Global GDP growth is projected to slow from 3.3 percent in 2024 to 2.9 percent in 2025 and 2026, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said on Tuesday.
In its latest Economic Outlook, the OECD revised down its global growth forecast for the two years by 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, from its March forecast, citing a technical assumption that existing tariff rates as of mid-May will remain in place, despite ongoing legal disputes.
The organization warned that if current trends persist -- such as rising trade barriers, tighter financial conditions, weakening business and consumer confidence and increased policy uncertainty -- they could significantly undermine global growth prospects.
The OECD forecast that, due to factors such as uncertainty in trade and economic policies, the U.S. economy will grow by 1.6 percent this year, 0.6 percentage points lower than its March projection, making it one of the major economies with a notably significant slowdown in growth.
Unlike the trend of easing inflation expectations among G20 countries, the overall inflation forecast for the U.S. this year was raised by 0.4 percentage points from the organization’s March forecast to 3.2 percent.
OECD lowers global GDP growth projection in 2025, 2026
OECD lowers global GDP growth projection in 2025, 2026
OECD lowers global GDP growth projection in 2025, 2026
