PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Apr 7, 2026--
Europe is navigating a period of intense turbulence, where geopolitical crises, pressure on critical raw materials, and climate‑related shocks are reinforcing one another. This polycrisis is no longer cyclical: it is structurally reshaping the continent’s value chains and testing its industrial competitiveness.
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In this context, Ardabelle is releasing Greening the Arteries of Industry, a groundbreaking study that quantifies for the first time the economic gap between a Europe that endures and a Europe that invests. Conducted under the scientific supervision of economist Xavier Jaravel, this work represents the first attempt to model, in an integrated way, industrial resilience, ecological transition, and European competitiveness through 2035 - 2050.
The study was presented under the high patronage of Roland Lescure, Minister for the Economy, Finance and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty, and Agnès Pannier‑Runacher, Minister for Ecological Transition and Territorial Cohesion, reflecting the strategic importance of these issues for France and for Europe.
The conclusion is unequivocal: a €7 trillion differential by 2050, nearly twice the current GDP of Germany.
The study shows that the inaction scenario - with GDP stagnating at €20 trillion in 2050 - exposes the continent to compounding climate damages, supply chain disruptions, and strategic dependencies. By contrast, a coordinated trajectory of green transition and industrial resilience would lift GDP to €27 trillion, driven by innovation, energy security, and the reconfiguration of supply chains.
Investing 2% of GDP per year between 2025 and 2030 would be enough to trigger this trajectory, with a 218% return on investment. Every euro invested generates €3.18 in benefits, including €2.50 from avoided climate damages alone.
Ardabelle: an architect of Europe’s value chains
Ardabelle positions itself as one of the few investment funds capable of combining macroeconomic analysis, micro‑level value chain expertise, financial acumen, and operational experience. This integrated approach enables the firm to support Europe’s SMEs and mid‑caps - 99% of European companies - as they transition toward more resilient, circular, and competitive business models.
Virginie Morgon, co-founder of Ardabelle declares: “This is not an ideological debate, but a battle for resilience and competitiveness. Europe’s value chains must be fundamentally rethought, and it is SMEs and mid-cap companies that hold the keys. Ardabelle is betting on a Europe that rebuilds, accelerates, and regains control of its industrial destiny.”
Eric Hazan, co‑founder of Ardabelle, states: “Europe is facing a €7 trillion bet. This is not a slogan - it is an economic choice. We are at a decisive moment for Europe’s industrial sovereignty. Either we invest now to build resilient value chains, or we accept structural decline. At Ardabelle, we believe resilience has become the new competitiveness - and we intend to be its architects.”
The full study is available here: https://ardabelle.com/articles/greening-arteries
About Ardabelle
Ardabelle Capital is a pioneering private equity firm focused on accelerating the transition to a sustainable, resilient economy. The firm is led by a world-class team of partners who bring together a rare blend of expertise from private equity, industry, and sustainability, combining decades of experience in transforming businesses and driving value across global markets. Ardabelle targets mid-market industrial, services, and technology businesses poised for international growth. With a unique value chain-driven strategy and a strong ecosystem of corporate partners, industry experts, and sustainability strategists, Ardabelle invests to drive long-term sustainable value.
For more information, visit ardabelle.com
Europe's Choice: €27T Coordinated Growth or €20T Fragmented Decline by 2050
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Saudi Arabia closed the only road linking it to Bahrain on Tuesday after Iranian fired missiles at its oil-rich Eastern Province. Tehran's latest strikes came as Iranian officials urged youths to form human chains around power plants to protect them, as the latest deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz drew closer.
Trump has threatened to bomb all of Iran's power plants and bridges if Iran does not meet his Tuesday 8 p.m. EDT deadline to allow shipping traffic to fully resume through the strategic waterway, through which a fifth of the world's oil transits in peacetime.
“The entire country can be taken out in one night,” Trump said.
Iran choked off shipping through the strait after Israel and the U.S. attacked on Feb. 28, starting the war. On Monday, Tehran rejected a 45-day ceasefire proposal and said it wants a permanent end to the war.
Early Tuesday, Tehran launched seven ballistic missiles at Saudi Arabia, which authorities said rained debris on the ground near energy facilities as they were intercepted. Defense Ministry spokesman Maj. Gen. Turki al-Malki said the damage was being assessed.
In the meantime, Saudi Arabia said it was closing the King Fahd Causeway, a bridge that links Saudi Arabia to the island kingdom of Bahrain over the threat of more Iranian attacks targeting the Eastern Province.
The 25-kilometer (15.5 mile) bridge is the only connection by road for Bahrain, home to the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet, to the Arabian Peninsula.
Elsewhere, activists reported a new wave of strikes on Tehran, for which Israel later claimed responsibility. Iran also fired on Israel, with reports of incoming missiles.
Iran's attacks on the energy infrastructure of its Gulf Arab neighbors, coupled with its stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz, has sent oil prices skyrocketing and is causing global economic problems.
In early spot trading, Brent crude, the international standard, was above $111 per barrel, up more than 50% since the start of the war.
Under growing pressure at home as consumers feel the pinch, Trump has demanded that Iran open the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping traffic or see power plants and bridges wiped out. The threat to hit civilian infrastructure has sparked widespread warnings about possible war crimes.
New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon on Tuesday urged Trump not to follow through, saying the “focus needs to be on not seeing this conflict expand any further.”
“Any of those actions including bombing bridges and reservoirs and civilian infrastructure would be unacceptable,” Luxon told Radio New Zealand.
Iran sought to up the ante, calling on “all young people, athletes, artists, students and university students and their professors” to form human chains around power plants ahead of the threatened strikes.
“Power plants that are our national assets and capital, regardless of any taste or political viewpoint, belong to the future of Iran and to the Iranian youth,” Alireza Rahimi, identified by Iranian state television as the secretary of the Supreme Council of Youth and Adolescents, said as he issued the video call in a newscast.
Iran has formed human chains in the past around its nuclear sites at times of heightened tensions with the West.
U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres warned the U.S. that attacks on civilian infrastructure are banned under international law, according to his spokesperson. Trump, speaking with reporters, said he’s “not at all” concerned about committing war crimes with such attacks.
As the deadline neared, efforts were still underway to reach a negotiated solution. Even though Iran has rejected the latest proposal from the U.S., officials involved in the diplomacy say that talks are still ongoing.
More than 1,900 people have been killed in Iran since the war began, but the government has not updated the toll for days.
More than 1,400 people have been killed in Lebanon and more than 1 million people have been displaced. Eleven Israeli soldiers have died there.
In Gulf Arab states and the occupied West Bank, more than two dozen people have died, while 23 have been reported dead in Israel and 13 U.S. service members have been killed.
Japan said Tuesday that one of its citizens who had been detained in Iran since January had been released on bail. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara told reporters in Tokyo that Japan is demanding his full release from Iranian authorities.
Rising reported from Bangkok. Mari Yamaguchi in Tokyo and Rod McGuirk in Melbourne, Australia, contributed to this report.
People drive their motorbikes past a billboard that shows a graphic depicting Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei in downtown Tehran, Iran, Monday, April 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Displaced people wait to receive donated food beside the tents they use as shelters after fleeing Israeli bombardment in southern Lebanon, in Beirut, Lebanon, Monday, April 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Emilio Morenatti)
A man inspects the damage to cars and an apartment building struck by an Iranian missile in Ramat Gan, Israel, Monday, April 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Oded Balilty)
