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Development forum attendees highlight China's role in providing certainty for global economy

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Development forum attendees highlight China's role in providing certainty for global economy

2025-03-23 21:39 Last Updated At:03-24 10:49

Global business and academic leaders at the China Development Forum 2025 held in Beijing on Sunday expressed their optimism about China's role in providing much-needed economic certainty amid an increasingly uncertain global landscape.

Ian Goldin, a professor of Globalization and Development at the University of Oxford, emphasized the importance of China's economic strength in the current global context.

"I think very positively about the Chinese market. It is a source and engine for the world, of global growth, global growth elsewhere slowing, so China's strength is very important for the global economy," he said.

John Quelch, executive vice chancellor of Duke Kunshan University noted the consistent and clear messaging from China.

"I think the mood is cautiously optimistic. China is staying very firmly on specific messaging and providing a measure of clarity and consistency in the global economy at the moment that is not necessarily coming from other capital cities," he said.

Corporate leaders also shared their perspectives on China's role in ensuring stability, highlighting their willingness to invest in the country as a result.

"The certainty is quite important that we will give people, give the world the confidence to grow. We already announced that we will expand our investment in Shenyang and Shanghai, so we already started," said Wu Junyi, Vice President of Corporate Strategy Development and Supply Chain Logistics at Michelin China.

Martin Sorrell, founder and executive chairman of the digital advertising and marketing services provider S4 Capital, pointed to China's strong domestic economy as a key driver of global growth.

"The domestic economy, I think, is improving, outbound global expansion of Chinese manufacturers in various areas. The biggest examples, probably EVs, and solar panels and like that, the opportunities are huge," he said.

While there are concerns about global economic challenges, particularly rising tariffs and inflation, the overall tone at the forum was one of confidence in China's ability to navigate these obstacles.

"You hear this morning from the premier about how important domestic consumption is and how powerful potentially this domestic consumption is, and that the government will use fiscal and monetary policy to stimulate the economy and that the government will exercise, from a foreign policy point of view, try and unify rather than fragment, so all interesting messages, and I think also all send positive signals to everybody here," Sorrell said.

"Tariffs are inflationary, and they are potentially recessionary as well, so they do pose challenges in the short term. The biggest problem for our clients is they create greater uncertainty and risk and people don't like uncertainty. Ask the CEOs here, what would they prefer? Certainty or uncertainty? They always say certainty," he said.

Development forum attendees highlight China's role in providing certainty for global economy

Development forum attendees highlight China's role in providing certainty for global economy

Chinese stock markets dropped on Monday, as AI and tech stocks continued to see-saw, according to China Global Television Network (CGTN) market analyst Timothy Pope.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.59 percent at 3,882.01 points, with the Shenzhen Component Index, which has more exposure to the tech sector, closing 2.13 percent lower at 13,794.29 points.

Trading volumes on the two indices rose with around 2.01 trillion yuan (about 296.28 billion U.S. dollars) traded on Monday, up from 1.88 trillion yuan (about 280 billion U.S. dollars) last Friday.

Traditional sectors such as precious metals, coal mining, and insurance led the gains, while bio-tech stocks were among the top decliners.

The ChiNext Index, tracking China's Nasdaq-style board of growth enterprises, lost 3.21 percent to close at 3,431.89 points on Monday.

The STAR Composite Index, which tracks the performance of stocks on China's sci-tech innovation board, closed 3.10 percent lower on Monday at 1,896.16 points.

"The A-share markets seem locked in this cycle of rally and rout for those growth stocks, particularly in the AI and adjacent sectors. Today was very much on the rout side so, while the Shanghai Composite Index was down 0.6 percent, we saw the Shenzhen Component down more than 2 percent, the ChiNext board was down 3.2 percent and the STAR 50 down 3.1 percent. Those last three are more exposed to the tech rally than the Shanghai Composite. The big losers as I said were AI hardware companies - Shenzhen Gongjin Electronics was down 10 percent, Zhongji Innolight fell more than 7 percent. But they weren't alone because the other big winning sector of the last few weeks - biotech - was in retreat today as well. Investors were rotating into gold and coal stocks as well, and agricultural stocks extended the food security trade rally that we saw at the end of last week. There were a number of stocks across those sectors, all of those were hitting the upper limits of trade today," said Pope.

Pope said the rest of the week will be dominated by earnings reports from some of China’s biggest companies.

"The rest of the week is going to be mostly about earnings. The end-of-August filing deadline is fast approaching. Friday will be a really big day on the earnings calendar. We've got BYD, PetroChina, Shenhua Energy and a lot of big banks as well. Earnings that we are going to see for ICBC, China Merchants Bank and others will give us an insight into how much pressure the big banks are under with their margins. BYD is also going to be an interesting one in light of the government's anti-involution campaign and its efforts to avert a bit of a race to the bottom in the EV sector. And before we get there, there are Nvidia results in the US on Wednesday which will doubtless impact every stock in the AI space," he said.

Chinese stock markets start week lower on AI volatility: analyst

Chinese stock markets start week lower on AI volatility: analyst

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