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Taiwan’s Barrier Lake Disaster: A Man-Made Tragedy of Incompetence

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Taiwan’s Barrier Lake Disaster: A Man-Made Tragedy of Incompetence
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Taiwan’s Barrier Lake Disaster: A Man-Made Tragedy of Incompetence

2025-09-26 20:06 Last Updated At:20:06

The catastrophic collapse of the barrier lake in Hualien, Taiwan, was a disaster. On the surface, it looked like a natural event. But let's be clear: it was not. This was an entirely man-made tragedy, a textbook case of indecision and a complete failure to act.

When Super Typhoon Ragasa slammed into Asia, Taiwan bore the brunt of the damage. Fifteen people died, most of them in Guangfu Township in Hualien. Why? A local barrier lake couldn't withstand the hurricane-force rains and collapsed, unleashing a torrent of water that flooded the township. Many residents were trapped in their homes; a number of them never made it out alive.

A Ticking Time Bomb Ignored

The story of the Mataian barrier lake begins with the massive earthquake that struck Taiwan on April 3 last year. That quake caused landslides and destabilized soil and rock across Hualien. Fast forward to this July, the remnants of Typhoon Wipha made it even worse by dumping torrential rain on the region.

This triggered another huge collapse in the forests upstream of the Mataian River. By July 21, a 200-meter-high barrier dam had formed, blocking the river and creating a gigantic basin on the mountainside. This wasn't just a puddle; it was a ticking time bomb holding a reservoir's worth of water—a staggering 91 million cubic meters at full capacity.

Dealing with a natural hazard of this scale was obviously too much for the Hualien County Government alone. So, after the barrier lake formed, Taiwan's agricultural department stepped in, holding meeting after meeting with other agencies. They floated several ideas to release the water—digging to lower the dam's crest, blasting it open, siphoning the water—but shot down every single one as "unworkable." Stuck in a loop of indecision, they did nothing.

And so, when Typhoon Ragasa hit, the inevitable happened. Heavy rain poured again into the already full lake. And the results: the dam burst, sending a tsunami-like wall of water surging downstream and devastating Guangfu Township.

Global Examples of Decisive Action

As the Taiwanese Facebook account "SpecialForceDB" pointed out, there are plenty of examples from around the world showing how this kind of crisis should be handled.

Take the United States, for example. Back in August 1959, a 7.3 magnitude earthquake in Montana triggered a massive landslide that dammed the Madison River, creating a barrier lake. The US Army Corps of Engineers knew explosives were too risky; the dam was too large and the geology too unstable. A blast could cause an even bigger, uncontrolled flood.

Instead, they chose the slower but safer route: mechanical excavation. It took them a month, but they successfully carved a 15-meter-deep, 76-meter-wide spillway to safely release the water.

Then there's the case from Tajikistan in Central Asia. In April 1964, a huge landslide in the Zarafshan River valley created a massive barrier lake with a dam up to 220 meters high. If that dam had burst, the historic city of Samarkand and its hundreds of thousands of residents would have been wiped out.

Fortunately, Tajikistan was part of the Soviet Union back then, and Moscow acted decisively. The Soviet government combined blasting with mechanical digging, using 250 tons of explosives to clear debris and carve a 40-50 meter deep channel. This controlled release averted a catastrophe.

And of course, we have the example from Wenchuan, Sichuan, in May 2008. A powerful earthquake created 257 barrier lakes all at once, with the largest—Tangjiashan—holding a horrific 250 million cubic meters of water and threatening over a million people in cities downstream.

The Chinese government had to act fast, and it did. It deployed military and engineering teams who relied mainly on heavy machinery for excavation, using small, targeted blasts only to clear stubborn rock. To get the equipment there, China used Mi-26 heavy-lift helicopters to fly in 80 bulldozers and excavators. They carved a massive spillway hundreds of meters long, and by June 10, the water was being safely discharged, ending the crisis before it could erupt.

These three examples from the US, the Soviet Union, and China provide a clear playbook. If the geology is stable, you can use large-scale blasting. If it's unstable, you use heavy machinery to dig. And if you can't get heavy machinery to the site, you combine small-scale blasting with manual labor. The solutions are all there.

Excuses, Inaction, and Deadly Consequences

Sure, dealing with the Mataian barrier lake was difficult. It was in a remote area with no roads, so getting heavy machinery there wasn't easy. But the lake formed in July—they had two full months to act. If a decision had been made swiftly, Taiwan could have borrowed heavy-lift helicopters from mainland China or elsewhere to fly in the equipment, just like China did in Wenchuan.

Let’s compare: mainland China took just 29 days to resolve the Tangjiashan crisis, a lake nearly three times larger than Mataian. Taiwan, on the other hand, dithered for two months and three days and accomplished nothing.

And if all else failed? If their high-level meetings produced nothing? They could have done the simplest thing of all: send in the troops. Taiwan has 189,000 active-duty soldiers. They could have dug that spillway by hand. But even that was too much to ask. Instead, with a super typhoon bearing down, the authorities—seemingly oblivious—failed to even order an evacuation of Guangfu Township.

