Hong Kong has long held the position of being at the centre of international finance, a position that is expected to grow stronger as it strives to become the leading offshore Renminbi (RMB) hub in accordance with China’s 15th five-year plan.
Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po has unveiled plans in his latest Budget speech which will see Hong Kong as the marketing tool for launching the RMB on the world’s stage. Hong Kong will become the platform for the issuance of RMB bonds on a regular basis by tapping emerging markets to bring in more cross-boundary RMB transactions to the city.
A major incentive to use the RMB was launched by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) earlier this month when it increased the RMB Business Facility (RBF) to RMB 200 billion to provide banks with a stable and relatively low-cost source of RMB funds.This facility enables banks to offer RMB financing to their corporate clients, thereby promoting the wider use of the RMB in the economy. RBF channels onshore RMB liquidity into offshore markets, with Hong Kong serving as a hub for these transactions.
With China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) spreading throughout Asia, the Middle East and Africa there is now less dependency on the US dollar as the international currency for trade and a stronger dependency for the yuan, thus enhancing China’s influence in the global financial system.
As of late February, the yuan is trading around 6.85–6.89 per US dollar, reflecting a strengthening trend for the yuan and a weakening dollar due to shifting trade policies and interest rate environments. The decline in the US dollar has been driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and uncertainty surrounding US tariffs.
Offshore RMB hubs are now established across Asia, Europe, North America and Australia and include places like the USA, Canada, Australia, Hungry, France and Germany to name just a few. But Hong Kong is still the leading hub, attracting some 70 per cent of all RMB deposits. Dim sum bonds – yuan-denominated notes issued outside mainland China – have become a mainstream financing tool as tech firms and global companies tap deeper yuan liquidity amid a stronger currency.
Under the 15th five-year plan there are a number of recommendations which the financial secretary has adopted in his budget to fall in line with Hong Kong’s first five-year plan. Hong Kong will promote more convenient foreign exchange quotations and transactions between the RMB and other regional currencies to reduce transactions costs; enrich mutual market access by exploring with the mainland how to expedite the issuance of mainland government bond futures in Hong Kong, plus the inclusion of real estate investment trusts (REIT) in the scheme.
Hong Kong's financial market has performed strongly, and its financial system remain robust. Chan said the city will continue to consolidate its existing strengths, tap into emerging fields, strengthen market systems and risk control and deepen financial cooperation in the Greater Bay Area (GBA). By doing so, Hong Kong will enhance its role as an international financial centre on all fronts and contribute to the national strategic goal of "accelerating China's development as a financial powerhouse".
To better align with the 15th Five-Year Plan's deployment for the RMB internationalization, Hong Kong must further deepen and broaden its RMB financial market, gradually developing a toolbox of RMB risk management tools comparable to those of the US dollar and euro in terms of interest rates, exchange rates, and commodities, thereby enhancing the confidence of domestic and foreign institutions in using these tools with peace of mind and ease of use.
The Security and Futures Commission (SFC) and the HKMA are actively implementing the “Roadmap for the Development of Fixed Income and Currency Markets” announced last year. It includes boosting issuance in the primary market, enhancing liquidity in the secondary market, and expanding offshore RMB business. The electronic bond-trading platform will also be launched in the second half of this year, thereby reinforcing Hong Kong's position as a global fixed income and currency hub.
The budget implements various effective measures outlined in the Chief Executive’s (CE) Policy Address. The CE, John Lee Ka-chiu, said the Budget leverages Hong Kong's unique advantages of being connected to both the mainland and the world under the "one country, two systems" principle in actively pursuing economic growth, advancing development, improving people's livelihood, seizing new development opportunities, and better integrating into and serving the overall national development.
Overall, the Budget was upbeat, highlighting Hong Kong’s role in international finance markets. It paves the way for a bright future for Hong Kong by following guidelines in a five-year planning process.
Currently, the Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar at 7.75-7.85 range, but as the US dollar weakens, so does the Hong Kong dollar. Maybe, just maybe, in the not-too-distant future it will be time for Hong Kong to change its peg to a more stable currency…such as the RMB.
Mark Pinkstone
** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **
When China’s Paramount Leader Deng Xiao Ping floated the idea of one country two systems for the future of Hong Kong, the west scoffed at the possibility of a communist regime and a capitalist bastion living hand in hand. Some 29 years later the prophets of doom were proven wrong as Hong Kong is now more prosperous than ever and it’s future will be more so.
