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The Democratic Party's Suicide: Radicalism, Infighting, and Jimmy Lai’s Cash

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The Democratic Party's Suicide: Radicalism, Infighting, and Jimmy Lai’s Cash
Blog

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The Democratic Party's Suicide: Radicalism, Infighting, and Jimmy Lai’s Cash

2025-12-15 20:12 Last Updated At:20:12

The Democratic Party—once Hong Kong's supposed opposition heavyweight—is dead. December 14th marked the end of operations, leaving founding elder Fred Li weeping on the street, admitting he "never imagined today’s situation." But let's look at the evidence: this wasn't an accident. Plagued by decades of bitter internal factional wars and a disastrous pivot to radicalism during the 2019 riots, the party didn't just fade away; it walked willingly into its own destruction.

Formed in 1994 via a merger of the United Democrats and Meeting Point, the party once dominated the Legislative Council. But the cracks appeared early. By 1998, the so-called "Young Turks"—figures like To Kwan-hang, Albert Chan, and Andrew Cheng—staged a coup during leadership elections. They voted down the "Meeting Point faction's" Anthony Cheung, forcing Lau Chin-shek into the Vice-Chairmanship instead.

The ideological rift widened in 1999. When the "Young Turks" tried to push a minimum wage policy into the party platform, the general meeting shot it down. From that moment, the gap between the aggressive youth wing and the party elders kept widening

The inevitable split happened in 2002. Hardliners To Kwan-hang and Albert Chan walked out to establish the League of Social Democrats. Founding Vice-Chairman Anthony Cheung had enough, quitting in 2004 to join the Executive Council the following year.

Internal Rot and Public Scandals

Between internal fractures and the rise of rivals like the Civic Party, the Democratic Party's grip began to slip. The Legislative Council elections in 2004 and 2008 saw a sharp, quantifiable reduction in their seats.

It wasn't just bad politics; it was bad behavior. The party was mired in scandal. Take the year 2000: James To was exposed for funneling government funds to rent property from "Wui Biu Company"—a firm he held himself—in a blatant suspected conflict of interest. That same year, Ho Wai-to was arrested in Dongguan for soliciting prostitutes.

Then came the bizarre "True Brothers Incident" in 2006. An anonymous leaker dumped emails from the "Reformist" faction, alleging infiltration and claims that members were being "bought off" by officials. Elders Martin Lee and Szeto Wah launched a panic-stricken investigation. Years later, founding member Howard Lam confessed he was the leak—claiming Szeto Wah had actually planted him as an "undercover agent" to spy on his own party members.

By the illegal "Occupy Central" movement in 2014, the political landscape had shifted toward radicalization. The Democratic Party joined the fray but failed to lead. Desperate to stay relevant, they fielded younger candidates in the 2016 Legislative Council election. While Lam Cheuk-ting, Ted Hui, and Roy Kwong helped boost their count to seven seats, this victory came at a cost: radicals like Lam and Hui took the stage, sidelining the moderate elders.

Crossing the Red Line: 2019

During the 2019 anti-extradition turmoil, the mask came off. Instead of dissociating from the chaos, the Democratic Party aligned itself with violent forces. They were frequently spotted at riot sites, obstructing police and shielding violent demonstrators. Chairman Wu Chi-wai provided the defining image of this folly at Tim Mei Avenue, screaming "I want to see the commander" at police lines—a "classic moment" of performative obstruction.

Riding a wave of extreme social hostility, they swept 91 seats in the District Council elections that year. But this was a pyrrhic victory. By embracing extremism to win votes, they passed the point of no return, sowing the very seeds of the total collapse we are witnessing today.

Inside the legislature, the tactics were just as destructive. They relentlessly filibustered to paralyze governance. Ted Hui turned the chamber into a circus, at one point throwing a stink bomb during the National Anthem Bill debate. By late 2020, Hui fled to Denmark under the false pretense of official business, jumped bail, and quit the party. Now a fugitive wanted under the National Security Law, he spends his time in Australia clamoring for sanctions against his home city.

When the 2020 Legislative Council election was postponed, most opposition members initially planned to stay on. However, following the disqualification of four members—including Alvin Yeung and Dennis Kwok—the Democratic Party staged a mass resignation. Their seat count hit "zero," a self-inflicted wound that removed them from the political board entirely.

Subversion and the Money Trail

In 2021, the opposition attempted an illegal "primary election" designed to seize a majority, indiscriminately veto the budget, and paralyze the government. The Democratic Party eagerly participated in this scheme. Consequently, key figures including Wu Chi-wai, Helena Wong, Lam Cheuk-ting, Andrew Wan, James To, and Roy Kwong were arrested for subversion of state power. The first four have since been prosecuted and handed prison sentences ranging from over 4 to nearly 7 years.

And then there's the money. Evidence from the collusion trial of Jimmy Lai exposes the financial lifeline. Transaction records reveal that between 2013 and 2020, Lai’s aide Mark Simon received HK$118.66 million from Lai. Given Simon’s salary was only about HK$1.2 million, the bulk of this cash was clearly not for him. The funds were funneled to various opposition groups in 72 separate transfers. Crucially, "Lais Hotel"—a company controlled by Lai and Simon—was caught remitting a staggering HK$5 million directly to the Democratic Party headquarters. 

