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Hong Kong must pave its own path of democracy

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Hong Kong must pave its own path of democracy
Blog

Blog

Hong Kong must pave its own path of democracy

2024-07-27 08:16 Last Updated At:08:16

After improving the political system in Hong Kong, the system has been operating smoothly. However, Western countries are naturally unhappy that Hong Kong is not following their model.

In a recent interview with the British media, Regina IP, Chairwoman of the New People's Party, discussed the issue of democracy in Hong Kong. She pointed out that under the Western democratic system, people do not vote for the common good. Instead, they vote only for their own interests, making it dangerous to follow public opinion. She also believes that the Western model of pluralism and diversity has never been part of Chinese tradition, describing Hong Kong's democratic experiment over the past 20 years as a failure.

The political system is a complex issue often misrepresented by Western media. We can study how democracy can be developed in Hong Kong from different perspectives.

First, there has never been a Western-style democracy in Hong Kong's capitalist system. During British colonial rule for more than 100 years, Hong Kong had never implemented a Western-style democratic political system, and there was no universal suffrage in major parts of the system. In 1979, Governor MacLehose went to Beijing to meet with Deng Xiaoping and learned that China would insist on resuming sovereignty over Hong Kong. Upon returning, he quickly initiated the process of developing Hong Kong's political system. In 1982, district councils were established, and in 1985, direct elections for district councilors and functional constituency elections for Legislative Council members began. Meanwhile, after the Sino-British negotiations concluded in 1984, the Joint Declaration was signed. Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping proposed the future policy for governing Hong Kong, which included "one country, two systems," "a high degree of autonomy," "Hong Kong people ruling Hong Kong," and maintaining the existing capitalist system and way of life for 50 years. It is important to note that Deng's reference to "existing" pertained to the conditions in 1984 when Hong Kong's capitalist economy was successful, unrelated to the implementation of Western-style elections.

Second, the Basic Law sets universal suffrage as only a goal. Many have claimed that the Basic Law states that the Chief Executive should be elected by universal suffrage, which is a misunderstanding. I have personally covered the drafting process of the Basic Law. At that time, there were two views within the Drafting Committee. One was led by Szeto Wah and Martin Lee, who believed that direct elections should be implemented quickly in Hong Kong; the other was the view of the Mainland Drafting Committee and the industrial, commercial, and professional sectors of the Hong Kong Drafting Committee, which considered direct elections unsuitable for Hong Kong.

While the Basic Law was still being drafted, the United Kingdom  introduced direct elections to the Legislative Council, hence a compromise was reached. In terms of the election of the Chief Executive, Article 45 of the Basic Law stipulates that “The ultimate aim is the selection of the C hief Executive by universal suffrage upon nomination by a broadly representative nominating committee in accordance with democratic procedures." The phrase "the ultimate aim" was deliberately added, indicating it is not a mandatory system but an aim. Whether or how this aim can be achieved depends on the actual situation in Hong Kong and the outcome of the progressive development of the constitutional system.

The Basic Law, as a mini-constitution, stipulates that long-term matters in the future cannot be amended at will. The prudent wording of "the ultimate aim" has proven to be very appropriate. The difficulties and shocks in Hong Kong's constitutional development have highlighted the wisdom of drafting the Basic Law at that time.

Third, a good political system addresses the problems of development and distribution. When discussing the democratic political system, many people focus solely on "universal suffrage," treating the process as the end goal, sanctifying, idolizing, and fossilizing the process, and forgetting the purpose of developing a democratic political system. Historically, the development of the Western-style democratic system several hundred years ago was driven by economic progress and the emergence of the bourgeoisie. The feudal monarchy at that time greatly constrained the bourgeoisie's push for economic development. Ultimately, under the pressure of capitalists, the emperor agreed to form a parliament and share power. The purpose of the Western-style democratic system was to adapt to the goals of economic development, and there was also a distribution issue behind this. If the emperor monopolized political power, he would also monopolize the benefits of economic development, creating a direct conflict with capitalists. For example, in France, this led to the revolution and the execution of King Louis XVI by guillotine.

Conversely, if democracy for democracy's sake creates a political system that paralyzes social and economic development, no one would consider it a good system. In Hong Kong, for example, in 2015, the government complained about filibustering in the Legislative Council, which significantly delayed the completion of four public housing projects with a total of 8,800 units, including 6,400 public housing units. The interests of those on the waiting list for public housing were not represented. For example, those who could not rent low-cost public housing and had to live in subdivided units faced a monthly rent difference of $7,000, resulting in an annual loss of $84,000 per household. In that year alone, the 6,400 public housing households on the waiting list lost a total of $540 million. This systemic failure severely hindered Hong Kong's overall development and harmed the interests of those in the lower .

Fourth, Hong Kong is experimenting with consultative democracy. The parable of Fukuyama, an American political scientist who became famous for claiming that Western-style democracy was the end of history around the time when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, is now considered a joke. The great wheel of history continues to roll forward. It will not come to a halt with the occurrence of any major event. No one can claim that any system is perfect or can be the ultimate solution. In recent years, the Western democratic system has been riddled with problems, and the rise of populist politics has led to serious social divisions, fully exposing the persistent issues of Western democratic systems.

If pluralism and political polarization are synonymous, then Hong Kong's political system does not necessarily need to increase political pluralism, as more pluralism leads to more conflict, resulting in failures such as the aforementioned filibustering in the Legislative Council. Hong Kong currently operates a system close to consultative democracy, without adversarial party politics, but with many consultation processes. The government and groups representing different interests in society constantly consult and revise government policies. The government's suspension of the garbage levy is a good example.

