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What to know about Ukraine allies’ security guarantees as the war nears 4 years

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What to know about Ukraine allies’ security guarantees as the war nears 4 years
News

News

What to know about Ukraine allies’ security guarantees as the war nears 4 years

2026-01-07 22:52 Last Updated At:23:00

PARIS (AP) — After nearly four years of war and continued Russian attacks, Ukraine ’s allies praised the progress made Tuesday on a framework of international security guarantees to be activated after a ceasefire.

Meeting in Paris, leaders from Europe and Canada joined U.S. representatives and senior European Union and NATO officials to outline how Ukraine could be protected once fighting stops. Options include continued military backing and the possible deployment of a multinational force.

Asked Wednesday whether Western European allies had agreed to come to Ukraine’s defense if Russia attacked again after any peace deal, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said: “So far, I have not received a clear, unambiguous answer” to that question.

It was the largest such gathering yet, with two U.S. envoys attending in person for first time, as allies moved from planning contingencies toward spelling out what deterrence might actually look like.

Allies backed a proposal to provide Ukraine with multilayered security guarantees after any ceasefire or peace settlement.

A joint statement said Ukraine’s armed forces would remain “the first line of defense and deterrence,” with partners committing to long-term military assistance and armaments even after fighting ends.

“We stand ready to commit to a system of politically and legally binding guarantees that will be activated once a ceasefire enters into force,” the statement said.

French President Emmanuel Macron called it a “significant step” toward ending Russia’s invasion.

There was no immediate comment from Russian officials on the Paris meeting.

Leaders said they would continue supplying equipment and training to Ukraine’s front-line forces and back them up with air, land and sea military support aimed at deterring renewed Russian aggression.

The size, structure and financing of any supporting forces were not made public, and many elements remain to be negotiated.

Allies said they would participate in U.S.-led monitoring and verification of any ceasefire.

U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff said the United States “strongly stands behind” security guarantees, without detailing what Washington would provide militarily.

Zelenskyy on Wednesday urged the U.S. to exert greater pressure on Moscow. “The main thing is for Ukraine to be a priority for (the U.S.), to find tools to pressure Russia,” the Ukrainian leader said.

No immediate troop deployments were announced.

In the event of a ceasefire, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the United Kingdom and France “will establish military hubs across Ukraine and build protected facilities for weapons and military equipment to support Ukraine’s defensive needs.”

French President Emmanuel Macron said France was ready to send “several thousand” troops as part of the multinational force but said they would not be on the front line but rather “far away from the contact zone.”

Macron has previously mentioned Kyiv and Odesa as possible locations to station soldiers. At least 20 nations have pledged to deploy troops on land, at sea or in the air, he said.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said his country is prepared to participate in security guarantees and that the way in which it does so remains open, but that “we are in principle not ruling anything out.”

He suggested that Germany could station troops in countries bordering Ukraine.

Any European troop deployments would face political hurdles and would require approval from lawmakers in many countries.

Zelenskyy said progress was made in the talks but stressed that commitments must still be ratified by individual countries before they can be implemented.

“We determined what countries are ready to take leadership in the elements of security guarantees on the ground, in the air, and at sea, and in restoration,” Zelenskyy said. “We determined what forces are needed. We determined how these forces will be operated and at what levels of command.”

He said details of how monitoring would work remain to be determined, as do the size and financing of Ukraine’s army.

Starmer described the talks as making “excellent progress” but cautioned that “the hardest yards are still ahead,” noting that Russian attacks on Ukraine continue. He said peace would require compromise from Moscow and added that “Putin is not showing that he is ready for peace.”

The measures discussed would take effect only after a ceasefire or broader settlement and after national approval processes. Zelenskyy had previously said “not everyone is ready” to commit forces and noted that support could also come through weapons, technology and intelligence.

Russia insists there can be no ceasefire without a comprehensive settlement and has ruled out NATO troop deployments on Ukrainian soil.

Ukraine has warned that any ceasefire without firm guarantees could give Moscow time to regroup and attack again.

The framework agreed on in Paris stops short of binding commitments, leaving Ukraine dependent on how quickly allies turn plans into enforceable guarantees. Political approval hurdles, unresolved force structures, financing questions and strained transatlantic dynamics could delay or dilute those pledges.

French officials said 35 participants attended in person, including 27 heads of state or government.

Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, who participated in the meeting, said “this does not mean we will make peace, but peace would not be possible without the progress that we have made today.”

For Ukraine, the central risk is that deterrence remains theoretical while the war continues.

Associated Press writers Geir Moulson in Berlin and Illia Novikov in Kyiv, Ukraine contributed to this report.

Follow the AP’s coverage of the war in Ukraine at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, left, European Council President Antonio Costa, second left, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, right, and Cyprus' President Nikos Christodoulides join a meeting at the presidential palace in Nicosia, Cyprus, Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026. (AP Photo/Petros Karadjias, Pool)

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, left, European Council President Antonio Costa, second left, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, right, and Cyprus' President Nikos Christodoulides join a meeting at the presidential palace in Nicosia, Cyprus, Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026. (AP Photo/Petros Karadjias, Pool)

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, left, France's President Emmanuel Macron and Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer sign a declaration on deploying post-ceasefire force in Ukraine during the 'Coalition of the Willing' summit on security guarantees for Ukraine, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026. (Ludovic Marin, Pool photo via AP)

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, left, France's President Emmanuel Macron and Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer sign a declaration on deploying post-ceasefire force in Ukraine during the 'Coalition of the Willing' summit on security guarantees for Ukraine, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026. (Ludovic Marin, Pool photo via AP)

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer, left, shakes hands with US businessman Jared Kushner flanked by US Envoy Steve Witkoff, center, after the signing of the declaration on deploying post-ceasefire force in Ukraine during the 'Coalition of the Willing' summit on security guarantees for Ukraine, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026. (Ludovic Marin, Pool photo via AP)

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer, left, shakes hands with US businessman Jared Kushner flanked by US Envoy Steve Witkoff, center, after the signing of the declaration on deploying post-ceasefire force in Ukraine during the 'Coalition of the Willing' summit on security guarantees for Ukraine, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026. (Ludovic Marin, Pool photo via AP)

NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street’s hot start to the year is cooling a bit on Wednesday.

The S&P 500 was virtually unchanged in early trading, coming off its latest all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 18 points, or less than 0.1%, to its own record set the day before, while the Nasdaq composite was 0.1% higher, as of 9:35 a.m. Eastern time.

Moves were relatively quiet across the U.S. stock market, including for Warner Bros. Discovery after it again rejected a buyout bid from Paramount and told its shareholders to stick with a rival offer from Netflix.

Warner Bros. Discovery was flat, while Paramount Skydance slipped 0.4% and Netflix rose 1.1%.

In the oil market, crude prices fell after President Donald Trump said Tuesday that Venezuela would provide 30 million to 50 million barrels of oil to the United States. A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude dropped 1.1% to $56.52. Brent crude, the international standard, fell a more modest 0.4% to $60.42 per barrel.

Prices for oil have swung through the week following Trump’s weekend move against Venezuela, which is likely sitting on some of the largest deposits of oil in the world.

Any additional oil flowing from Venezuela into the global system would push down on crude prices by increasing their supplies. Oil prices had already earlier fallen back to where they were in 2021 because of expectations of plentiful supplies. But to pull much more oil from the Venezuelan ground would likely require big investments to improve aging infrastructure.

In the bond market, Treasury yields eased after a report suggested employers outside of the government added 41,000 more jobs last month than they cut. That’s a return to growth for the survey by ADP, but Wall Street often waits for the U.S. Labor Department’s more comprehensive monthly numbers to fully react. That will come on Friday.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.13% from 4.18% late Tuesday.

The hope on Wall Street is that the job market remains solid enough for the economy to avoid a recession but not so strong that it keeps the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates. The Fed cut its main interest rate three times last year to shore up the slowing job market, but it’s indicated fewer cuts may be ahead because inflation stubbornly remains above its 2% target.

Lower interest rates can worsen inflation, while also giving the economy and investment prices a boost.

In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed among some sharp moves across Europe and Asia.

Indexes dropped 0.8% in London, 0.9% in Hong Kong and 1.1% in Tokyo, while rising 0.6% in Seoul.

AP Business Writers Yuri Kageyama and Matt Ott contributed.

Joseph Stevens works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Joseph Stevens works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Anthony Spina works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Anthony Spina works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Steven Rodriguez works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Steven Rodriguez works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

A person walks in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

A person walks in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

People walk in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's stock prices at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

People walk in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's stock prices at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

A person stands in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

A person stands in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

A person walks in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

A person walks in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

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