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J-10CE Fever: Three New Buyers Circle China's Fighter Jet

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J-10CE Fever: Three New Buyers Circle China's Fighter Jet
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Blog

J-10CE Fever: Three New Buyers Circle China's Fighter Jet

2026-10-22 21:28 Last Updated At:21:29

Just a week ago, observers were still asking who would become the third user of China's homegrown J-10CE fighter. A week later, that question can barely keep up with events. Bangladesh, Azerbaijan and Indonesia have all reported new progress at almost the same time.

The Buyers Line Up

In a matter of days, the overseas customer list for a single fighter jet has jumped from two countries to several. That kind of surge is rare in today's international arms market.

Start with Bangladesh. Reports say the country's price list and budget for 20 J-10CEs have gone public, and negotiations have entered the final stage.

The process has moved fast. Last year China said it would actively push air force cooperation with Bangladesh and deepen practical exchanges. The two sides then reached an intent to sell, and now a detailed quotation sits on the table. At this point, what remains is mainly a question of when the pen hits the paper. What public channels show so far is still the quotation and the progress of negotiations. No formal contract has appeared yet.

The Bangladesh track is no surprise in itself. The country has long used a considerable amount of Chinese equipment for air defense and training. Public records show that man-portable missiles like the FN-6 have even been licensed for local production.

On that foundation, buying the J-10CE is a step up along an existing channel. It is not a new system built from scratch.

Azerbaijan displayed a full-scale J-10CE model bearing the national flag, an eagle emblem and President Aliyev's signature at the defense exhibition.

Azerbaijan displayed a full-scale J-10CE model bearing the national flag, an eagle emblem and President Aliyev's signature at the defense exhibition.

Baku's Bold Signal

Azerbaijan is the loudest thread in this story, and the one that demands the most caution. At a defense exhibition in Baku, organizers rolled out a full-scale J-10CE model dressed up in remarkable detail. The vertical tail carries Azerbaijan's national flag and eagle emblem. The fuselage wears the number "27-001," and President Aliyev's signature sits above the canard.

On top of that, reports say Baku has scrapped plans to buy follow-on batches of the JF-17 Block 3 and is preparing to pivot to the J-10CE instead.

The signaling here is hard to miss. The JF-17 Block 3 is a fourth-and-a-half-generation fighter, but it is still a light jet. Public information puts the Azerbaijani Air Force's inventory at roughly a dozen-plus MiG-29s, a handful of MiG-21s and more than ten Su-25s. That is over thirty aging aircraft waiting to be replaced.

The logic writes itself. Use the JF-17 first to bed down the Chinese-style ecosystem of logistics, munitions and data links, then jump straight to a medium-weight fourth-and-a-half-generation mainstay fighter. For a country caught in the Caucasus arms race, it is an understandable path.

But a model, a paint scheme and a signature are all exhibition-floor theater. The claim that Baku canceled its JF-17 order exists only at the level of reports. Neither development has been confirmed by a formal contract, and should not be treated the as a signed deal.

What can be said with confidence is this: Azerbaijan's interest in the J-10CE is now out in the open, and it sits just one step away from a final deal.

Jakarta Closes the Loop

Indonesia's courtship has run the longest. It has also come full circle.

From May to June 2025, the rumor was that Jakarta would buy second-hand J-10s. Observers even debated whether the jets would be early J-10As or the scarcer J-10Bs fitted with passive phased-array radar.

By October 2025, the story had escalated to funding for 42 new J-10CEs. The defense minister said at the time that the fighters would soon be flying over Jakarta.

Indonesian Air Force Chief of Staff Haryono, asked about progress on the fighter purchase, urged the public to be patient. Reports say the first batch of J-10s is expected to arrive within six months.

Indonesian Air Force Chief of Staff Haryono, asked about progress on the fighter purchase, urged the public to be patient. Reports say the first batch of J-10s is expected to arrive within six months.

In June 2026, media reports said the number had been adjusted and that the package would include PL-15E long-range air-to-air missiles. Deputy Defense Minister Donny Ermawan Taufanto backed the plan, saying it would strengthen modern combat capability while delivering value for the defense budget.

Then, on October 5, Indonesian Air Force Chief of Staff Hajorono told reporters in Jakarta that the public should patiently await the J-10s. He said the first batch would arrive in six months.

That was the final click. The air force's top professional officer had matched his message to procurement details that had been tightening step by step, closing the loop.

Indonesia's choice looks even more revealing against the makeup of its own fleet. The air force already flies Russian Su-27/30s, American F-16s, French Rafales and British Hawk trainers.

For a buyer accustomed to shopping around, adding a cost-effective medium fighter fills a gap in the system. It also preserves Jakarta's leverage to keep pushing on price and hedge its bets across multiple suppliers.

As for social media claims by users saying they are relatives of Indonesian pilots, some have alleged that the pilots have already gone through training in China. Without any official confirmation, those accounts remain unverified rumors.

After Pakistan inducted the J-10CE, observers turned their attention to the liveries and movements of potential users such as Uzbekistan.

