The withdrawal of political party Komeito from Japan's ruling coalition has deepened the country's political turbulence, casting uncertainty over the selection of the next prime minister and raising the prospect of a possible shift in power, according to a Japanese political analyst.
Following the election of Sanae Takaichi as the new president of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) on Oct 4, the country's political landscape has become increasingly volatile.
The LDP has yet to set the date for a prime ministerial election, while its long-time coalition partner Komeito announced it was breaking away from the ruling alliance on Friday -- a move analysts say could significantly reshape Japan's political future.
Hiroshi Shiratori, a political science professor at Japan's Hosei University, said the LDP had failed to send any positive signals to Komeito, which was a key factor leading to the breakdown of their coalition.
"The issue of politics and money has long been a thorn in Komeito's side. The LDP has not presented any plan for fundamental reform regarding this issue and has suffered repeated electoral defeats. Komeito lawmakers believe this has led to a reduction in their seats -- in other words, many think the LDP's politics and money scandal have dragged Komeito into controversy and caused negative impacts on the party," Shiratori said.
He said Komeito's departure from the ruling coalition has added new uncertainty to the upcoming prime ministerial vote.
"The first problem [for the LDP] now is Komeito's withdrawal from the coalition. The second is with which opposition parties it can cooperate to secure a majority. Even if the LDP joins hands with one opposition party, it will still be very difficult to win a majority in the first round of voting. On the other hand, if the opposition bloc rallies behind Yuichiro Tamaki of the Democratic Party for the People (DPFP) -- with the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP), Japan Innovation Party (JIP), and now Komeito joining forces -- they could surpass the majority threshold. This means a change of government becomes highly possible, and the choice of Japan's next prime minister could see dramatic changes," he said.
Coalition breakup adds uncertainty to next Japanese PM election: analyst
