Will the US and Iran make peace? As of this writing, no one knows. Trump sounded optimistic, saying he was "close to a deal." Then the mood shifted. Reports emerged that key issues remained unresolved and Iran was holding firm. Trump hardened his tone, warning that if no agreement was reached by Wednesday, he would resume bombing Iran.
How the situation unfolds hinges partly on Israel's stance. Trump had earlier pressured Netanyahu to pause airstrikes on Lebanon, clearing the path for a US-Iran deal. But Israel's desire to destroy Iran has not faded — and Tel Aviv continues in working to shape Trump's decisions from the inside.
American media investigations have uncovered a deep and complex relationship between Trump and Netanyahu. At the centre of it stands US negotiating representative and presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner — along with his family. Bound together in a triangular alliance, they have long been steering Trump's Iran policy from the shadows.
Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu share a multi-generational family bond. Through his marriage to Trump's daughter, Kushner helped forge a "pro-Israel political alliance" between the two families — one that has shaped US decision-making on Iran.
Trump often points his finger at the Democrats and the left's so-called "deep state." The reality is, he has one of his own. It is a pro-Israel political bloc — a network of powerful figures in business and politics — that has quietly formed a "Jewish caucus" inside the White House. Kushner is one of its central members. Based on American media reporting, Wen Wei Po exposes how this caucus has been working hand-in-glove with Netanyahu to steer the war against Iran.
Kushner holds no official title, yet wields enormous influence over Middle Eastern affairs. Most striking is the multigenerational bond between his family and Netanyahu. A New York Times investigation revealed that the elder Kushner is a patriarch figure among Orthodox Jewish immigrant communities in America, having built his fortune through business. In the 1980s, when Netanyahu came to the United States to study, it was the elder Kushner who hosted him — in his New Jersey mansion, no less. Netanyahu occupied the bedroom of the young Jared Kushner, forcing the boy to relocate to the basement.
Netanyahu, grateful for the hospitality, came to regard the elder Kushner as a godfather figure. The two families became close across generations. Once Netanyahu rose to become Israel's Prime Minister, the ties grew even tighter.
In 2009, Kushner married Ivanka Trump. Chinese commentator Rabbit Chairman, citing American media reports, unearthed a telling anecdote: Kushner wanted his wife to renounce Christianity and convert to Judaism. Trump initially objected. After weighing the practical benefits, he came around — and reportedly joked, "Everyone thinks I'm Jewish anyway." From that point on, the two families formed a political and economic alliance through marriage, united by their shared conviction of "supporting Israel."
Through the Kushner family, Netanyahu has infiltrated the White House's inner circle of decision-makers, persistently pushing Trump to take a hardline approach toward Iran and resist any ceasefire.
Once Kushner became son-in-law, Trump treated him like his own son. He brought Kushner into the inner sanctum and entrusted him with political responsibility. As a Senior Adviser to the President, Kushner was involved in major Middle Eastern decisions — including handling the Gaza conflict. Given his longstanding ties with Netanyahu, he naturally became a vital conduit through which Netanyahu could influence US Iran policy, infiltrating the White House's decision-making circle.
This back channel was already at work during Trump's first term. In April 2018, Israeli intelligence agency Mossad completed a classified report on Iran's nuclear weapons development. Armed with it, Netanyahu lobbied Trump hard to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal signed by his predecessor Obama. Trump did exactly that. He reinstated sanctions against Iran, and tensions between the two countries ratcheted up once again.
Then in February this year, Netanyahu repeated the same playbook. He travelled to Washington in person to hard-sell Trump on a plan to "strike Iran in one decisive blow" — dragging the United States into a war against Iran. The pro-Israel alliance within the White House threw its full weight behind the plan. Through this coordinated inside-outside pressure, Trump was pushed into recklessly edging toward conflict.
Beyond Kushner, the White House's pro-Israel circle has another key player: Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff. A Jewish-American real estate magnate from New York, Witkoff has deep ties with Jewish heavyweights in financial circles — including the leadership of private equity giant Blackstone. He became a major fundraiser for both of Trump's presidential campaigns.
Witkoff is also an old friend of Netanyahu's — yet another inside channel for influencing the president's decisions. Trump, having received his financial backing, returned the favour by appointing Witkoff as Middle East envoy. That role gives Witkoff more sway over Middle Eastern affairs than Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Witkoff is one of the US representatives in the current Iran negotiations and clearly leans toward Israel, pushing Iran to its limits.
In his eagerness to wrap things up, Trump has recently leaned on Netanyahu not to "stir the pot" and derail the talks. Even so, Netanyahu continues to pull every lever available. He urges Trump that a US-Iran ceasefire "would be a disaster for Israel." He warns again that Iran could have a nuclear bomb within six months. He insists America must not show weakness. Trump's wavering stance is, in no small part, tied to this unseen hand at work.
On top of that, Jewish mega-donors have been stepping up their pressure. The wealthy Adelson family is said to have delivered an ultimatum to Trump: if the US makes peace with Iran, they will stop donating to him. Once the donors made their position known, a chorus of politicians and media figures quickly followed suit, attacking the Trump administration for being "soft on Iran."
US and Iranian representatives are set to return to the negotiating table soon. But whether a deal will be reached — or whether talks will collapse in fresh turmoil — remains full of uncertainty. Among the key variables: just how much influence Netanyahu and the White House's pro-Israel circle actually hold over Trump. On that front, the deep personal and family ties between the two men and their families will almost certainly be one of the factors that tips the balance.
Lai Ting-yiu
What Say You?
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