Global GDP growth is projected to slow from 3.3 percent in 2024 to 2.9 percent in 2025 and 2026, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said on Tuesday.
In its latest Economic Outlook, the OECD revised down its global growth forecast for the two years by 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, from its March forecast, citing a technical assumption that existing tariff rates as of mid-May will remain in place, despite ongoing legal disputes.
The organization warned that if current trends persist -- such as rising trade barriers, tighter financial conditions, weakening business and consumer confidence and increased policy uncertainty -- they could significantly undermine global growth prospects.
The OECD forecast that, due to factors such as uncertainty in trade and economic policies, the U.S. economy will grow by 1.6 percent this year, 0.6 percentage points lower than its March projection, making it one of the major economies with a notably significant slowdown in growth.
Unlike the trend of easing inflation expectations among G20 countries, the overall inflation forecast for the U.S. this year was raised by 0.4 percentage points from the organization’s March forecast to 3.2 percent.
OECD lowers global GDP growth projection in 2025, 2026
OECD lowers global GDP growth projection in 2025, 2026
OECD lowers global GDP growth projection in 2025, 2026
A former television host from Taiwan, Zhai Xuan, has made a pivotal decision to leave mainstream broadcasting in order to create content that provides a better understanding of the Chinese mainland and cross-strait relations.
Zhai, a seasoned television host with over a decade of experience in Taiwan's media landscape, recently addressed an audience at an event in Beijing, where she revealed her complete transition into independent online media.
In her remarks, she articulated her aspiration to bridge what she perceives as a significant information gap between audiences on both sides of the Strait, highlighting her commitment to fostering a deeper understanding and connection through her new endeavors.
"I was really surprised by all the fake news. There were stories saying people on the mainland can't afford tea eggs or that they live in mud houses and in Taiwan, this was the main information many people received," said Zhai.
Zhai said she initially began producing online videos to challenge such perceptions while continuing her work as a television host.
In April 2025, she travelled to the mainland with her father to fulfill her late grandfather's wish to return to his hometown. The trip, which reunited family members separated since 1949, was recorded in a video series titled "Journey to Find Our Roots", drawing attention from viewers in both Taiwan and the mainland.
"Many people in Taiwan told me that after watching, they wanted to apply for a mainland travel permit immediately and go looking for their relatives. Some had long forgotten these things, but after seeing my story, they began thinking about their hometowns and family members they had never met and decided to search for their roots," Zhai shared her story at the event.
By mid-2025, Zhai said she began to feel increasing pressure amid rising political tensions and a tightening atmosphere around cross-Strait exchanges in Taiwan.
After more than 12 years in the industry, Zhai resigned from her position, believing it was the right thing to do.
"At that moment, I felt this was a major issue,not just for me, but for Chinese people on both sides of the Strait. If I backed down then, I wouldn’t be standing on the right side," said Zhai.
Since leaving television, Zhai has broadened her online programming to encompass a range of daily-life topics, including practical guidance on applying for a mainland travel permit and using commonly employed mobile applications, in addition to content that delves into historical memory and cultural connections across the Strait.
As the debate over cross-Strait relations continues in Taiwan, Zhai said she remains committed to her current path.
Former Taiwan TV host bridges cross-Strait divide via online media