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US–China Trade War Escalates: Trump’s Tariff Threat Sparks China’s Hardline Retaliation

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US–China Trade War Escalates: Trump’s Tariff Threat Sparks China’s Hardline Retaliation
Blog

Blog

US–China Trade War Escalates: Trump’s Tariff Threat Sparks China’s Hardline Retaliation

2025-10-13 09:38 Last Updated At:10:15

Trump blasted out a warning on his social media platform Truth Social about China’s tough stance on trade. He claimed “China sent an extremely hostile letter to the world” by announcing that starting November 1, 2025, it will “impose large-scale export controls on nearly every product they make, and some not even made by them”.

The US, striking back, plans to “impose a tariff of 100% on China, over and above any tariff they are currently paying”, plus export controls on critical software. This move will also start on November 1, 2025.

And, Trump criticized China’s rare earth export limits and said that there was no reason for meeting with Xi Jinping at the upcoming APEC summit in South Korea — though he later softened the tone, saying the meeting might still take place.

Markets React: Stock Sell-Off

The market slammed back hard after Trump’s announcement. On “Black Friday,” the Dow plunged 878 points to 45,479 and the Nasdaq tumbled 3.56%, closing at 22,204.

Trump: “Starting November 1st, 2025, the United States will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any Tariff they are currently paying.”

Trump: “Starting November 1st, 2025, the United States will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any Tariff they are currently paying.”

Meanwhile, China’s Ministry of Commerce unveiled new rare earth export controls: any foreign exporter dealing in products with over 0.1% China-sourced rare earths or using Chinese extraction/magnet-making tech now needs an export licence. Controls on permanent rare earth magnets will kick in from December 1.

Trump says China’s move caught him off guard and insists the US is only responding. When asked if the US might lift tariffs if China backs down, he was noncommittal, saying it depends on future developments. He claims a good relationship with Xi Jinping but was blindsided. And he warned the US has plenty of tools beyond tariffs and software controls, including export controls on planes and parts.

Back in August, both sides agreed to suspend 24% tariffs for 90 days, a truce expiring November 9.

China gets tough: New export rules for rare earths—license needed if even 0.1% comes from China.

China gets tough: New export rules for rare earths—license needed if even 0.1% comes from China.

But tensions have been simmering. The US trade office targeted China’s maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries earlier this year and announced port fees on Chinese vessels starting October 14—violating international trade norms and agreements.

China Hits Back with Countermeasures

In response, China’s Ministry of Transport announced a “special port fee” on ships linked to the US starting October 14. The Ministry of Commerce emphasized these are fair defensive measures to protect competitive shipping and shipbuilding markets internationally.

According to Reuters, China has become the top shipbuilder worldwide over the past 20 years, and is now capable of commercial and military projects simultaneously. The US port fees are part of a wider push to revive American shipbuilding and curb China’s maritime strength.

Experts quoted by Reuters say China’s countermeasure shows the tariff truce is fragile at best.

A soybean trader noted China remains annoyed and likely won’t resume US farm imports soon. Despite that, agricultural trade impact may be limited as imports have already shrunk since the tariff war started. Bloomberg reported that after China’s announcement, global logistics reacted fast: some oil tankers canceled bookings to China, and charter rates for coal and iron ore carriers spiked.

Bloomberg also highlighted the massive impact of China’s port fee: RMB 400 per ton, or about $56, meaning a super-large crude carrier docking pays an extra $6.2 million each time. Analysts call this significant already.

Ship showdown: China slaps special port fees on US-linked vessels—fight fire with fire.

Ship showdown: China slaps special port fees on US-linked vessels—fight fire with fire.

CNBC quoted Peter Alexander of Z-Ben Advisors saying the US made the first move, and China’s just returning fire — “just more tit-for-tat negotiating tactics. The US placed similar fees on Chinese-bound vessels and now China is doing th4 same.”

Who This Hits: Ships and Investors with US Ties

Jayendu Krishna, director at Drewry Shipping Consultants, said bluntly that the devil is in the details – if a vessel financed by a US company, listed on a US exchange or chartered by a US entity is deemed US-owned, the measure could have a significant impact.

Kun Cao, vice president of Reddal, told the Associated Press that China’s countermeasure is “not just a symbolic move” – the rule specifically targets any vessel with substantial ties to the US, whether in ownership, operation, flag or construction, and fees will ramp up with tonnage – “real bite is on US-owned and operated vessels”.

