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A look at France’s public debt as economy takes center stage in French election

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A look at France’s public debt as economy takes center stage in French election
News

News

A look at France’s public debt as economy takes center stage in French election

2026-10-01 14:19 Last Updated At:14:30

PARIS (AP) — France’s public debt has climbed to a record during the two terms of President Emmanuel Macron, unsettling investors and emerging as a defining issue ahead of next year’s presidential election.

With France already gripped by deep social tensions, the candidates vying to succeed Macron are under pressure to explain how they would bring the debt under control. It now stands at 119% of gross domestic product, leaving the country’s strained public finances likely to dominate the campaign.

Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, who is to unveil the 2027 draft budget on Thursday, wants his government to reduce the country’s deficit by cutting public spending. That idea has drawn widespread criticism across the political spectrum.

One idea to fix the debt has been particularly scrutinized. The radical-left presidential candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon has proposed canceling French government bonds held by the European Central Bank to unlock money for public spending, claiming it would free up funds for investment. Others on the right argue that Melenchon’s proposal is unrealistic, with far-right leader Marine Le Pen calling for reforms to “clean up” public finances.

“Freezing this debt means transforming it into perpetual debt — that is, debt with no repayment deadline and a low or zero interest rate," Melenchon said. "Freezing it is therefore effectively the same as canceling it.”

ECB President Christine Lagarde says Melenchon's idea would be a “pure violation” of the EU treaty, which bans central bank financing of national governments.

Lagarde insisted that if the country freezes its debt now, the next time it seeks to borrow, creditors could demand exorbitant terms or flat-out say no.

“It’s not because you repeat something that doesn’t make any sense -- either legally, technically, or financially -- that it becomes something valid,” she said during a Sept. 10 news conference.

Here is a look at France's public debt and how it affects the second-largest economy in Europe.

France remains a major industrial power and has the world’s seventh-largest economy. But at the end of June, its public debt stood at 3.596 trillion euros ($4.08 trillion), equivalent to 119% of GDP, according to figures released this week by France’s National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies.

It stood at 97.9% of GDP in 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic.

France is hardly alone in loading up on debt in recent years. At the end of the first quarter of 2026, the general government gross debt to GDP ratio in the euro area stood at 88.9%, according to data from Eurostat, the official statistical office of the European Union.

France's debt pile is smaller than Greece’s, which was 143.5% of GDP, and Italy’s (138.9%). It’s also lower than the U.S.’s 122.6%. France, however, lacks the U.S. advantage of having the world’s dominant reserve currency, which supports Washington’s ability to borrow.

Every year, France prepares a budget. These resources mainly come from taxes and levies paid by individuals and businesses. Expenditure is the money used to finance public services such as education, the justice system, or policing. For the past 50 years, expenditure has exceeded revenue, resulting in a budget deficit. To finance this gap and continue funding public services, France takes out loans. The total value of these loans constitutes public debt. Deficits matter because investors demand more in return when they lend the government money.

France last balanced its budget in 1973, while maintaining a generous welfare state with strong worker protections. For years, accumulated debt was high — over 90% of annual gross domestic product from 2008 on — but manageable due to steady growth and years of near-zero interest rates.

Then came the pandemic, followed by an energy crisis after Russia cut off most natural gas supplies following its 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The French government spent heavily on subsidies to keep businesses afloat and shield people from higher energy costs. Globally, interest rates suddenly moved higher. Debt in France jumped from 98% of GDP in pre-pandemic year 2019 to 114% in 2020.

As public debt increases, the French state also increases its expenditure. Debt service is a significant item of expenditure, accounting for around 7% of the state budget. With interest rates much higher these days, interest costs are expected to reach 77 billion euros a year, money that is not available for spending on schools, pensions or healthcare.

The credit rating agency Scope downgraded France’s long-term ratings in September.

“A sustained deterioration in the fiscal outlook, characterized by rising general government debt, persistently high fiscal deficits and limited progress on structural reforms drive the downgrade,” the agency said in September.

Despite the widening fiscal deficit and rising public debt, Fitch Ratings in August said it is maintaining France’s sovereign credit rating at “A+” with a stable outlook.

“France’s ratings are supported by its large, diversified high-income economy, a sound banking sector and a diverse investor base,” it said.

According to France's economy ministry, French debt is held by a wide variety of investors.

The debt is held by insurers, banks, central banks, and pension funds in countries where retirement is based on funded pension systems.

French president Emmanuel Macron waves to the media before a meeting at the Roots of Europe for Peace and Unity with Pope Leo XIV, Monday, Sept. 28, 2026, in Metz. (AP Photo/Antonin Utz)

French president Emmanuel Macron waves to the media before a meeting at the Roots of Europe for Peace and Unity with Pope Leo XIV, Monday, Sept. 28, 2026, in Metz. (AP Photo/Antonin Utz)

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) — Arike Ogunbowale was standing near Paige Bueckers waiting for the star guard to make a move on her dribble with the Dallas Wings trailing by three as the final seconds of regulation — and their season — ticked away.

Bueckers waved toward her backcourt mate, but she wasn't telling Ogunbowale to get out of the way. She was telling her to get open.