This wasn't a natural disaster. It was a man-made catastrophe, born from incompetence. What else could you possibly call it?

 Politics Over People

The Taiwanese authorities were paralyzed by indecision, shooting down every proposed solution while offering no alternatives of their own. Politics was clearly at play. Hualien County is run by the KMT, and while the ruling DPP government might not have intentionally blocked efforts, they certainly didn't make it a priority.

The result? The Executive Yuan let its departments drag their feet until it was too late. This political infighting cost the residents of Guangfu Township their lives. For all of Taiwan's boasting about its "advanced" system, the disastrous results of its governance speak for themselves.

Lo Wing-hung




Bastille Commentary

** The blog article is the sole responsibility of the author and does not represent the position of our company. **

Picture this: Back before 2018, I'd have laughed off any talk of Hong Kong rivaling the big dogs like London, New York, or Switzerland as a global hub. But dig into the facts—US-launched trade wars in 2018, followed by Western sanctions crushing Russia after the  2022 Ukraine conflict. And suddenly, Hong Kong's spotlight sharpens.

Hong Kong just wrapped up its FinTech Week, drawing crowds with real momentum. Then came the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)—founded in January 2016, well before US-China tensions boiled over—announcing plans for an office here to handle surging business, as stated in their official press release. 

Nine years on, the landscape has flipped: Western dominance cracks under self-inflicted wounds, opening doors for Hong Kong to anchor international flows.

Western Giants Exposed

For decades, a handful of spots ruled the roost as international powerhouses. Let's break them down with the receipts.

New York stands as the nerve center for global finance and politics. The New York Stock Exchange dominates as the world's largest market by volume, per SEC filings, pulling in companies chasing listings. It's also home to UN Headquarters, buzzing with organizations and elite talent. And don't forget: The US pumps out top-tier education, drawing students worldwide—though that's shifting, as we'll see. 

London. It's the silver medal in finance, hosting the London Stock Exchange—second biggest globally, according to LSE data. The city doubles as an education magnet, a go-to for international students seeking prestige.

Switzerland plays the wealth guardian, its neutrality—enshrined in treaties since 1815—luring billionaires to stash fortunes, as UBS and Credit Suisse reports confirm. Commerce sparks arbitration needs, making it a go-to for disputes under the Swiss Chambers' Arbitration Institution.

Let’s not forget Silicon Valley: fueling innovation and tech while clustering talent and venture capital—think $100 billion-plus in annual US VC deals, per PitchBook stats, centered there.

Globalization's Breaking Point

Back then, it was pure bliss under globalization's spell. G7 powerhouses and Global South players alike swam in free trade and supply chains, hooked on the efficiency.  

But Trump stormed in during 2017, firing the first shot at China with 2018 tariffs. This wasn't just bluster; it targeted China's rise, using export bans on chips and tech to throttle growth.

Fast-forward to February 2022: Russia's Ukraine conflict triggers the West's harshest sanctions yet. The US-led bloc froze Russia's $300 billion central bank reserves, a stark alert to the Global South that no one's assets are safe.

The UK piled on, locking down "Russian oligarch" holdings under the 2019 Russia (Sanctions) (Post-Brexit) Regulations. Take Roman Abramovich: Owner of Chelsea FC, he was forced to sell the club for £2.5 billion in 2022, but the cash sits frozen, per UK Treasury disclosures. London claims Putin ties, yet offers zero public evidence linking him directly. Why move assets to the UK if a single decree can snatch them? It spooks anyone parking money there.

Even Switzerland's famed neutrality crumbled, aligning with EU sanctions despite no formal membership—freezing over CHF 7.4 billion ($9.2 billion) in Russian assets by March 2023, as the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs reported. Baffling? Absolutely. Neutrality was their brand; now it's a joke.

Assets on the Run

These cracks make Western hubs look like traps for Global South players. One US sanction call, and allies echo it, icing government and private funds. The fix? Spread risks to steadier spots like Hong Kong—neutral, connected, and tied to China's stability. 

Trump's second act piles on the damage, gutting US science and tech. Since his January 2025 inauguration, he's slashed new energy subsidies by billions, and hammered universities, axing federal research funds. 

The National Institutes of Health alone halted 2,100 projects worth $9.5 billion, hitting gender studies, climate health effects, Alzheimer's, and cancer work, as NIH memos confirm. Silicon Valley's biotech VCs reel: Government-backed ventures now starve, sparking an exodus of US scientists to safer shores.

This mess forces the Global South—including China—to redraw the map. The old guard of US-steered centers? Exposed as fragile illusions. Hong Kong emerges as the smart pivot: A hub for finance, education, tech, and organizations, luring branches with headquarters potential, talent, and capital. China's International Mediation Institute already bases in Wan Chai, per its founding charter—a blueprint for more.  

Kick off with the International Mediation Institute, add AIIB's regional office, and watch the dominoes: More groups follow, cementing Hong Kong as a multifaceted powerhouse. China's backing ensures resilience against Western whims, turning opportunity into reality.

 

 

Lo Wing-hung

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