Bloomberg also noted that although many of the world’s largest tanker operators are not headquartered in the US, several are listed there and have major US shareholders.

Omar Nokta, an analyst at Jefferies Group, said the impact of China’s new fee should not be underestimated – it will affect listed companies, especially those with more than 25% of shares held by US-based investment funds.

Meanwhile, US shipping insiders say the American port fee announcement is still a “murky mess” with unclear rules and scope, leaving the industry confused.




Mao Paishou

** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **

The 31st meeting of Andean Community (CAN)’s Foreign Ministers Council recently gave China the green light unanimously. Experts say this opens a crucial foothold for China to push industries like artificial intelligence and electric vehicles, leveraging the rich deposits of gold, copper, and lithium in CAN’s member countries.

On September 30, Colombian Foreign Minister Rosa Yolanda Villavicencio, Ecuadorian Foreign Minister María Sommerfeld, and Peruvian Ambassador to Colombia and CAN Secretary General Gonzalo Gutiérrez attended the CAN handover ceremony.

On September 30, Colombian Foreign Minister Rosa Yolanda Villavicencio, Ecuadorian Foreign Minister María Sommerfeld, and Peruvian Ambassador to Colombia and CAN Secretary General Gonzalo Gutiérrez attended the CAN handover ceremony.

China’s Growing Role as the World’s Reliable Partner

According to the South China Morning Post, while the Trump administration was busy “hiking up trade barriers”, Latin American countries looked for reliable global export partners — and that’s China. Unlike the US, which often prioritizes its own interests, China is seen as a stable and committed ally.
 
Leland Lazarus of Lazarus Consulting, which advises on Sino-Latin ties, summed it up neatly: “In other words, China’s message is, while the US is closing shop, we’re still open for business.”
 
Set up back in May 1969, the Andean Community is a key regional economic group, based in Lima, Peru, with four members: Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, and Bolivia. Chile and Venezuela left earlier, in ’76 and ’06. Since 1999, China and CAN have maintained contact through consultations.

Founded in May 1969, the Andean Community is a key regional economic integration organization in Latin America.

Founded in May 1969, the Andean Community is a key regional economic integration organization in Latin America.

Jiang Tianjiao from Fudan University’s BRICS Research Center says this is a “new phase” for China and Latin America relations. Getting observer status deepens economics and investment ties, and it’s a key strategic step for the Global South.
 
Joining CAN boosts cooperation with Latin America and strengthens the voice of developing countries through formal regional participation.
 
Counterbalance to US Tariff Wars

In the midst of Trump’s tariff battles, China stands as a defender of global order and a major developing country that offers stability. Jiang says China’s role in CAN helps member countries hedge against tariffs and find alternative markets.
 
As an observer, China provides Latin America with more reliable export routes through regional cooperation and strengthens South-South collaboration against unilateral US pressure.

Lazarus highlights that China’s observer role in CAN offers a channel to advance its global governance proposals, like the recent initiative unveiled at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Tianjin.
 
He also points out the natural fit between CAN’s treasures of gold, copper, and lithium and China’s need for materials for AI and electric vehicles.
 
Bilateral relations between China and Latin America have broadened and grown in recent years. Latin America’s resource richness meshes well with China’s market and tech strengths, promising mutual benefits.
 
Fostering these links and bringing industrial chains together will help Latin America modernize sustainably and open fresh opportunities for building a China-Latin America community sharing a common destiny, while invigorating global economic governance.
 
China to Push Regional Integration Forward

CAN members see China’s observer status as historically significant, expecting it to boost cooperation, economic integration, and sustainable development, safeguarding developing countries’ shared interests.
 
Chinese diplomat Zhang Liping from Colombia’s embassy expressed readiness to implement the “five major projects” under the China-Latin America community framework and start a new wave of bilateral and multilateral cooperation for mutual benefit.
 
China’s Track Record of Growing Latin America Partnerships

In reality, China has been steadily boosting ties with Latin American economies through forums like China-CELAC. The 4th ministerial meeting this May in Beijing saw regional leaders recognize China as a “good friend and partner,” focused on joint growth and resisting bullying.
 
On May 14, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian emphasized China-Latin America cooperation has overcome challenges and differences. China pledges to support Latin America on core interests and key issues, promote three global initiatives, uphold multilateral trade, defend international justice, and foster global peace.
 
This cooperation is entering a “golden decade” aimed at strengthening the Global South’s unity and building a shared future for humanity.

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