US stocks wobble after feeling both the upside and downside of a strong jobs report

NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks felt both the upside and downside Wednesday of a surprisingly strong report that said the nation’s unemployment rate improved last month.

After initially rising toward an all-time high, the S&P 500 flipped between gains and losses before finishing with a minuscule dip of less than 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 66 points, or 0.1%, and the Nasdaq composite fell 0.2%. Both also erased early gains.

Treasury yields, meanwhile, remained higher in the bond market after the Labor Department said U.S. employers added 130,000 jobs to their payrolls last month, more than economists expected. That helped calm worries from a day earlier, when a discouraging report suggested spending by U.S. households, the main engine of the economy, may be stalling.

On one hand, the strong data on jobs raises hopes that the U.S. economy can remain solid and keep driving big profits for companies. Stocks in the energy and raw-material industries jumped to some of the bigger gains in the S&P 500, for example, and their profits tend to be closely tied to the health of the economy.

Exxon Mobil climbed 2.6%. Smurfit Westrock jumped 9.9% even though the packaging company reported a weaker profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. It gave financial targets for the next five years that some analysts found encouraging.

But on the other hand for the broad stock market, the stronger-than-expected jobs data could also keep the Federal Reserve on hold when it comes to cuts to interest rates. And higher rates can drag on prices for stocks and all kinds of other investments.

After Wednesday’s report showed the tick down for the U.S. unemployment rate, traders pushed back their bets for when the Fed could begin cutting interest rates again, according to data from CME Group. The bets slid further into the summer, after a new Fed chair is set to take the helm.

If Wednesday’s jobs report had shown a rise in the unemployment rate or other worsening for the job market, that could have pushed the Fed to resume its cuts more quickly.

Lower rates would give the economy and financial markets a boost, though at the cost of potentially worsening inflation. The next monthly update on inflation at the U.S. consumer level is arriving on Friday, and it will likely be another big influence on the Fed’s plans.

After the jobs report, the yield on the 10-year Treasury edged up to 4.17% from 4.16% late Tuesday. The two-year Treasury yield, which moves more closely with expectations for Fed moves, climbed more. It rose to 3.51% from 3.45%.

To be sure, all is still not perfectly clear for the U.S. economy. Wednesday’s report included major revisions, which said employers added just 181,000 jobs for all of last year. That’s less than a third of the previously reported 584,000, and it’s the weakest showing for a year since 2020, when COVID-19 shut down the economy.

The overall jobs report nevertheless looked to be an encouraging signal for the economy.

“We all knew there would be downward revisions, but these were better than expected,” Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management, said of the markdowns for 2025.

On Wall Street, Robinhood Markets fell 8.8% even though the trading and investment app reported a stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. Its revenue fell short of forecasts, and analysts highlighted Robinhood’s forecast for expenses in 2026, along with concerns about how long a slowdown in crypto trading will last.

Crypto prices have plunged recently, and bitcoin’s price fell toward $67,000 Wednesday. It’s lost close to half its value since setting a record in October.

Moderna dropped 3.5% after saying the U.S. Food and Drug Administration is refusing to consider its application for a new flu vaccine made with Nobel Prize-winning mRNA technology. It’s the latest sign of the FDA’s heightened scrutiny of vaccines under Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kraft Heinz recovered from an early loss and added 0.4% after CEO Steve Cahillane said he’s pausing the company’s planned split into two businesses as he tries to return it to profitable growth. He also announced a $600 million investment across marketing, sales and research and development.

All told, the S&P 500 edged down by 0.34 to 6,941.47 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 66.74 to 50,121.40, and the Nasdaq composite fell 36.01 to 23,066.47.

In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe following a better showing in Asia.

The United Kingdom’s FTSE 100 gained 1.1%, and South Korea’s Kospi rose 1% for two of the bigger moves.

AP Business Writers Matt Ott and Elaine Kurtenbach contributed.

AGI Inc Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO Marciano Testa, left, Governance Officer Lucas Aguiar, center, and Chief Client Officer Matheus Girardi take a selfie photo on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange after their company's IPO began trading, Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2026. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

AGI Inc Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO Marciano Testa rings a ceremonial bell on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as his company's IPO begins trading, Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2026. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

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McDonald’s focus on value is paying off.

The fast food giant said Wednesday that its global same-store sales — or sales at locations open at least a year — jumped 5.7% in the October-December period. That's better than the 3.9% Wall Street was expecting, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

Chicago-based McDonald's fourth quarter revenue and earnings also beat analysts' expectations.

McDonald’s cut prices on some U.S. combo meals in September. Those Extra Value Meal promotions came on top of discounts that began earlier in 2025, like the McValue menu. McDonald's popular Snack Wraps, which returned to menus in July for $2.99, also helped improve value perceptions.

McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski said those changes helped McDonald's gain share among consumers with household incomes of $45,000 or less, a segment that has been drifting away from the brand.

“McDonald’s is not going to get beat on value and affordability," Kempczinski said during a conference call with investors.

The company also boosted U.S. traffic in the fourth quarter with marketing schemes, including the return of its Monopoly game in October and a Grinch-themed meal in December. Kempczinski said McDonald's sold 50 million pairs of Grinch socks with those meals in the first few days of the promotion, briefly making the company the largest seller of socks in the world.

McDonald's said its same-store sales rose 6.8% in the U.S. in the October-December period. Ian Borden, McDonald's chief financial officer, said that pace will likely slow in the January-March period, partly because severe winter weather has hurt traffic or forced some restaurants to close or limit their hours.

McDonald's focus on value and marketing has been similar in international markets. In Germany, for example, lower-priced McSmart snacks have boosted store traffic. Same-store sales in McDonald's company-operated international markets rose 5.2% in the fourth quarter; Borden also expects that pace to slow in the first quarter due to weather impacts.

“We’re really confident about what’s within our control, really confident about the underlying momentum of the business,” Borden said.

The company said it's working on new menu items for this year, including beverages inspired by its short-lived CosMc's restaurant format. McDonald's said it plans to start selling energy drinks, iced coffees and fruity refreshers under its McCafe brand sometime later this year.

McDonald's revenue rose 10% to $7.01 billion in the fourth quarter. That beat Wall Street's forecast of $6.84 billion.

Net income rose 7% to $2.16 billion. Adjusted for one-time items, including restructuring charges, McDonald's earned $3.12 per share. That also beat analysts' forecast of a $3.05 per share profit.

McDonald's shares were flat in after-hours trading.

Other chains have also been focused on their value message over the last year. Taco Bell, which expanded its value menu in January 2025, said last week that its same-store sales jumped 7% in the October-December period.

FILE - A sign for a McDonald's restaurant in Philadelphia, on Friday, June 6, 2025. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)