UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer dropped a big political bombshell on Sunday— the UK officially recognizes the State of Palestine. Not long after, Canada and Australia jumped on board. This isn’t just about former colonial ties; it’s proof the UK’s influence lingers beyond “its own backyard.” What’s really rattling Washington? The reality of “a world minus America.” Just days earlier, on September 17, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a joint defense agreement that states any attack on one is an attack on both.
Let’s not ignore the big deals here: Pakistan has nukes. And earlier this year, it routed its opponent in aerial combat using Chinese equipment. Put these two facts together, and you get a nuclear-armed military powerhouse with China in its corner. For the Arab world, this opens a new choice lane. Which side are they picking? America knows, and China gets it even better.
Israel’s Strike in Doha Jolts Gulf Alliances
Reports say Israel stunned the Gulf when it launched a rare attack on Hamas leaders in Doha on September 9. Qatar and the wealthy Gulf states, previously reliant on US military muscle, were left shocked and angry. The message is clear: Saudi Arabia is hedging its bets. Gulf states no longer have to walk the tightrope between powers — they can thank Israel for pushing them to diversify alliances.
Starmer’s pitch on social media: “The Middle East is boiling over with terror, so we’re stepping up to keep the peace and push for a two-state solution.” But let’s be real—now you don’t have a safe, reliable Israel and a working Palestinian state at the same time. Over 150 countries have recognized Palestine, and the UK can’t afford to drag its feet amid this shifting terrain.
The 2023 Gaza war’s has become a full-blown humanitarian disaster. The BBC pointed out that tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians have perished, and Abbas’s Palestinian Authority is stuck powerless in the West Bank, just watching. How long will the world tolerate this? The UK figures it can't for long. Along with Canada and Australia—traditional tough allies of Israel—Steamer’s move sends a message. Their unity is strong and it’s also a smart way to push back against Trump’s wild tariffs. Supporting Gaza? It’s a win-win.
India’s Surprise Rise Amid US Decline
But here’s the twist: India looks like the real winner, quietly hoping for America’s decline. Over the weekend, Trump ranted that Europeans shouldn’t be buying Russian oil: “The Europeans are buying oil from Russia – not supposed to happen, right?”
He then urged other G7 members to adopt 50-100% tariffs on China and India — the leading buyers of Russian oil — to pressure Russian President Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table.
Yet Ursula von der Leyen dropped a hint that she’s eyeing closer ties with India, praising its rising role in Indo-Pacific security and announcing a new EU-India Strategic Agenda focused on defense and security—without even mentioning the US.
"Now is the time to focus on reliable partners and double down on partnerships rooted in shared interests and guided by common values. The growing complexity of global security threats and rising geopolitical tensions underscore the need for closer EU-India dialogue and cooperation." She added, " We are exploring the creation of an EU-India Security and Defence Partnership to deepen strategic consultations and enable closer cooperation on crisis management, maritime security, cyber threats, and counterterrorism."
The message is clear: yet another ally is carving out a new path, diversifying away from the US. The days when America’s word was king are fading fast. Trump keeping hope for help to contain China? It’s wishful thinking—no one is lining up. The “world minus America” is real and accelerating. Soon, the US will be like Lai Ching-te, left with just a handful of close buddies in the world.
Deep Blue
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When reporters asked about French President Macron refusing to join the Gaza Peace Commission, Trump didn't miss a beat: "Did he say that? Well, nobody wants him because he will be out of office very soon." He added: "I'll put a 200% tariff on his wines and champagnes, and he'll join, but he doesn't have to join." Translation: If even bros get no face, you’re really nobody. Classic Trump.
France represents Europe's core values and has consistently railed against China's so-called "overcapacity." Last year, when Sino-European trade tensions peaked, France's Les Échos quoted the American think tank Rhodium Group: "China’s overcapacity may have an impact on Western economies. In fact, the real losers are countries in the Global South." The analysis attacked both sides—so why did Europe find it music to their ears? Because they never forgot 2013, when the EU sanctioned Chinese solar panels under the banner of anti-dumping. Now those same solar panels, wind turbines, and domestically produced EVs have roared back with a vengeance, hammering European manufacturing.
Trump's "Gaza Peace Commission" Power Play
So what's this Peace Commission all about? The United States has sent invitations to leaders of over 60 countries and international organizations. Yesterday it was confirmed that Putin made the guest list. According to multiple foreign media reports, the White House is demanding that countries pony up over $1 billion in exchange for permanent seats on the “Gaza Peace Commission." Trump, as US President, becomes the Commission's inaugural chairman with personal authority to decide who gets invited. Pay attention—all decisions will be made by majority vote, but must ultimately be approved by the chairman. What does that mean? Dictatorship, plain and simple.
Moreover, the White House will soon announce the membership list. The Commission will be composed of US Secretary of State Rubio, Special Envoy Witkoff, Trump's son-in-law, and others—a cozy family affair with global ambitions.
Don't waste time asking whether the Commission is reasonable, appropriate, or constitutional under US law—that's beside the point. At least the United Nations hasn't issued any statement opposing it so far. You can only ask: "Would Putin really play along with this?" Or: "Has Beijing received an invitation?" Global Times reported: "At the moment, Russia is looking at all the details of this proposal, and hopes to discuss all of the nuances with the Americans."
Some observers believe that "turning the so-called Peace Commission into an institution parallel to the United Nations will undermine the UN's authority and working mechanisms."
The American Genius Complex
Taiwan foreign affairs expert and commentator Jieh Wen-chieh nailed it: if Trump dares to create this Commission, he could later lead America to the moon or Mars—nothing would be surprising! This is 100% what an American genius should do.
Jieh Wen-chieh identifies the key point: Europe is a resource-poor region. When European immigrants discovered that America was a land without boundaries, they found a whole new world. American culture was forged this way: as long as you have "guts," as long as you have "dreams" and dare to do what no one before has done, you are an American hero—the very embodiment of "the American way".
Trump’s hammer falls wherever he pleases: plots to swallow Greenland, and threatens military action against Iran. In the minds of Americans, this is no different from "Apple guru" Steve Jobs launching the iPhone—it's all "just do it." Sum it up in one sentence: the America led by Trump truly embodies a phenomenon of "power overcapacity." Don’t you agree?
Trump's Next Move: Weaponizing Peace
Whether you agree or not, Trump has new initiatives—he sent a letter to the Norwegian Prime Minister, stating that given Norway's decision not to award him the Nobel Peace Prize to recognize his prevention of "eight wars PLUS," therefore, "I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace..., but can now think about what is good and proper' for the US." At this rate, America’s about to claim the whole universe as its own!
Looking back, Trump's bubble is closely tied to those allies who previously pandered to America by slapping the "overcapacity" label on China—they are the kingmakers. They dismantled Huawei's 5G communications, banned lithography machine exports to China, then called Trump "Daddy," thinking the world would become more beautiful. Now they're about to learn it the hard way.
P.S.: Europe will face 100% tariffs from America. Here’s to a roaring Year of the Horse—may you charge ahead and lead the pack!