Presidential candidate Donald Trump invited Chinese electric carmakers to enter the US market—as long as they made the China-designed cars in America.
This would be a stark contrast to the Biden-Harris system of keeping the popular clean-energy cars out of the country by slapping a 100 per cent surcharge on them.
BANKERS INTRIGUED
The Trump plan has investment bankers intrigued.
"If acted upon, this would be a revolutionary change in the US-China trade relationship," said Marko Papic Chief Strategist at BCA Research.
"First, it would separate national security concerns from trade, adjusting US trade policy to the realities of a global multipolar environment. Second, it would resolve the trade dispute using tried and tested policies from the 1980s."
The strategist was referring to a period when Japan was the world's leading carmaker and was coerced into building its vehicles on US soil.
INVITATION INCLUDES THREAT
Trump has repeated the offer to Chinese carmakers several times, although it has had little coverage in the mainstream media, since it doesn't fit the narrative.
In March this year, he said: “If they want to build a plant in Michigan, in Ohio, in South Carolina, they can, using American workers, they can."
The offer was repeated last month in a convention speech, but in keeping with his tough guy image, a threat was included. "We don’t mind it happening but plants will be built in the United States and our people are going to man those plants. And if they don’t agree with us, we’ll put a tariff of approximately 100 to 200 percent on each car and they will be unsellable in the United States."
US CAR MAKERS NEED CHINA I.P.
Of course, all politicians make promises that fail to turn into actions. Yet Trump has made this offer repeatedly, and the electric car issue is not going to go away, so something will have to be done about it. Geely, BYD, Chery and other Chinese firms are enjoying remarkable sales growth in multiple countries.
There would be other advantages too, including IP transfer from China to the United States carmakers: In America, Tesla is over-dominant (51% of the electric market) and the Big Three car firms (13% between them) do need some creative input.
Would China consider accepting the deal? Probably yes. It has shown repeatedly that making trade deals overseas is the country's superpower.
WAY OUT OF TOXIC POLITICS
But more importantly, the offer shines a light on an unexamined difference between the two political parties in the United States.
The hyper-politicized Biden-Harris administration is controlled by the security establishment (call it the blob or the swamp or whatever), which gives an insanely paranoid military-intelligence quadrant the final yea or nay to every deal involving China.
Trump, for all his faults, is showing that a business deal can be handled as a business deal. This is something that China, and indeed all of Asia, can understand.
Trade is often beneficial, while US geo-politics is now always toxic.
Yet the Chinese should not make the mistake of thinking that Trump is friendly towards them. In the same speech that he invited them to build factories in the United States, Trump said: "If you go back 20, 25 years they’ve stolen, going to China and Mexico, about 68 percent of our auto industry. Manufacturing jobs. We’re going to get them all back. We’re going to get them all back, every single one of them."
His motivation sounds less like a hope for a win-win deal, and more like revenge.
by Nury Vittachi
Lai See(利是)
** The blog article is the sole responsibility of the author and does not represent the position of our company. **
In the latest international upheaval, Europe is taking the hardest hit. After 300 years of modern civilization and the churn of imperial powers, that era is gone, and a better tomorrow is nowhere in sight.
Europe has one problem: it cannot take care of itself. “No one really knows whether Europe would still be able to produce toothpaste if it weren’t for China,” the EU Chamber of Commerce said.
Europe doesn’t make toothpaste; it sells luxury brands. Fine — look at the latest news. Reuters reports that the U.S.-Israel-Iran war has delivered a blow to European luxury labels. Sales at Dubai’s upscale malls, packed with wealthy shoppers, have fallen 50 percent, and LVMH, France’s largest luxury group, says wealthy Middle Eastern customers have paused spending in Europe because of the conflict in the Gulf region.
The New York Times, in a piece headlined “Europe Is Done With Appeasing Trump”, lays out several of Europe’s current pains.
“The barrage of tariffs that opened the second Trump administration, aimed indiscriminately at friend and foe; the brazen demands that Denmark cede Greenland to the United States, and now the absence of any consultation with European allies before joining Israel in an attack on Iran that has affected the entire world, have erased any illusion among most Europeans that Mr. Trump is anything but an unpredictable, vindictive and uncontrollable danger,” it wrote.
Trump’s latest move is to impose a blockade on all Iranian ports from Monday, adding another barrier in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. president has repeatedly said, with obvious satisfaction, that America has oil and natural gas, and that oil shipping blockage cannot bring the United States to its knees. In other words, if Iran wants a war of attrition, the White House is ready to go all the way. America’s NATO allies, meanwhile, make clear they will “decline to join in.” Europe’s oil supply is already under pressure: Russian oil and gas are cut off, and Middle Eastern shipping now faces a second lock. So is Trump punishing Iran, or Europe?
“Last year, export controls imposed by Beijing on seven rare earth elements and the magnets made from them had especially severe consequences. China is a global leader in the production of these critical raw materials, which are widely used in electric motors, smartphones, and numerous everyday electronic devices,” Deutsche Welle reported. “The EU Chamber of Commerce said nearly one-third of its member companies indicated in a questionnaire survey at the beginning of this year that their business had been affected by China’s export control measures.”
The EU Chamber of Commerce knows perfectly well that China-EU relations have been pulled off course by the United States, and that Europe has not shaped its foreign and trade policy around its own interests. It has even had to tear out 5G networks built by Huawei and ZTE, while Chinese electric vehicles face restrictions. That has only made China-EU ties more tangled. Europe can hardly be called arrogant now. Energy supplies are unstable, and rare earth constraints have turned it into an industrial power with nothing usable to work with. So what now?
Although calls to “de-risk” economic ties with China have persisted for years, many European companies continue to bet on the Chinese market. Over the past year, EU figures show that 26% of companies said they were relocating their supply chains to China, “a proportion twice that of companies choosing to move their supply chains out of China or establish a second hub overseas.” The trend is clearly still going strong.
Europe’s major powers, including France, Italy and Germany, all feel the need to break free from the manipulation and humiliation imposed by the United States, especially the Trump team. Europe has finally woken up and is now pushing for independence and autonomy, placing its national destiny firmly in its own hands.
Nothing in the world is difficult if you are willing to scale the heights. Europe becoming strong again is no dream, but starting over takes patience. I would say 300 years is enough for you to turn things around.