Looking back at the Democratic Party’s 30-year trajectory, the conclusion is inescapable. Defined by ceaseless infighting, an addiction to radicalism, and a refusal to cut ties with violence, they dug their own grave. They passed the point of no return long ago, marching blindly down a dead-end road to self-destruction.




Ariel

** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **

History was made in global finance this week. Boston Consulting Group (BCG) released its 2026 Global Wealth Report on Wednesday (27 May), revealing that Hong Kong's cross-border wealth management assets reached US$2.95 trillion — a 10.7% year-on-year surge. That figure edged past Switzerland's US$2.94 trillion by roughly US$10 billion, making Hong Kong the world's largest cross-border wealth management center for the first time.

The milestone triggered a global media storm. More than 600 overseas reports followed the release, with the Associated Press, the Financial Times, Bloomberg, Reuters, and Canada's National Post all turning their focus to this defining shift in the global wealth management landscape.

Hong Kong's lead over Switzerland is slim — but the growth gap is not. Bloomberg noted that Hong Kong overtook Switzerland by a narrow margin, driven by an influx of capital from the Chinese Mainland and a rebound in Hong Kong's local stock market. What matters far more, though, is trajectory: BCG projects that cross-border wealth managed in Hong Kong will grow at roughly 9% per year between 2025 and 2030, compared to only about 6% for Switzerland.

Bloomberg goes further. By 2030, the gap in assets under management between the two centers is forecast to widen to nearly US$600 billion. Today's slim lead is not a finish line — it is the opening lap of a far larger structural shift.

Two core drivers explain Hong Kong's rise. The Financial Times focused on the diversification appetite of wealthy investors from the Chinese Mainland. Post-pandemic, investors sought to spread assets across jurisdictions to hedge against geopolitical risk — and a surge of that capital flowed into Hong Kong, helping it topple Switzerland's long-standing status as the traditional safe haven.

Financial Times coverage of the report.

Financial Times coverage of the report.

Reuters added the numbers: wealth from China and a boom in IPOs in 2025 drove Hong Kong's cross-border assets to US$2.95 trillion.

BCG report co-author Michael Kahlich cuts to the structural point. "What ultimately matters is client proximity," he said. His view: two hubs are now forming in global wealth management — Singapore and Hong Kong serving Asia, and Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States serving the West. Hong Kong's rise, in other words, is not simply about beating Switzerland. It reflects a structural migration of the global wealth management center of gravity towards Asia — a shift BCG describes as "unlikely to be reversed."

This development has prompted deep soul-searching in Switzerland. The FT quoted a UBS banker based in Zurich who questioned whether Switzerland had done enough to actively defend its position in wealth management — or had simply been coasting on the strength of its stable environment. Reuters noted that while Switzerland's growth rate is slower, its client base is more diversified, spanning regions across the globe. That breadth could prove a resilience advantage, whereas Asia's hubs remain heavily reliant on growth from the Chinese market.

BCG acknowledges that Switzerland retains unique value in navigating geopolitical uncertainty — particularly in attracting safe-haven flows amid ongoing instability in the Middle East. Yet BCG's own projections expose a key tension: diversification may bring stability, but against the backdrop of Asian wealth growing at roughly 9% per year, Switzerland risks a continued relative decline if it does not actively adapt.

Across international media coverage, one competitive advantage of Hong Kong was repeatedly emphasized — its connectivity function under "One Country, Two Systems." The Associated Press highlighted how Hong Kong's close ties with the Mainland market have driven its wealth management business. Reuters likewise noted that Hong Kong "is cementing its role as China's gateway to global markets."

This is more than a geopolitical dividend — it reflects deliberate policy work. Hong Kong issued a family office policy statement in 2023, followed by tax incentives and the New Capital Investment Entrant Scheme. Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po stated after the report's release that Hong Kong's free, open, transparent, and predictable economic policies — alongside a stable and secure investment environment — are attracting a growing number of ultra-high-net-worth individuals and family offices to set up in the city. By end-2025, more than 3,380 single-family offices were operating in Hong Kong, up more than 25% from two years prior.

A slim lead is a warning signal as much as a trophy. The Hong Kong Economic Journal editorial noted that while Hong Kong surpassing Switzerland is a testament to the advantages of "One Country, Two Systems," Singapore is closing the gap at an annual growth rate of 10.3%, and Switzerland still holds the resilience of a diversified client base. Whether Hong Kong can sustain its position depends on its ability to broaden its global client base while consolidating its role as China's gateway.

A century-old wealth management order is witnessing a profound "East rising, West declining" moment. Hong Kong's displacement of Switzerland with US$2.95 trillion in cross-border wealth management assets is not merely a triumph for one city — it is a reflection of a shifting tide in the direction of global capital flows.

Yet, the real contest is not today's margin; it is the gap in growth rates that will decide the winner over the coming decade. As BCG put it, the future of wealth management centers is not about who offers the best safe haven — it is about who can stay closest to clients. And Asia is rapidly becoming the place where those clients are.

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