After all, Bueckers knew who the hot hand was — and it wasn't the 2025 No. 1 overall pick and Rookie of the Year who is in her first playoff series.

Ogunbowale took a pass from Bueckers on the left baseline, dribbled toward the corner and hit an off-balance corner 3-pointer, sending the game to overtime and her on the way to a WNBA playoff-record 45 points as the Wings won a thriller 108-100 on Wednesday night, forcing a Game 3 in their first-round series.

The deciding game will be Friday night in San Francisco, where the Valkyries won the series opener by 24 points.

Golden State is trying to advance in the playoffs for the first time in the franchise’s second season. The Wings are trying to reach the semifinals for the second time in six postseason appearances since moving to the Dallas area in 2016.

Ogunbowale opened the extra period of Game 2 by banking in a 3, then hit another one to put Dallas ahead for good at 103-100 with 1:46 remaining. The four-time All-Star easily topped her previous playoff best of 24 points after scoring 10 points on just seven shots in the series opener.

“We felt like we got pushed around out there when we played in San Francisco and especially me personally I don’t feel like I was aggressive,” said Ogunbowale, who was 5 of 8 from beyond the arc, 12 of 23 overall and 16 of 18 on free throws. “I didn’t know what I would score. I was going to shoot regardless because I just feel like seven shots isn’t enough to win playoffs and I have to be aggressive whether it’s going in or not.”

Bueckers, who scored 10 points, was mired in a 3-for-13 shooting night that included an air ball on a 3-pointer with the Wings trailing by three in the final two minutes of regulation. But she assisted on Ogunbowale's tying 3, and again on a the banked 3 to start OT. Bueckers had four assists.

“For us to do what we did today without Paige having the type of game that she always has offensively for us, to come out with a win is huge,” Wings coach Jose Fernandez said. “We had other people step up.”

Ogunbowale's shot for a 93-93 tie with 4.1 seconds left in regulation of Game 2 was followed by Gabby Williams getting called for an offensive foul on the inbound play after a Golden State timeout.

That call was reversed on replay, so instead of Aziaha James having a chance to give Dallas the lead at the free-throw line, there was a jump ball at center court with 3.0 seconds to go. After a scramble for the loose ball, Golden State's desperation shot was way off target, and after the buzzer.

Williams scored a career-high 36 points, regular season or playoffs, but missed all six of her shots in the final 1:31 of overtime to finish 12 of 23 from the field.

“We got one at home, and we got to bring our best,” Valkyries coach Natalie Nakase said. “That was not our best. Tomorrow’s got to be clear minds, clear focus, clear game plan, and then be ready to go for the game at home.”

Ogunbowale scored 22 points in the fourth quarter and overtime — 11 in each period. She passed her previous overall career high of 41 points with the 3 that put Dallas up for good.

Dallas' Alysha Clark tied her playoff career high with 21 points, and Aziaha James added 13.

Kaila Charles scored 14 points for the Valkyries, and Kayla Thornton had 13.

With the scored tied at 98 in the extra period, Ogunbowale and Tiffany Hayes had to be separated after making contact. Both were called for flagrant fouls, and each made a pair of free throws with 2:26 remaining.

The Valkyries didn't score again, shooting 2 of 12 in overtime.

See AP’s full WNBA coverage here

Golden State Valkyries guard Veronica Burton (22) shoots as Dallas Wings' Paige Bueckers, right, defends in the first half of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Golden State Valkyries guard Veronica Burton (22) shoots as Dallas Wings' Paige Bueckers, right, defends in the first half of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Alysha Clark (7) celebrates a 3-point basket in the first half as the Golden State Valkyries play the Dallas Wings in Game 2 of the WNBA playoffs first round in Arlington, Texas, on Wednesday, Sept. 30, 2026. (Carlos Avila Gonzalez/San Francisco Chronicle via AP)

Alysha Clark (7) celebrates a 3-point basket in the first half as the Golden State Valkyries play the Dallas Wings in Game 2 of the WNBA playoffs first round in Arlington, Texas, on Wednesday, Sept. 30, 2026. (Carlos Avila Gonzalez/San Francisco Chronicle via AP)

Dallas Wings' Arike Ogunbowale celebrates a basket in the second half of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game against the Golden State Valkyries Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Dallas Wings' Arike Ogunbowale celebrates a basket in the second half of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game against the Golden State Valkyries Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Dallas Wings' Arike Ogunbowale (24) shoots in the second half of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game against the Golden State Valkyries Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Dallas Wings' Arike Ogunbowale (24) shoots in the second half of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game against the Golden State Valkyries Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Dallas Wings' Jessica Shepard (32), Paige Bueckers (5) and Arike Ogunbowale (24) celebrate after Ogunbowale sunk a three-pointer in overtime of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game against the Golden State Valkyries Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Dallas Wings' Jessica Shepard (32), Paige Bueckers (5) and Arike Ogunbowale (24) celebrate after Ogunbowale sunk a three-pointer in overtime of a WNBA basketball first-round playoff game against the Golden State Valkyries Wednesday Sept. 30, 2026, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

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