Experts attribute China's improved economic outlook to steady policy support and resilient demand, as various international financial organizations have revised their growth predictions for the Chinese economy upward.
Following the release of China's second-quarter economic data, more than a dozen international financial institutions and investment banks have revised their growth forecasts for the Chinese economy upward, with many doing so for the second time in just six months.
Morgan Stanley, in its mid-year outlook, raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for China by 0.3 percentage points, with an additional 0.2-point increase for both 2026 and 2027. UOB followed suit with a 0.3-point adjustment, Nomura increased its forecast by 0.5 points, and Goldman Sachs made the most significant upward revision of 0.6 points.
In interviews with foreign financial experts, one word kept emerging: "resilience."
They said the reason for giving this term came from the continuously strengthened policies, the continued improvement in the macroeconomic situation, and many bright spots at the micro level.
"[The resilience in its economy] stems from China's ultra-large domestic market, its comprehensive and flexible industrial system and infrastructure, the unleashing of technological innovation and entrepreneurial spirit, the advancement of structural reforms and high-level opening-up, as well as the implementation of counter-cyclical policy support," said Zhang Ning, senior economist at UBS.
Other economists point to the nimbleness in the Chinese economy.
"[I] think I would use the word nimble to describe the Chinese economy. China can adapt well to various domestic and economic conditions to maintain a steady growth pace while maintaining macro stability. Overall, I think I maintain an optimistic outlook on the future of the Chinese economy," said Tang Jicheng, senior economist at Allianz Investments Asia Pacific.
Experts credit China’s brighter economic outlook to steady policy support, resilient demand
Experts credit China’s brighter economic outlook to steady policy support, resilient demand
Experts credit China’s brighter economic outlook to steady policy support, resilient demand
