More than 80 percent of vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz over the past two weeks chose the Omani route, CNN reported on Tuesday, citing data from ship-tracking platform Kpler. The reort said the result suggests Iran's control over the strait has weakened compared with one or two months ago.
Kpler found through tracking vessel transponders and satellite data that most ships have recently chosen to navigate the waterway via the Omani side despite the risks.
"Iran appears to have at least partially lost control of the strait," said Homayoun Falakshahi, head of crude oil analysis at Kpler.
According to CNN, Iran wants ships to prefer the northern route on the Iranian side, which is controlled by Iran. However, traffic on that route has dropped sharply, making it impossible for Iran to collect "tolls" from passing vessels, as it had been doing since the Iranian Parliament's national security and foreign policy committee passed a bill on March 30 to charge vessels transiting the strait.
After the United States and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) in mid-June, the Strait of Hormuz, which had been closed due to the conflict between the two countries, was briefly reopened, creating the Iranian-controlled northern route and the two southern routes on the Omani side where the U.S. military provided navigation assistance, known as the Omani route.
Later, conflicts between the two countries over control of the strait resumed, and Iran announced the closure of the strait again.
Dan Pickering, chief investment officer at Pickering Energy Partners, said most vessels in the Middle East are unwilling to pay and have never paid "tolls" to Iran, making the Omani route the most practical choice.
According to Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have chartered ultra-large crude carriers to sail out of the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz and transfer crude to customer tankers in the Gulf of Oman, outside the danger zone. To avoid attacks, these carriers have turned off their transponders, sometimes for weeks at a time.
CNN said this covert shipping activity appears to have also evaded tracking by Kpler and other ship tracking agencies.
Over 80 percent of vessels transiting Strait of Hormuz choose Omani route: US media
