in Vancouver, British Columbia. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

New Zealand head coach Darren Bazeley talks during a news conference on the eve of the team's World Cup soccer match against Belgium, Thursday, June 25, 2026, in Vancouver, British Columbia. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

New Zealand head coach Darren Bazeley talks during a news conference on the eve of the team's World Cup soccer match against Belgium, Thursday, June 25, 2026, in Vancouver, British Columbia. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

The United States plays its final World Cup group-stage match having already won Group D, with Christian Pulisic hoping to return against winless Turkey. The other Group D match pits Paraguay against Australia. Meanwhile, Ecuador faced Germany and Curaçao met Ivory Coast in Group E, while the Netherlands faced Tunisia and Japan took on Sweden in wide-open Group F.

This is a photo gallery curated by AP photo editors.

Netherlands' Virgil van Dijk, left, vies for the ball with Tunisia's Elias Achouri during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Netherlands' Virgil van Dijk, left, vies for the ball with Tunisia's Elias Achouri during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Japan's Daizen Maeda (11) scores his team's first goal as Sweden's Alexander Bernhardsson (21) watches during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)

Japan's Daizen Maeda (11) scores his team's first goal as Sweden's Alexander Bernhardsson (21) watches during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)

Netherlands' Memphis Depay tries to reach the ball in front of Tunisia's Mohamed Hadj Mahmoud, right, during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Netherlands' Memphis Depay tries to reach the ball in front of Tunisia's Mohamed Hadj Mahmoud, right, during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Referee Katia Itzel Garcia of Mexico talks with Netherlands' Teun Koopmeiners (20) during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Referee Katia Itzel Garcia of Mexico talks with Netherlands' Teun Koopmeiners (20) during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Japan's Daizen Maeda (11) scores their opening goal during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Japan's Daizen Maeda (11) scores their opening goal during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Japan goalkeeper Zion Suzuki makes a save during the World Cup Group F soccer match against Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Japan goalkeeper Zion Suzuki makes a save during the World Cup Group F soccer match against Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Tunisia goalkeeper Mouhib Chamakh (1) punches the ball over Netherlands' Brian Brobbey (19) and Tunisia's Anis Slimane (25) during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Tunisia goalkeeper Mouhib Chamakh (1) punches the ball over Netherlands' Brian Brobbey (19) and Tunisia's Anis Slimane (25) during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Tunisia and the Netherlands in Kansas City, Mo., Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Sweden's Anthony Elanga (11) attempts to control the ball during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)

Sweden's Anthony Elanga (11) attempts to control the ball during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)

Japan's Yukinari Sugawara, front, and Sweden's Elliot Stroud battle for the ball during the World Cup Group F soccer match in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Japan's Yukinari Sugawara, front, and Sweden's Elliot Stroud battle for the ball during the World Cup Group F soccer match in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Sweden goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterstrom (1) dives to make a save during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)

Sweden goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterstrom (1) dives to make a save during the World Cup Group F soccer match between Japan and Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)

Sweden's Anthony Elanga, left, and Japan's Ao Tanaka battle for the ball during the World Cup Group F soccer match in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Sweden's Anthony Elanga, left, and Japan's Ao Tanaka battle for the ball during the World Cup Group F soccer match in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

A fan of Japan waits for the beginning of the World Cup Group F soccer match against Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

A fan of Japan waits for the beginning of the World Cup Group F soccer match against Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Fans of Japan wait for the beginning of the World Cup Group F soccer match against Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Fans of Japan wait for the beginning of the World Cup Group F soccer match against Sweden in Arlington, Texas, near Dallas, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Curaçao's Sontje Hansen (12) and Curaçao's Arjany Martha (15) react after the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Curaçao's Sontje Hansen (12) and Curaçao's Arjany Martha (15) react after the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Ecuador's Moises Caicedo, right, celebrates at the end of the World Cup Group E soccer match against Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Moises Caicedo, right, celebrates at the end of the World Cup Group E soccer match against Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ivory Coast goalkeeper Yahia Fofana (1) makes a save in front of Curaçao's Livano Comenencia (8) and Ivory Coast's Christopher Operi (13) during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Ivory Coast goalkeeper Yahia Fofana (1) makes a save in front of Curaçao's Livano Comenencia (8) and Ivory Coast's Christopher Operi (13) during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Curaçao's Sherel Floranus (5) tackles Ivory Coast's Amad Diallo (15) during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Curaçao's Sherel Floranus (5) tackles Ivory Coast's Amad Diallo (15) during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Ecuador's Kevin Rodriguez, left, and Germany's Malick Thiaw battle for the ball during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Kevin Rodriguez, left, and Germany's Malick Thiaw battle for the ball during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata (19) celebrates his go-ahead goal during the World Cup Group E soccer match against Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata (19) celebrates his go-ahead goal during the World Cup Group E soccer match against Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata (19) celebrates scoring his side's second goal against Germany during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata (19) celebrates scoring his side's second goal against Germany during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata, center right, celebrates scoring his side's second goal against Germany during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata, center right, celebrates scoring his side's second goal against Germany during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata (19) celebrates scoring his side's second goal against Germany during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ecuador's Gonzalo Plata (19) celebrates scoring his side's second goal against Germany during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Ivory Coast soccer fans ahead the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

Ivory Coast soccer fans ahead the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

Ivory Coast's Nicolas Pepe (19) celebrates after scoring during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Ivory Coast's Nicolas Pepe (19) celebrates after scoring during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Ivory Coast's Nicolas Pepe (19) scores his side's opening goal during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Ivory Coast's Nicolas Pepe (19) scores his side's opening goal during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Ivory Coast's Nicolas Pepe (19) receives the ball during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Ivory Coast's Nicolas Pepe (19) receives the ball during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Curacao fans cheer before the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Curacao fans cheer before the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Ivory Coast goalkeeper Yahia Fofana (1) saves during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Ivory Coast goalkeeper Yahia Fofana (1) saves during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Curacao and Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek)

Ecuador's Nilson Angulo (20) celebrates his goal with John Yeboah (9)during the World Cup Group E soccer match against Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Ecuador's Nilson Angulo (20) celebrates his goal with John Yeboah (9)during the World Cup Group E soccer match against Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Ecuador's Nilson Angulo (20) maneuvers to score against Germany's Aleksandar Pavlovic (5) during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Ecuador's Nilson Angulo (20) maneuvers to score against Germany's Aleksandar Pavlovic (5) during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Fans of Germany cheer during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Germany and Ecuador in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Fans of Germany cheer during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Germany and Ecuador in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Germany's Aleksandar Pavlovic (5), top left, and Ecuador's Pedro Vite battle for the ball during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Germany's Aleksandar Pavlovic (5), top left, and Ecuador's Pedro Vite battle for the ball during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Ecuador's Nilson Angulo celebrates scoring his side's first goal during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Ecuador and Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Ecuador's Nilson Angulo celebrates scoring his side's first goal during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Ecuador and Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Fans cheer prior to the World Cup Group E soccer match between Ecuador and Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Fans cheer prior to the World Cup Group E soccer match between Ecuador and Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Germany goalkeeper Manuel Neuer (1) is scored on by Ecuador's Nilson Angulo (20) during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Ecuador and Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Germany goalkeeper Manuel Neuer (1) is scored on by Ecuador's Nilson Angulo (20) during the World Cup Group E soccer match between Ecuador and Germany in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

Germany's Leroy Sane celebrates scoring his side's first goal against Ecuador during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Germany's Leroy Sane celebrates scoring his side's first goal against Ecuador during the World Cup Group E soccer match in East Rutherford, N.J., near New York, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

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