Nigeria on Wednesday kicked off campaigns for the presidential election scheduled in January, with incumbent President Bola Tinubu seeking reelection against a fractured opposition.
Africa's most populous country will hold the election against a backdrop of worsening economic and security crises that have caused anger among voters against Tinubu's government.
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A giant poster of Nigerian incumbent president, Bola Tinubu, of the All Progressives Congress Party is seen on a building in Lagos, Nigeria, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
Commercial bus drivers wait for passengers inside a market in Lagos, Nigeria, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
FILE- Atiku Abubakar, former presidential candidate of the People's Democratic party, and now Presidential Candidate of the African Democratic Congress, Nigeria's opposition party, Center, waves to his supporters during a presidential election campaign rally in Yola Nigeria, Saturday, Feb. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Radeno Haniel, File)
People sell their merchandise during rush hour traffic in Lagos, Nigeria, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
The presidential vote will be held Jan. 16 alongside parliamentary elections, while gubernatorial elections will be held Feb. 6.
Tinubu is challenged by 18 opposition candidates but analysts predict a three-man race, including the two top contenders that he defeated in 2023. They are former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the African Democratic Congress, a serial presidential candidate, and Peter Obi of the Nigeria Democratic Congress, a former state governor who blew the last race wide open with his mass appeal to Nigeria’s youth.
Historically, the ruling party in Nigeria's presidential elections usually has a higher chance of winning when the race features more than one prominent opposition candidate.
Tinubu was elected president in 2023 after campaigning on promises to build on his predecessor's efforts to deliver democratic dividends to citizens in a country grappling with deadly security crises, corruption in the government, and widespread poverty and hunger.
But critics say the president has not met those expectations and has become unpopular among many of Nigeria's mostly young voters. His massive economic reforms and their poor implementation has had a knock-on effect on the price of just about everything, resulting in the country's worst economic hardship in a generation.
Nigeria's challenges, notwithstanding, analysts say the split opposition could give Tinubu a higher chance of winning as was the case in 2023. In that year's election, Tinubu emerged ahead of multiple prominent opposition candidates but recorded one of the lowest vote percentages ever for an elected president, showing how unpopular he was.
An opposition coalition formed by Atiku and Obi among others in 2025 to unseat Tinubu collapsed before it took off.
“Voters are overwhelmingly dissatisfied with the administration’s handling of inflation, insecurity and unemployment but because the anti-incumbent vote is split, the president has the edge,” said Ikemesit Effiong, a partner at SBM Intelligence, a Lagos-based risk advisory firm.
Tinubu has also shored up his support base through the defections of erstwhile opposition figures, with 31 of Nigeria’s 36 state governors now members of his party, the ruling All Progressives Congress.
The defections had prompted fears of a one-party state, which the national government denied.
In a country where current and former governors command massive grassroots support and are often accused of working with local electoral officials to manipulate election results, analysts say the defections could work in Tinubu’s favor.
The Nigerian leader began his administration with centerpiece economic reforms. At his inauguration in May 2023, he announced the removal of the decades-long fuel subsidy and later floated the local naira currency by ending its distorted foreign exchange rate, which caused a major devaluation.
The bold reforms, which Tinubu’s government argues saved the economy and handed the government more money, were cheered by investors but resulted in soaring inflation.
Nigeria's security woes have also persisted in recent years with more mass kidnappings and killings, and have further spread to regions that were once spared the violence.
“No matter how bad things are, Tinubu will still win because they are not working together,” said Juliet Onah, a resident in the capital of Abuja, referring to the opposition candidates not uniting as one front.
A giant poster of Nigerian incumbent president, Bola Tinubu, of the All Progressives Congress Party is seen on a building in Lagos, Nigeria, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
Commercial bus drivers wait for passengers inside a market in Lagos, Nigeria, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
FILE- Atiku Abubakar, former presidential candidate of the People's Democratic party, and now Presidential Candidate of the African Democratic Congress, Nigeria's opposition party, Center, waves to his supporters during a presidential election campaign rally in Yola Nigeria, Saturday, Feb. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Radeno Haniel, File)
People sell their merchandise during rush hour traffic in Lagos, Nigeria, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Independent Bill Hill has advanced from the primary for Alaska’s lone House seat.
Hill, a commercial fisherman and retired educator, was one of the top finishers in Tuesday’s election. The four candidates with the most votes, regardless of party affiliation, advance to the general election, which is a ranked-choice contest.