If Western political culture truly values pluralism, the mode of discussing constitutional development in the West should also be diversified, and the West should not only regard its own system as the best in the world. When discussing the development of a democratic political system, we do not need to follow Western logic. When one sees the fourth president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, who was elected entirely according to the Western democratic political system but was overthrown by a color revolution supported by the United States because he was pro-Russian rather than pro-American, one can easily come to conclude that the West prioritizes outcomes over processes and does not care about the system itself.

Wing-hung Lo




Bastille Commentary

** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **

The full text of the decisions (The Decisions) of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has been released. The parts related to Hong Kong, although not much, are noteworthy. It has made two points concerning Hong Kong, with an emphasis on a third point involving Hong Kong and Macao.

The first point mentioned in Article 19, "Improving the Implementation of Regional Coordinated Development Strategic Mechanisms" under Part 5, "Improving the Macroeconomic Governance System," that cites the coordinated regional development strategies of different regions in the country. It mentions "promoting the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and other regions should better play their role as a source of high-quality development...improve the regional integrated development mechanism, build a new mechanism for cross-administrative cooperation and development, and deepen industrial collaboration among the east, middle and the west."

This is to expect that the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area will establish a new mechanism for cross-regional collaboration like other regionals, and serve as a source of power for high-quality growth in support of national economic development.

The second point relates to Article 32, "Perfecting the United Front Work Pattern", under Part 8, "Improving the institution of a Full-Process People's Democratic System", where the phrase "improving the working mechanism for Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, and overseas Chinese affairs" is noted.

I believe that the central government wants all links to work together on the United Front.

After its internal situation has stabilized, Hong Kong should be able to play a more active role as an external united front. However, with the situation across the Taiwan Strait being heated, Hong Kong's united front role on Taiwan has declined. But Hong Kong has outstanding overseas links, and the city can now better perform the role of "telling China's story properly."

The most important part in The Decisions that relates to Hong Kong and Macao is Part 7. It is titled "Perfecting the institution and mechanism of opening-up at a high level". There is a paragraph explicitly addressing Hong Kong and Macao, which states that Hong Kong and Macao should "take full advantage of the benefits of the 'one country, two systems' system to consolidate and enhance Hong Kong's international status as a financial, shipping, and trade centre, while the Central Government will support Hong Kong and Macao in building a hub of international top talent, improve the mechanism for Hong Kong and Macao to better participate in the country's opening-up. It also mentions “deepening cooperation in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and strengthening docking of rules and mechanisms."

This paragraph is short but abounding. It has been a long-term goal to consolidate and enhance Hong Kong's role as a financial, shipping, and trading centre, as well as to strengthen the connectivity with other cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. However, at the Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, new requirements for Hong Kong and Macao were stated.

First, supporting Hong Kong and Macao in building a hub for worldwide high-end talents.

Trump may have a good chance of becoming president of the United States. The pairing of him and the vice-presidential candidate Vance reflects a very anti-China position. The likelihood of China and the United States resuming a trade war will rise, and anti-Chinese sentiment in the United States will be even stronger. Trump created the so-called "China Action Plan" during his last term, with the goal of completely eliminating Chinese “spies” and preventing China from “stealing” American technology. He filed numerous unjust, false, and incorrect cases, which were eventually revealed to be unfounded. Numerous scholars had been wrongly accused and suffered for many years.

It is expected that these events will occur again in the future. Chinese talents in the United States, particularly those in scientific research, may wish to leave the country and pursue opportunities elsewhere. Some may prefer not to return to mainland China directly, making Hong Kong an attractive place for them. From the Science and Technology Parks, Cyberport, to the Productivity Council's various plans that support science and technology investment, as well as the work opportunities of many universities in Hong Kong, the city is poised as an international talent hub to attract top-tier talents from overseas.

 Second, strengthening the mechanism for Hong Kong to play a more active part in the country's opening-up.

The Decisions did not explain how Hong Kong would play its role. However, whether in finance or technology, Hong Kong can play an important part in the country's opening-up in the international arena. Hong Kong not only connects the mainland, but it also benefits from the unique advantages of having two systems in one country. Take finance as an example: because the RMB is not yet freely convertible and the country has foreign exchange controls, funds cannot flow freely in and out. However, Hong Kong is an international financial centre with unrestricted movement of cash and can play a very special role.

The Decisions highlighted accelerating Shanghai's development as an international financial centre, and some speculated that this would pose a challenge to Hong Kong. In reality, Shanghai is not the only one, Hong Kong's competitors include Singapore, London, and New York. Indeed, as previously said, Shanghai, as an international financial centre, has always been subject to stricter constraints because the RMB is not freely convertible. Hong Kong has distinct advantages in this regard.

Numerous countries, such as Brazil, have significant trade surpluses with China. As they gradually trade with China in their own currency, they will accumulate more RMB funds. From the views of a sovereign country, if these RMB are invested in mainland China, approval from the Administration of Foreign Exchange must be obtained before withdrawing the funds. However, if you invest in Hong Kong, whether through RMB deposits or other RMB assets, you can come and go at any time, which is extremely handy. As a result, Hong Kong has an unrivalled advantage in this area.

The conclusion is that the text of the Third Plenary Session's resolution on Hong Kong and Macao is brief, yet substantial. It has important ramifications, whether expecting Hong Kong to attract worldwide high-end talent or play a role in the country's opening-up. Hong Kong must take the chance and act rapidly to reap the benefits of the country's further reform and opening-up, and find a new path for itself.

Wing-hung Lo

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