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Japanese expert: snap election unreasonable

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Japanese expert: snap election unreasonable

2026-02-08 10:49 Last Updated At:02-09 12:38

A Japanese professor criticized the snap general election triggered by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's dissolution of the lower house as unreasonable, which just leaves a campaign period of 16 days for a general election of the House of Representatives when Takaichi announced the decision on Jan 23.

The decision is aimed to capitalize on her cabinet's current high approval ratings, according to Japanese media, and the voting in the general election began on Sunday morning, with over 1,200 candidates competing for 465 seats in the House of Representatives.

Speaking in an interview with the China Global Television Network (CGTN) on Sunday, Mikitaka Masuyama, professor at Tokyo's National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, revealed the motivations behind calling this snap election.

"From my point of view, it is just how selfish attempts to consolidate the parliamentary base for Takaichi. There is no reason to have the snap election this time around, so we have to have the delays in the execution of the budget and in the heavy snow regions, having election is very costly and makes it a lot difficult for even ordinary people to go to the voting booth. So, it is cannot be justified to have an election this time around," said Masuyama.

The primary focus of the election is whether the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party (JIP) will secure a majority and allow the Takaichi administration to continue.

Speaking at a street rally on Jan 27, Takaichi said she wishes to "win the public trust," while reiterating her pledge to resign if the ruling camp fails to win a majority.

Analysts said Takaichi's decision to dissolve the lower house and call an early election while staking her position as prime minister reflects mounting internal pressures on her administration.

The recent personal scandals, economic and diplomatic policy risks, and her controversial remarks on foreign policy have made it difficult for the prime minister to fully implement her own agenda, pushing her to take a bold gamble.

"If Takaichi would win this election by landslide, she would assume the election gave her mandate. So, she probably becomes more confident in her stance on the security policy," said Masuyama.

"But I do understand that the international security environment is rapidly changing. I think we have to enhance defense capability. That does not necessarily mean that Japan to adopt a posture that could heighten the tensions with neighboring countries. I would rather see political groups gain power that enable Japan to play a more proactive role in international cooperation," he added.

Japanese expert: snap election unreasonable

Japanese expert: snap election unreasonable

Japanese expert: snap election unreasonable

Japanese expert: snap election unreasonable

A super El Nino event officially formed in September 2026, monitoring data from China's National Climate Center showed on Friday.

Zhao Junhu, chief forecaster at the center, said that the equatorial central and eastern Pacific entered an El Nino state in May this year, with sea surface temperatures in the key monitoring region rising rapidly and continuously from May to September.

The three-month running mean of the sea surface temperature (SST) index in the monitoring region has remained above 0.5 degrees Celsius for five consecutive months. The index exceeded 2.5 degrees Celsius for the July-September period, meeting the threshold for a super El Nino event.

The event is classified as an eastern Pacific-type El Nino, in which the warmest sea surface temperatures are concentrated in the equatorial eastern Pacific.

Monitoring data showed that sea surface temperatures across most of the equatorial Pacific in September were above average of the same period, with temperatures in the warm pool of the eastern Pacific exceeding the climatological average by more than 3 degrees Celsius.

The SST index for the monitoring region reached 2.94 degrees Celsius in September, up 0.35 degrees Celsius from August. The average index for the July-September period stood at 2.54 degrees Celsius.

Based on a combination of domestic and international dynamical climate models and statistical forecasting methods, the center expects sea surface temperatures in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific to continue rising over the next three months, peaking in late autumn or early winter, Zhao said.

The event is expected to become the strongest El Nino on record since systematic monitoring began, he added.

Super El Nino event formed in September: China's National Climate Center

Super El Nino event formed in September: China's National Climate Center

Super El Nino event formed in September: China's National Climate Center

Super El Nino event formed in September: China's National Climate Center

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