Hill, who lives in the tiny fishing village of Naknek in southwest Alaska and is Dena’ina Athabascan, has raised concerns about affordability, an issue that has hit especially hard in rural parts of the state where goods often arrive by plane or barge. He cited his own experiences with fragile supply systems that can delay fuel shipments and high costs for groceries and other staples.
The incumbent in the race is Republican U.S. Rep. Nick Begich, who is seeking a second term.
The highest-profile Democrat on the ballot, Matt Schultz, suspended his campaign in mid-July and urged voters to back Hill.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Republican U.S. Rep. Nick Begich has advanced from the primary for Alaska’s lone House seat.
Begich, who is seeking a second term, was one of the top finishers in Tuesday’s election. The four candidates with the most votes, regardless of party affiliation, advance to the general election, which will be a ranked-choice contest.
Begich, an ally of President Donald Trump, has had a large cash advantage and is the only Republican with widespread name recognition in the race.
His campaign emphasized Begich’s support for expanded oil and gas development in Alaska and success in getting legislation passed as a new lawmaker.
Begich comes from a family of prominent Democrats including his uncle Tom Begich, who is running for governor. His late grandfather, also named Nick Begich, once held the House seat.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Republican U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan has advanced from Alaska’s primary and will stand for reelection in the fall.
Sullivan, who is seeking a third term, was one of the top finishers in Tuesday’s election. The four candidates with the most votes, regardless of party affiliation, advance to the general election, which is a ranked-choice contest.
Sullivan’s chief rival is Democrat Mary Peltola, a former congresswoman.
The campaign was dominated by news of another Republican candidate named Dan Sullivan who also ran for the seat — and unsuccessful efforts by GOP allies of the incumbent to keep him off the ballot.
Sen. Sullivan emphasized his military service and work supporting investments in the military, including efforts to bring more Coast Guard assets to the Arctic state.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Democratic former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola has advanced from Alaska’s Senate primary.
Peltola was one of the top finishers in Tuesday’s election. The four candidates with the most votes, regardless of party affiliation, advance to the general election, which is a ranked-choice contest.
Peltola and two-term Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan are the highest-profile candidates.
The campaign was dominated by news of another Republican named Dan Sullivan who also ran for the seat — and allegations by the senator and his GOP allies that the lesser-known Sullivan coordinated with Democrats to help Peltola. The challenger, Peltola’s campaign and state Democrats denied such claims.
Peltola emphasized affordability concerns, support for Alaska fisheries and fighting what she called a rigged system of politicians catering to billionaires and enriching themselves.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Alaska voters chose candidates for November’s general election in a series of primary contests Tuesday, including a U.S. Senate race that will be among the most closely watched in the nation this fall.
The campaign featured over a dozen contenders in each of the top races — for Senate, U.S. House and governor. Under Alaska’s open primary system, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, and the four who receive the most votes qualify for the ranked vote general election.
Tuesday's ballot also included state legislative candidates and a ballot initiative that would reimpose campaign contribution limits in state and local elections. Nearly all polls statewide closed in the evening, with one location in the Aleutian Islands open for another hour.
The highest-profile candidates in a field of 16 were two-term Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan and Democratic former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola.
The race, which could help determine control of the Senate, has drawn significant attention from outside groups, with Republican and Democratic campaign organizations identifying it as a top target. Peltola shook up her campaign leadership days before the primary, letting her campaign manager go and elevating a deputy to that role. In a statement, the campaign described the changes as “staffing updates as we transition into the general election.”
Sullivan, a veteran and ally of President Donald Trump, campaigned on supporting the military, opening more land for oil and gas extraction, and voting for Trump's signature tax and spending law. He accused Peltola of being aligned with Lower 48 “liberals.”
Peltola leaned into the “fish, family, freedom” slogan that first got her elected in 2022, and criticized a political system she said is rigged by special interests and allows politicians to enrich themselves.
But it was a third candidate, a Republican also named Dan Sullivan, who garnered much of the attention.
Dan J. Sullivan won a legal fight to appear on the ballot despite claims by the senator and GOP allies that he was a sham candidate running at the behest of Democrats with the intent of causing confusion. Dan J. Sullivan, a retired teacher from the island community of Petersburg, denied that and said frustration with the incumbent prompted him to run.
He appeared on the ballot as Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., with no party affiliation — a decision that a state elections official said was intended to minimize possible confusion. Meanwhile the senator was listed as Dan S. Sullivan, Republican and incumbent. No other candidate seeking reelection has the “incumbent” label.
