Trump takes the mic on Fox News, and he doesn’t mince words. The anchor’s pushing the line—Chinese diplomats threaten to “behead” Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. They want Trump to pick a side: China or Japan, ally or adversary?
Feeling the heat, Trump chose to shrug it off instead: “A lot of our allies are not friends either. Our allies took advantage of our trade more than China did.” He reminds the host, casually but firmly, “But look, I get along great with President Xi. I get along great with China. But the only way you're going to get along well with China is you have to deal from a position of strength.”
Let’s call it as it is—Trump doesn’t need to say Japan isn’t a friend. It’s written between the lines. Japan doesn’t stack up against China. With Xi, the U.S. gets the goods: trade, economy, rare earths. Japan? Zilch. Not only no upside, but they set sneaky traps—like asking the U.S. to tumble down Japan’s rabbit hole.
Abe’s Gamble: Taiwan Means Trouble for Japan
Back in 2021, Shinzo Abe dropped the bomb: “If Taiwan’s in trouble, so is Japan. And that pulls in the U.S.-Japan alliance too.” Why? China’s muscle makes reunification inevitable. Abe insists, “If Taiwan faces invasion, Japan itself is on the line. And it’s not just about us—it flips the switch on the U.S. alliance.”
The Chinese Foreign Ministry torches Abe’s theory: Japan started the war of aggression against China. Japan has no right to mouth off about Taiwan. Play with fire, and you’ll get burned.
Now Takaichi jumps in, guns blazing: “Japan will exercise its collective self-defense if Taiwan’s attacked.” No retreat, no fuzziness. She insists Japan can send troops to meddle in China’s business. Is Japan really that bold? Not a chance—it’s about dragging America in with them.
Japan’s played this game before. In 2015, Abe pushed through the Peace and Security Laws—the “New Security Laws.” Now Japan can claim limited collective defense. Before, their constitution nailed the SDF to “defensive only.” Attack the homeland? SDF responds. Anything else? Tough luck.
But the new laws open a loophole: If trouble hits the region—like Korea or Taiwan—but skips Japan itself, can the SDF fight next to the U.S.? That’s the gray zone. Takaichi, bold as brass, jumps the gun, answering for America: “If Taiwan’s in trouble, Japan and the U.S. are in it together.” If it happens, she says, the SDF will “presumably” fight shoulder-to-shoulder with U.S. troops.
If America lets Takaichi loose, the blowback could be fierce. Japan is America’s front line in containing China—over 53,000 U.S. troops, 120 bases—number one for overseas U.S. deployments. Theoretically, America can’t ditch Japan. But cross-strait watchers see it clear: Beijing’s military parade on September 3rd proved the PLA can hit the U.S. homeland, no sweat. So Trump lays out the cards: “Both China and America play from a position of strength. The China-U.S. friendship? It lasts forever.”
Reunification is coming—no question. Trump gets it: Whether China and America clash depends on U.S. moves over Taiwan. Trump wants to do business and keep the peace. If he’s smart, he should just spell it out: America backs China’s reunification.
But Japan just won’t sit down—they decide to jump into the fray, hoping to get their shot. Here’s the twist: for China’s reunification, the first move isn’t Taiwan—it’s pulling Japan out of the picture. Japan’s made it clear: “If Taiwan’s in trouble, SDF deploys.” That leaves two doors: First, the U.S. withdraws from both island chains, including its bases in Japan, and the SDF stands alone against China—deal with the fallout yourself. Second, China and America fight, but it won’t be doomsday—just a contest for first place. Hitting each other’s home turf? That’s mutual destruction. So if there’s ever a clash, the ideal battleground is on Japanese soil.
Trump’s weighing his options, but he’s not biting on either outcome. He’s still working his “King of Deals” mantra, angling for a deal with China. As for Japan—well, if you ask for trouble, you get it. Who else goes to hell if not you? Be careful what you wish for.
