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New attacks raise questions about what comes next in the Iran war

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New attacks raise questions about what comes next in the Iran war
News

News

New attacks raise questions about what comes next in the Iran war

2026-07-09 15:55 Last Updated At:16:00

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump says he believes the ceasefire with Iran is over. He says he’s not sure he wants a deal anymore and says the U.S. should “finish the job.” But he also insists that continued attacks do not mean a return to war or long-term action.

The confusion and uncertainty in Trump’s mixed messaging and his approval of back-to-back military strikes leave major questions about what comes next in the conflict, just weeks after difficult diplomacy to reach even an initial deal between the longtime adversaries.

The whipsawing rhetoric could be a strategy to increase the pressure on Tehran to stop attacking ships transporting oil and natural gas in the Strait of Hormuz and bend to U.S. demands on its nuclear program — something Trump has tried before.

Whether it is a negotiation tactic or a signal of an escalation in fighting, mediators are scrambling to save the interim deal and the actions risk further inflaming tensions — which could spell problems for Republicans in November’s midterm elections if gas prices stay high.

Trump warned Wednesday that a new round of U.S. attacks was coming, even as he attempted to shrug off suggestions of a return to full-scale war. Hours later, the military announced it was carrying out new attacks on Iran that were meant to “further degrade their ability to threaten freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.”

“Anything that happens is going to happen very fast,” Trump said earlier. “We’re not looking for a long time.”

A regional intelligence official involved in the mediation efforts said the conflict had reached a critical stage as mutual mistrust rises. But high-level communications are ongoing around-the-clock to salvage the ceasefire, said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the delicate behind-the-scenes negotiations.

The foreign ministers of Pakistan and Qatar, as well as Egypt’s intelligence chief, are leading the efforts, while Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan — whose country hosted the NATO summit that wrapped Wednesday — and leaders from Saudi Arabia are also involved, the official said.

The U.S. is upset about ships being attacked in the Strait of Hormuz and accuses Iran of slow-playing discussions on curtailing its nuclear program, the official said. Nuclear talks were a major next step to try to turn the interim deal announced last month into a lasting end to the war.

Tehran, meanwhile, says Washington is the one violating the agreement regarding the strait and failing to ensure that a ceasefire in Lebanon, including an Israeli withdrawal, is being implemented, the official said.

Michael Eisenstadt, a former U.S. military analyst who now directs the Military and Security Studies Program at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, said that “we’re still in negotiating mode, no matter what the president says."

"This is part of negotiating, and declaring that the MOU is over is part of the negotiation as well,” Eisenstadt said, referring to the memorandum of understanding that the ceasefire was built on.

Trump, though, has been explicit in public comments, saying he's lost interest in preserving the ceasefire: “I think it's over.”

“We can play games, but I’m not sure I want to make a deal,” he said during the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, adding that the U.S. military might “just finish the job.”

Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, Iran’s lead negotiator, said the Trump administration had repeatedly violated the terms of the initial pact, forcing the country to respond appropriately.

“The era of bullying and extortion is over. It leads nowhere. We don’t fold,” Qalibaf posted on X.

Pakistan, which helped broker the ceasefire, said renewed conflict is in "no one’s interest” and urged both sides to uphold their commitments.

“There is no alternative to continued engagement, dialogue and diplomacy to achieve shared goal of peace in the region,” its Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

Trump, nonetheless, dismissed Tehran's leaders, calling them “scum" and “sick people." Just last month, Trump said Iran’s leadership was “very rational” and "nice to deal with,” while also calling the country's leaders “smart people.”

Speaking at an event in Milwaukee on Wednesday, Vice President JD Vance, who led U.S. efforts to reach the initial deal with Tehran, said Iran was “well behaved for about a week.” He added that lately the country had begun attacking the strait and said, “If they shoot at ships, we’re going to knock the hell out of them.”

Before the U.S. and Iran reached their first, two-week ceasefire in April, Trump intensified his threats, pledging that American forces would bomb Iranian bridges, roads and power plants. He even posted online, “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again."

He repeated dire threats before the tentative, 60-day deal to end the war was reached last month.

Trump likes to seek ways to negotiate from a position of strength, and he could be looking for more leverage with new strikes. But being unequivocal about the end of the ceasefire also could free up Iran militarily — which could again roil oil prices and financial markets.

Ali Vaez, Iran director at the International Crisis Group, argued that escalating threats may be a riskier maneuver this time around, given the domestic and international stakes for the U.S.

“It certainly looks like an effort to turn up the military heat without yet closing the diplomatic door. But coercive bargaining is a dangerous game: at some point, a pressure campaign can acquire a momentum of its own and become the war it was ostensibly meant to avoid,” Vaez said.

He added, however, that Iran still has every reason to return to the table because it desperately needs the economic relief that was promised under the interim deal.

Trump also has sent mixed signals about the fallout.

He long insisted that rising gas prices for Americans didn't factor into his calculations on Iran — only to say that part of the reason he agreed to the interim deal was to avoid an “economic catastrophe." He has since touted the falling price of oil after the deal was reached.

The president again resumed his past threats to strike Iran’s civilian infrastructure, possibly including electric plants and desalinization plants, and to seize the oil-production hub of Kharg Island.

“We may take over Kharg Island," he said. "There’s not a thing they could do about it.”

Still, the midterm elections — when Republicans hope to retain control of the House and Senate — are now less than four months away. Oil prices rising again amid greater uncertainty about the war means Americans will likely continue to see higher prices at the pump.

