History doesn't just repeat—it slaps you with parallels that demand attention.
Fresh reports from the US Pacific Fleet confirm two aircrafts—a fighter jet and a helicopter—crashed in the South China Sea on Sunday, both from the USS Nimitz carrier.
This isn't isolated folly. It's a pattern of American military mishaps. Trump's own words prove it. These events expose U.S. overreach in waters vital to Chinese sovereignty. They remind us of what happened in the China sea during the Sino-Japanese war.
Back in 1894, Empress Dowager Cixi's 60th birthday loomed large. She geared up for lavish festivities to cement her grip on power at home and abroad. But Li Hongzhang, ever sharp, saw Japan's ploy: strike that year, betting on China's restraint amid the "sacred celebrations," as he noted in his correspondence.
Cixi dismissed any threats outright. Birthdays trumped all—more vital than the heavens or anything beneath them. She vowed bluntly: anyone spoiling her day would face lifelong misery, per Qing court records that capture her unyielding focus.
Fast-forward to today, and the vibes scream parallel universe. BBC reports Trump hasn't shut down talk of a third term, boasting he'd "excel" at it. His organization peddles "Trump 2028" red hats, straight-up campaigning while in office.
Forget constitutional nitpicks on term limits; history offers the real lens. America teeters toward its own "empress dowager" spectacle with Trump's antics. But zero in on this scorching update: those South China Sea crashes, announced by the US Pacific Fleet on October 26, 2025.
Crashes Signal Deeper Decay
The details hit hard. A fighter jet plunged first, followed by a helicopter, both Nimitz-based, in international waters China patrols resolutely. Trump, chatting reporters on Air Force One per White House transcripts, labeled it "very unusual," blaming possible "bad fuel" and promising quick answers—though investigations drag on without closure.
Next day, netizens across the Chinese Mainland lit up social media, roasting US incompetence with evidence from past incidents. Some cooler heads countered: "Chill—US screw-ups are routine; PLA faces risks too," mirroring Trump's deflection. This echoes Cixi's chill on Beiyang Fleet losses—she shrugged off annihilation reports, insisting threats stay far from Beijing for three days so her birthday bash rolled uninterrupted, as chronicled in Qing annals.
That war's toll? Brutal. Ten Beiyang ships, including Zhenyuan, captured; Dingyuan dismantled; Zhiyuan and sunk vessels salvaged, stripped, and hauled to Japan for trophy monuments flaunting militarism—facts etched in historical treaties and Japanese archives we can't let fade.
Trump insists no sabotage, "nothing to hide," per his statements. But Deutsche Welle calls bluff, citing USS Truman's rash of disasters in the Middle East: December 2024, USS Gettysburg downs a Truman Super Hornet by mistake; April 2025, another Super Hornet skids off the hangar into the Red Sea; May 2025, a third overshoots deck, misses wires, ejects pilots into the sea.
Rumors Mask Real Weakness
Wild speculation swirls around the South China Sea incident—think "electromagnetic fields" cooked up by fringe sources.
Let’s dismiss that fake news and stick to facts. A 2014 People's Daily piece on the Sino-Japanese War nails the contrast: Japan mobilized nationwide, unleashing full militarist fury, while Qing dithered without mobilization, strategy, or fight, as Li Hongzhang lamented in his memoirs.
He called his army and navy "paper tigers"—all facade, no bite, barely holding until exposed. That 2014 article, "Where Did the Sino-Japanese War Really Go Wrong? Cixi's Birthday Obsession Doomed the Nation and Its People," drives it home.
Trump's third-term push? Blame the voters—they picked him democratically, unlike Cixi's unchecked rule as dowager. Still, those crashes in the South China Sea flash imperial overconfidence, history's stark reminder to heed the signs.
Deep Blue
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When reporters asked about French President Macron refusing to join the Gaza Peace Commission, Trump didn't miss a beat: "Did he say that? Well, nobody wants him because he will be out of office very soon." He added: "I'll put a 200% tariff on his wines and champagnes, and he'll join, but he doesn't have to join." Translation: If even bros get no face, you’re really nobody. Classic Trump.
France represents Europe's core values and has consistently railed against China's so-called "overcapacity." Last year, when Sino-European trade tensions peaked, France's Les Échos quoted the American think tank Rhodium Group: "China’s overcapacity may have an impact on Western economies. In fact, the real losers are countries in the Global South." The analysis attacked both sides—so why did Europe find it music to their ears? Because they never forgot 2013, when the EU sanctioned Chinese solar panels under the banner of anti-dumping. Now those same solar panels, wind turbines, and domestically produced EVs have roared back with a vengeance, hammering European manufacturing.
Trump's "Gaza Peace Commission" Power Play
So what's this Peace Commission all about? The United States has sent invitations to leaders of over 60 countries and international organizations. Yesterday it was confirmed that Putin made the guest list. According to multiple foreign media reports, the White House is demanding that countries pony up over $1 billion in exchange for permanent seats on the “Gaza Peace Commission." Trump, as US President, becomes the Commission's inaugural chairman with personal authority to decide who gets invited. Pay attention—all decisions will be made by majority vote, but must ultimately be approved by the chairman. What does that mean? Dictatorship, plain and simple.
Moreover, the White House will soon announce the membership list. The Commission will be composed of US Secretary of State Rubio, Special Envoy Witkoff, Trump's son-in-law, and others—a cozy family affair with global ambitions.
Don't waste time asking whether the Commission is reasonable, appropriate, or constitutional under US law—that's beside the point. At least the United Nations hasn't issued any statement opposing it so far. You can only ask: "Would Putin really play along with this?" Or: "Has Beijing received an invitation?" Global Times reported: "At the moment, Russia is looking at all the details of this proposal, and hopes to discuss all of the nuances with the Americans."
Some observers believe that "turning the so-called Peace Commission into an institution parallel to the United Nations will undermine the UN's authority and working mechanisms."
The American Genius Complex
Taiwan foreign affairs expert and commentator Jieh Wen-chieh nailed it: if Trump dares to create this Commission, he could later lead America to the moon or Mars—nothing would be surprising! This is 100% what an American genius should do.
Jieh Wen-chieh identifies the key point: Europe is a resource-poor region. When European immigrants discovered that America was a land without boundaries, they found a whole new world. American culture was forged this way: as long as you have "guts," as long as you have "dreams" and dare to do what no one before has done, you are an American hero—the very embodiment of "the American way".
Trump’s hammer falls wherever he pleases: plots to swallow Greenland, and threatens military action against Iran. In the minds of Americans, this is no different from "Apple guru" Steve Jobs launching the iPhone—it's all "just do it." Sum it up in one sentence: the America led by Trump truly embodies a phenomenon of "power overcapacity." Don’t you agree?
Trump's Next Move: Weaponizing Peace
Whether you agree or not, Trump has new initiatives—he sent a letter to the Norwegian Prime Minister, stating that given Norway's decision not to award him the Nobel Peace Prize to recognize his prevention of "eight wars PLUS," therefore, "I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace..., but can now think about what is good and proper' for the US." At this rate, America’s about to claim the whole universe as its own!
Looking back, Trump's bubble is closely tied to those allies who previously pandered to America by slapping the "overcapacity" label on China—they are the kingmakers. They dismantled Huawei's 5G communications, banned lithography machine exports to China, then called Trump "Daddy," thinking the world would become more beautiful. Now they're about to learn it the hard way.
P.S.: Europe will face 100% tariffs from America. Here’s to a roaring Year of the Horse—may you charge ahead and lead the pack!