For more than 150 years Hong Kong lived under a British colonial rule. There was no democracy, only authoritarian management. The succession of ruling governors were hand-picked by the Foreign and Commonwealth Office and appointed by the Prime Minister, without any consultation with the people of Hong Kong.
But the people of Hong Kong didn’t mind. If they had never seen democracy, how could they miss it. The governors were diplomats and their upper-crust training ensured that the natives were happy and that their rice bowls were filled. The diplomats got on well with the Chinese government as they knew that harmony was the key component to a successful relationship.
Then came along a politician for the first time to run Hong Kong in the name of Chris Patten, who had lost his seat in the Bath electorate, about 156 km west of London. John Major was Prime Minister at the time and a good friend of Patten. So, to make up for the political loss in Bath, Major offered Patten the cushy job of being governor of Hong Kong.
In 1992 Patten and his family arrived in Hong Kong and as a typical politician, he arrived like a bull in a china shop (pun intended). There was no diplomacy involved. Patten and Major had decided that the foreign office diplomats were pussy-footing with the Chinese during the previous decade negotiating Hong Kong’s future and a firmer stand was necessary.
Unlike his predecessors, Patten knew nothing of Chinese traditions and customs. He just could not understand Chinese mentality and that applied not only to the mainlanders but also the local Chinese. The East is East and the West is West and never the twain shall meet wrote poet Rudyard Kipling in 1889. But, in Hong Kong they did.
The Joint Declaration between Great Britain and China on the future of Hong Kong and the subsequent Basic Law (Hong Kong’s mini constitution) provided the pathway for Hong Kong’s future, including democratic elections for the city’s legislative council. But Patten was impatient and decided to introduce a fully elected legislature in 1995 immediately before the handover in 1997. This infuriated the Chinese-side, and they provided for a provisional legislature to replace Patten’s council as soon as Hong Kong was reverted to Beijing’s administration.
After 1997, Hong Kong formed its first directly elected Legislative Council in 1998, while the Chief Executive is elected by an Election Committee — a system similar to the U.S. presidential election. Hong Kong's Election Committee now has 1,500 members, whereas the U.S. Electoral College has only 538 members.
Since then, Hong Kong has flourished. The prophets of doom and Kipling were wrong. Despite many attempts by the west to dismantle the Deng formula Hong Kong is one of the most successful places on the planet. Year after year it is breaking records to the envy of many. Hong Kong has secured third place in the Global Financial Centres Index. In the latest World Competitiveness Ranking, Hong Kong's position has risen one spot further to rank second globally. And in the World Talent Ranking, Hong Kong has moved up 10 places to rank the fourth globally and the first in Asia. Hong Kong also continues to come first as the world's freest economy. And Hong Kong has what many want – stability.
The Hong Kong formula is unique and successful. Never tried before, it was seen as an experiment and the world was watching, waiting for it to fail. But the Hong Kong people are resourceful and will take any challenge head on. There is no failure.
The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR), established under the People’s Republic of China (PRC) Constitution, has maintained the previous capitalist system and way of life. Its common law system continues to operate, and it enjoys the free flow of people, capital, data, goods and more. The vibrancy and prosperity of the central government has always been Hong Kong's strongest backing.
Hong Kong’s 29th birthday under the PRC guidance, coincides with the 105th Anniversary of the Founding of the Communist Party of China. Naturally there have been celebrations all round, and justifiably so. Both Hong Kong and the central government are proud of what they have achieved. And both, particularly in the past year have taken top ranking as the preferred place in the world to trust and to do business.
Chief Executive John Lee, at a celebratory function on July 1 summed it up with: “Hong Kong, the Pearl of the Orient, will ride the wave of flourishing national development and sail with the wind, steering towards a brighter and more prosperous future!”
And the future is being mapped out in Hong Kong’s first five-year plan, currently under consultation with the public. The plan, a road map for future leaders to follow, will include a futuristic block of land, one third of Hong Kong’s total, to house high tech innovative research and development facilities with university, hospital and new town ancillary services. This Northern Metropolis straddles the river that acts as the boundary between Hong Kong and neighboring Shenzhen, with bridges linking the two; further proof that Hong Kong is an integral part of China.