The drama involving the dueling Dan Sullivans caught the attention of Trump. In a social media post reiterating his support for the senator days before the primary, Trump called the other's candidacy an attempt to trick voters and urged his followers to vote for “SULLIVAN, DAN S.”
Dan J. Sullivan criticized the senator for embracing Trump's endorsement, calling the president “more interested in raising tariffs on our allies than in lowering the cost of groceries, housing and energy” and “more interested in punishing his enemies than bringing Americans together.”
The Senate race was a focal point for a number of voters casting their ballots Tuesday.
Jeri Kissner said Congress must do more to push back against Trump.
“I’m so disappointed in our Congress to acquiesce to the president and his minions,” Kissner said. She favored Peltola in the Senate race because she did not like the other options.
Giap Nguyen said he wants lawmakers who are willing to change the status quo and make decisions. Nguyen said he felt he had a lot of candidates to choose from, though “I don't know if I can consider them good choices, but we shall see.”
Tom Dienst, who voted early and described himself as an “extremely staunch Reagan Republican,” said Trump needs allies to help carry out his agenda.
“When you look at all of the good Trump policies that will help the state, there’s just no doubt. We have to continue with Sullivan,” he said.
In the race for Alaska's only U.S. House seat, the most prominent candidates were Republican Rep. Nick Begich, seeking a second term, and independent Bill Hill, a fisherman and former educator from a small southwestern village.
Progressive Democrat Matt Schultz suspended his campaign last month but remained on the ballot. His campaign said Schultz would withdraw as a general election candidate if he makes the primary's top four.
Schultz urged support for Hill, who leaned into concerns about affordability. Begich, who was endorsed by Trump, cast himself as hardworking and effective in his role. House Speaker Mike Johnson appeared at a rally for Begich in a conservative part of the state this month, though the event was closed to news media.
The campaign for the state’s top executive office was an open race this year because Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy was barred by term limits from seeking a third consecutive stint.
Two Democrats hoped to emerge from a crowded, largely Republican field: former state lawmakers Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich, who is Nick Begich's uncle. If either wins in November, he would become Alaska's first Democratic governor since Tony Knowles left office in 2002.
Republicans in the race included Bernadette Wilson, a businessperson and conservative activist; Click Bishop, a former state labor commissioner and lawmaker; Dave Bronson, former mayor of Anchorage; and Adam Crum and Treg Taylor, two former members of Dunleavy's Cabinet.
Former Gov. Bill Walker, an independent, also was on the ballot.
The lone ballot measure in the primary asked voters to reimpose campaign contribution limits, five years after a divided federal appeals court struck down a number of caps.
The measure proposes a $2,000 limit on how much individuals can give to candidates in state and local elections and a $5,000 cap on what they can give to political parties. It also would limit spending by groups other than political parties, and limit what individuals and groups can give to joint campaigns for governor and lieutenant governor.
Supporters say such limits are needed to prevent outsize influence by special interests and wealthy donors. Opponents say the measure would favor candidates with name recognition and restrict the free expression rights of contributors.
Political spending by wealthy people has become a flashpoint in races in Alaska and elsewhere. In 2025 in Wisconsin, billionaires Elon Musk and George Soros helped push spending in a state Supreme Court campaign past $100 million, the most ever for a court race in the U.S.
Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, who is seeking a third term, flashes a thumbs up after a passing motorist honked during a sign waving event at an intersection on primary election day in Anchorage, Alaska, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Thiessen)
U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, speaks at a get out the vote event held at farm in Palmer, Alaska, on Monday, Aug. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Thiessen)
FILE - Alaska Republican U.S. Rep. Nick Begich walks down a corridor in the state Capitol before giving a speech to Alaska lawmakers, March 10, 2026, in Juneau, Alaska. (AP Photo/Becky Bohrer, File)
FILE - Alaska U.S. House candidate Bill Hill, an independent, speaks with people at a campaign fundraising event in Juneau, Alaska, June 4, 2026. (AP Photo/Becky Bohrer, File)
FILE - Dan Sullivan, a candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate race who shares his name with the incumbent seeking reelection, talks with a reporter, July 3, 2026, in Petersburg, Alaska. (AP Photo/Becky Bohrer, File)
FILE - Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, speaks to reporters at the Capitol in Washington, June 30, 2025. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)
FILE - Alaska U.S. Senate candidate Mary Peltola, a Democrat, speaks during a campaign rally on May 14, 2026, in Juneau, Alaska. (AP Photo/Becky Bohrer, file)