The president tried to downplay such concerns, saying, “Any time we hit them, it goes up a little bit — $2.” In fact, U.S. oil futures jumped far higher and may keep climbing — even as Trump acknowledged, "As oil goes, so goes everything else.”

"If we hit Iran, oil goes up a little bit," he said, arguing that it was worth it to bar Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. “It's all right.”

Amiri reported from New York and Magdy from Cairo. Associated Press writer Munir Ahmed in Islamabad contributed to this report.

President Donald Trump arrives for a media conference at the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, Wednesday, July 8, 2026. (AP Photo/Francisco Seco)

President Donald Trump arrives for a media conference at the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, Wednesday, July 8, 2026. (AP Photo/Francisco Seco)

BRISBANE, Australia (AP) — An injury crisis in Australia’s flyhalf ranks has resulted in Declan Meredith being selected to make his test debut for the Wallabies in the Nations Championship test against Six Nations titlist France on Saturday.

Meredith, a 27-year-old playmaker from Cairns in far north Australia who linked up with the Canberra-based Brumbies in 2023, will be the sixth different player to start a rugby test at No. 10 for Australia since July of last year.

Later Thursday, France overhauled its lineup with eight changes after a tournament-opening 34-32 loss to New Zealand. One change was enforced after winger Damian Penaud sustained a calf injury after scoring a national record-extending 41st try early against the All Blacks.

Romain Ntamack returned at flyhalf and Matthieu Jalibert switched to fullback, and three Australia-raised players were included in the squad: prop Moses Alo-Emile and lock Emmanuel Meafou will start, with lock Tom Staniforth dropping to the bench after making his France debut last week.

Jalibert, who has a calf injury, will need to pass a fitness test on Friday.

Injuries to Wallabies Carter Gordon, who started in last week’s 33-31 loss to Ireland, and Ben Donaldson, who went on as a replacement and missed a late penalty goal that could have won the game, meant Meredith will join Brumbies teammate Ryan Lonergan in yet another new halves pairing for the Wallabies.

In the last 12 months, Noah Lolesio, Tom Lynagh, James O’Connor, Tane Edmed and Gordon have been the starting playmaker for Australia.

Jock Campbell, who started at fullback last week in his first test in four years, will move to the bench as cover for Nos. 10 and 15, with Tom Wright returning at fullback in the only other change to the Wallabies' starting XV.

“The group has reset this week in Brisbane after what was a tough ending to the first game of the Nations Championship,” Wallabies coach Joe Schmidt said in announcing the squad Thursday. “We have worked hard on continuing to improve after missing some vital opportunities last weekend.”

No. 8-ranked Australia will also be without loose forward Tom Hooper, who injured his shoulder against Ireland, as it bids to avoid a sixth consecutive loss. His place on the bench was filled by Nick Champion de Crespigny.

Lineups:

Australia: Tom Wright, Max Jorgensen, Joseph-Aukuso Sua’alii, Len Ikitau, Dylan Pietsch, Declan Meredith, Ryan Lonergan; Harry Wilson (captain), Fraser McReight, Rob Valetini, Jeremy Williams, Josh Canham, Allan Ala’alatoa, Josh Nasser, Angus Bell. Reserves: Brandon Paenga-Amosa, James Slipper, Taniela Tupou, Lachlan Shaw, Nick Champion de Crespigny, Tate McDermott, Jock Campbell, Filipo Daugunu.

France: Matthieu Jalibert, Theo Attissogbe, Fabien Brau-Boirie, Yoram Moefana, Aaron Grandidier-Nkanang, Romain Ntamack, Maxime Lucu (captain); Marko Gazzotti, Oscar Jegou, Lenni Nouchi, Emmanuel Meafou, Florian Verhaeghe, Demba Bamba, Peato Mauvaka, Moses Alo-Emile. Reserves: Maxime Lamothe, Jefferson Poirot, Tevita Tatafu, Hugo Auradou, Tom Staniforth, Killian Tixeront, Nolann Le Garrec, Kalvin Gourgues.

AP rugby: https://apnews.com/hub/rugby

France's Damian Penaud scores a try during the Nations Championship rugby international between the All Blacks and France in Christchurch New Zealand, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (Chris Symes/Photosport via AP)

France's Damian Penaud scores a try during the Nations Championship rugby international between the All Blacks and France in Christchurch New Zealand, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (Chris Symes/Photosport via AP)

New Zealand's Josh Lord wins a lineout during the Nations Championship rugby international between the All Blacks and France in Christchurch New Zealand, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (John Davidson/Photosport via AP)

New Zealand's Josh Lord wins a lineout during the Nations Championship rugby international between the All Blacks and France in Christchurch New Zealand, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (John Davidson/Photosport via AP)

New Zealand perform the haka, as the French team watches ahead of the Nations Championship rugby international between the All Blacks and France in Christchurch New Zealand, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (Craig Butland/Photosport via AP)

New Zealand perform the haka, as the French team watches ahead of the Nations Championship rugby international between the All Blacks and France in Christchurch New Zealand, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (Craig Butland/Photosport via AP)

Australia's Harry Wilson, centre, passes the ball during the Nations Championship rugby international between Australia and Ireland in Sydney, Saturday July, 4, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Baker)

Australia's Harry Wilson, centre, passes the ball during the Nations Championship rugby international between Australia and Ireland in Sydney, Saturday July, 4, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Baker)

Australia's Ben Donaldson takes a shot at goal during the Nations Championship rugby international between Australia and Ireland in Sydney, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Baker)

Australia's Ben Donaldson takes a shot at goal during the Nations Championship rugby international between Australia and Ireland in Sydney, Saturday, July 4, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Baker)

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