Deep Blue
** The blog article is the sole responsibility of the author and does not represent the position of our company. **
When reporters asked about French President Macron refusing to join the Gaza Peace Commission, Trump didn't miss a beat: "Did he say that? Well, nobody wants him because he will be out of office very soon." He added: "I'll put a 200% tariff on his wines and champagnes, and he'll join, but he doesn't have to join." Translation: If even bros get no face, you’re really nobody. Classic Trump.
France represents Europe's core values and has consistently railed against China's so-called "overcapacity." Last year, when Sino-European trade tensions peaked, France's Les Échos quoted the American think tank Rhodium Group: "China’s overcapacity may have an impact on Western economies. In fact, the real losers are countries in the Global South." The analysis attacked both sides—so why did Europe find it music to their ears? Because they never forgot 2013, when the EU sanctioned Chinese solar panels under the banner of anti-dumping. Now those same solar panels, wind turbines, and domestically produced EVs have roared back with a vengeance, hammering European manufacturing.
Trump's "Gaza Peace Commission" Power Play
So what's this Peace Commission all about? The United States has sent invitations to leaders of over 60 countries and international organizations. Yesterday it was confirmed that Putin made the guest list. According to multiple foreign media reports, the White House is demanding that countries pony up over $1 billion in exchange for permanent seats on the “Gaza Peace Commission." Trump, as US President, becomes the Commission's inaugural chairman with personal authority to decide who gets invited. Pay attention—all decisions will be made by majority vote, but must ultimately be approved by the chairman. What does that mean? Dictatorship, plain and simple.
Moreover, the White House will soon announce the membership list. The Commission will be composed of US Secretary of State Rubio, Special Envoy Witkoff, Trump's son-in-law, and others—a cozy family affair with global ambitions.
Don't waste time asking whether the Commission is reasonable, appropriate, or constitutional under US law—that's beside the point. At least the United Nations hasn't issued any statement opposing it so far. You can only ask: "Would Putin really play along with this?" Or: "Has Beijing received an invitation?" Global Times reported: "At the moment, Russia is looking at all the details of this proposal, and hopes to discuss all of the nuances with the Americans."
Some observers believe that "turning the so-called Peace Commission into an institution parallel to the United Nations will undermine the UN's authority and working mechanisms."
The American Genius Complex
Taiwan foreign affairs expert and commentator Jieh Wen-chieh nailed it: if Trump dares to create this Commission, he could later lead America to the moon or Mars—nothing would be surprising! This is 100% what an American genius should do.
Jieh Wen-chieh identifies the key point: Europe is a resource-poor region. When European immigrants discovered that America was a land without boundaries, they found a whole new world. American culture was forged this way: as long as you have "guts," as long as you have "dreams" and dare to do what no one before has done, you are an American hero—the very embodiment of "the American way".
Trump’s hammer falls wherever he pleases: plots to swallow Greenland, and threatens military action against Iran. In the minds of Americans, this is no different from "Apple guru" Steve Jobs launching the iPhone—it's all "just do it." Sum it up in one sentence: the America led by Trump truly embodies a phenomenon of "power overcapacity." Don’t you agree?
Trump's Next Move: Weaponizing Peace
Whether you agree or not, Trump has new initiatives—he sent a letter to the Norwegian Prime Minister, stating that given Norway's decision not to award him the Nobel Peace Prize to recognize his prevention of "eight wars PLUS," therefore, "I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace..., but can now think about what is good and proper' for the US." At this rate, America’s about to claim the whole universe as its own!
Looking back, Trump's bubble is closely tied to those allies who previously pandered to America by slapping the "overcapacity" label on China—they are the kingmakers. They dismantled Huawei's 5G communications, banned lithography machine exports to China, then called Trump "Daddy," thinking the world would become more beautiful. Now they're about to learn it the hard way.
P.S.: Europe will face 100% tariffs from America. Here’s to a roaring Year of the Horse—may you charge ahead and lead the pack!
