The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Wednesday it had raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 to five percent, an upward revision of 0.2 percentage points from its October outlook.
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva made the remarks at a press conference held in Beijing, noting that the economy has demonstrated notable resilience despite facing multiple shocks.
"Despite sizable shocks, China's economy has shown remarkable resilience. We have upgraded our projections for China's growth to five percent in 2025. They reflect both strong exports and welcome fiscal stimulus. This resilient growth has supported household incomes. China is contributing about 30 percent to global growth," she said.
According to the press conference, an IMF team conducted constructive exchanges from December 1 to 10 in Beijing and Shanghai with senior Chinese government officials, representatives of private enterprises, and academics regarding China's economic outlook and policy responses, leading to the preliminary conclusion of raising China's growth forecast.
The IMF particularly recognized a combination of macro policies of the Chinese government aimed at expanding domestic demand and boosting consumption. It recommended further leveraging fiscal policy in the future to shift the growth model toward consumption‑driven expansion.
The IMF predicted that China will remain a crucial engine of global economic growth for many years to come.
According to Georgieva, measures such as shifting economic growth toward consumption‑driven expansion, further tapping the potential of the services sector, and promoting structural reforms with more proactive and stronger macro‑policies could add an estimated 2.5 percentage points to China's economic growth over the next five years through 2030. Such efforts would also contribute to healthier and more balanced development of the world economy.
IMF highlights China's economic resilience, raises 2025 growth forecast
IMF highlights China's economic resilience, raises 2025 growth forecast