After Pakistan inducted the J-10CE, observers turned their attention to the liveries and movements of potential users such as Uzbekistan.

Combat Sells Jets

Line the threads up and a rough trajectory emerges. Pakistan was the first overseas customer, and around the May 7 air battle the jet got its first real combat test. After that, doubts over whether Chinese fighters had seen actual combat gradually gave way to open discussion.

Uzbekistan was widely seen as the second user. The cold-toned new paint scheme that surfaced in CCTV coverage was generally read as matching its Central Asian livery style.

Then came Bangladesh's quoted scheduling, Azerbaijan closing in as a system user, and finally a bet from a regional heavyweight like Indonesia.

Behind the thread sits a familiar logic of the arms trade. Combat performance is the best advertisement, system integration is the hardest bar to clear, and price is what pulls hesitant buyers to the table.

France's Rafale has dominated the market for years on the strength of the first two. Its product is combat-proven and comes with NATO data links and logistics standards built in.

Now the J-10CE packs all three advantages: combat experience, system integration and price. That gives the expansion of its customer list a solid footing.

Signatures Still Count

A name on a list is not a signed contract. There is still real distance between the two. A budget is a budget, a quote is a quote, and a signature on a model is just a gesture. Only an order committed to paper counts.

Egypt is the ready example. Cairo got a close-up look at the Chinese Air Force's full system during joint exercises. Yet it remained boxed in by U.S. military loans and France's after-sales lock-in, and turned back to order more Rafales.

The lesson is clear. The cost of switching systems remains the most realistic hurdle Chinese equipment must clear as it goes global.

So the real story is not three buyers appearing overnight. It is the J-10CE graduating from "a candidate aircraft with real combat results" to "a mature option with a delivery record." The combat results of the May 7 air battle are all holding a place for the next user on the potential list.

Whether names like Algeria, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt show up depends on whether each can clear the hurdles of U.S. loans, the NATO system, and technical standards.

The international arms trade has always followed one rule: when equipment proves itself in real combat, customers crowd the shelves. The market attention now swirling around the J-10CE is, roughly speaking, one more confirmation of that rule.




The Art of Stopping War

** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **

On October 7, CCTV's military news program dropped a telling detail during an interview aboard the PLA Navy's Type 055 destroyer Zunyi. The program recounted how the Zunyi, responding to a foreign warship's tracking and surveillance at sea, leaned on its high-speed maneuverability. The foreign vessel that forced itself to keep up eventually shut down and stopped dead, losing all propulsion and electrical power.
 
The Reveal: CCTV's Interview Points Straight at the Benfold
The program never named the opposing ship. It gave only the outcome. Multiple media outlets republished the disclosure, and several sources corroborated one another.
 
Public attention swung back to an incident three months earlier, when a US Navy destroyer lay paralyzed in the South China Sea.

Foreign warship shadowing Zunyi suddenly loses all power.

Foreign warship shadowing Zunyi suddenly loses all power.

Line up that clue against the public reporting, and the direction becomes fairly clear. On August 17, USNI News published a report confirming that the Arleigh Burke-class destroyer USS Benfold suffered an engineering failure in the South China Sea on July 24. The entire ship lost propulsion and electrical power.
 
The US military chartered a commercial tugboat to haul the destroyer back to Subic Bay in the Philippines for emergency repairs. On board, the generator sets had shut down, and freshwater production, central air conditioning, flush toilets, and galley equipment had all ground to a halt.
 
Add CNN's contemporaneous reporting, and the two accounts snap together. CCTV's interview description of a total loss of propulsion and electrical power of the opposing ship matches the failure reported by the US side exactly, in both timing and symptoms.
 
CCTV aired the episode only after more than three months, presenting it as a case study in responding to foreign warship tracking and surveillance. That delay itself signals such confrontations are anything but rare. It is just that most of the time, the outside world never sees the details.
 
The Power Gap: 112 Megawatts vs. 100,000 Horsepower
Start with the propulsion. The Zunyi is a Type 055 destroyer displacing 12,000 to 13,000 tons fully loaded. It packs four QC-280 gas turbines in a combined gas turbine and gas turbine (COGAG) arrangement. Total output exceeds 112 megawatts, about 150,000 horsepower. That muscle buys sustained high-speed cruising and still leaves ample load redundancy.

Type 055's gas turbines give ample power reserves.

Type 055's gas turbines give ample power reserves.

By comparison, early Arleigh Burke-class destroyers muster only a little more than half that power. The gap shows up most directly in sustained high-speed steaming.
 
The USS Benfold belongs to the Flight I batch of the Arleigh Burke class, displacing 8,300 to 9,000 tons fully loaded. Its four LM2500 gas turbines deliver a combined 100,000 horsepower. For electricity, the ship leans on three Allison 501-K34 gas turbine generator sets. Each unit is rated at 2,500 kilowatts, for a total of 7,500 kilowatts.
 
The LM2500 is a mature workhorse across Western surface fleets. But the Benfold was commissioned in 1996, and by 2026 it will have logged a full 30 years of service. That puts the ship squarely in the stage of system aging and frequent breakdowns.
 
A warship's electromechanical piping and generator sets undergo irreversible physical decay. Under prolonged high-intensity deployment, old hulls routinely suffer component fatigue, aging wiring, and declining heat dissipation. The South China Sea's high-humidity, high-salinity environment only accelerates the slide.
 
When the Zunyi leads at more than 30 knots, the Benfold must hold its tracking distance. Its electromechanical systems and generator sets must then run for long stretches in conditions close to their limits. Sustained high-speed steaming tests more than raw power. It also probes the margins for heat dissipation, lubrication, and grid stability.
 
Once an old ship's margins run dry, localized failures easily cascade and spread.
 
Four Days Adrift: 40-Degree Heat, Blackout, and a Tugboat Rescue
From publicly available information, the consequences were brutally concrete. The full-ship blackout did more than dim the lights. It shut down air conditioning, fresh water, and sanitary facilities across the vessel.
 
July in the South China Sea is peak summer heat. Temperatures inside the steel hull rose above 40 degrees Celsius, and the crew endured four days in sealed compartments. They survived on emergency meals and material relief from the accompanying guided-missile cruiser USS Robert Smalls, and only when a commercial tugboat arrived on the scene was the destroyer towed away.
 
The episode came with a twist. Some reports say the Chinese warships shadowing nearby initially had no clear idea what was happening aboard the other vessel. For a time, they judged that the US warship, which had suddenly stopped and gone into radio silence, might be executing other tactical maneuvers.
 
Only after a full day and night of close monitoring did they confirm the truth: a total power failure that left the ship dead in the water.
 
The technical substance of the "pushed to the breaking point" claim demands a harder look. The Arleigh Burke class was designed with three generator sets housed in separate compartments. The design holds that even if two are destroyed by hits, the last one must still keep propulsion and communications running.
 
Losing power across an entire ship under that redundant architecture tells its own story. The failure was not simply a single generator set pushed past its load. It exposes long-term shortfalls in day-to-day maintenance.
 
The Higgins offers more evidence. In April this year, another US Seventh Fleet destroyer caught fire because of an electrical fault, lost power and propulsion, and drifted at sea for several hours. Take the two accidents together, and the deeper problem clearly extends beyond a single warship.

USS Benfold, 30 years old, systems aging.

USS Benfold, 30 years old, systems aging.

The accident also exposes the US Navy's logistics and maintenance bind. Shipyards and repair facilities in the continental United States lack capacity, skilled workers are in short supply, and repair schedules slip again and again.
 
Many destroyers that should have gone into the yard for major overhauls have postponed those plans over and over.
 
Outsourcing deepens the squeeze. Maintenance after ships return to port has long been handed to defense contractors, who bill by the construction period and carry limited manpower. When several ships tie up at the same time, some vessels always miss out on thorough repairs, and large numbers of aging warships have no choice but to deploy while still carrying defects.
 
The Benfold is Exhibit A. It ran high-frequency frontline missions without completing thorough electromechanical maintenance, and the systemic hidden dangers were planted long ago.
 
Young Fleets, Old Hulls: The Generation Gap at Sea
The Chinese Navy's surface fleet tells the opposite story. Its main destroyers are young hulls with stable electromechanical systems, and failure rates sit at the low end of the service life cycle.
 
China's domestic shipbuilding industry supplies the backbone. Its support system gets warships into the yard on time and maintains them according to plan, so ships put to sea with a relatively high level of combat readiness.
 
This gap stays invisible in peacetime. Only in long, high-intensity maritime standoffs does it get magnified into concrete consequences.
 
High-speed tracking and counter-tracking is a stress test for shipboard electromechanical systems. It measures two things: reaction speed and staying power.
 
The Zunyi has power to burn. Its integrated electromechanical management is highly automated, letting the ship adjust speed and course at any time to match sea conditions and mission needs. The destroyer can hold high-speed runs for extended periods and keep the initiative of the standoff firmly in its own hands.
 
Whoever can sustain high-speed operations longer controls the tempo. That side can also drag the opponent into operating conditions it is not suited for.
 
In the tracking duel, the foreign warship lost more than the initiative.
 
After the full-ship blackout and loss of propulsion, the vessel lost battlefield awareness and any basic guarantee of navigational safety. Radar and navigation lights became hard to maintain, and communications fell back to a minimum. In close-range, complex waters like the South China Sea, that is an extremely dangerous state to be in.
 
A several-thousand-ton main combatant drifting in a hotspot, waiting for a tugboat, is a severe risk in its own right.
 
Equipment performance under extreme operating conditions does not lie.
 
The Benfold's paralysis this time was more than an electromechanical failure. It offered a concrete display of the gap between the Chinese and US surface fleets in platform condition, fleet structure, and industrial sustainment capacity.
 
As the Chinese Navy commissions and continuously deploys new types of main combat ships, the platform generation gap in open-ocean confrontations will keep revealing itself. Leaning on old warships alone to sustain a high-intensity forward presence only pushes failure risk and tactical passivity higher.

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