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The Most Laughable Lie of the New Year: Jimmy Lai's "Grave Illness" Falls Apart Under Five Hard Facts

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The Most Laughable Lie of the New Year: Jimmy Lai's "Grave Illness" Falls Apart Under Five Hard Facts
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The Most Laughable Lie of the New Year: Jimmy Lai's "Grave Illness" Falls Apart Under Five Hard Facts

2026-01-04 20:35 Last Updated At:01-16 09:41

Here's the opening act for 2026: Jimmy Lai faces sentencing, and right on cue, his daughter delivers a tearful BBC performance claiming her father is dying. She rattles off a dramatic list of supposedly terminal symptoms, blowing minor ailments wildly out of proportion. The most ridiculous fabrication to kick off the new year. 

Throughout last year's trial, she and her brother Sebastien Lai fed the same tale to American and British outlets, banking on the old adage that repeat a lie enough times and it becomes truth. But their shabby playbook won't work this time. Authorities have rolled out hard evidence again and again, systematically demolishing their clumsy deception. Here's the irony: people who know Lai well say his health risks ran sky-high before prison—he could have collapsed any moment. Behind bars? Those risks plummeted.

Jimmy Lai's daughter claims to BBC he's "near death" with critical symptoms – all wildly exaggerated. This year's most ridiculous lie yet.

Jimmy Lai's daughter claims to BBC he's "near death" with critical symptoms – all wildly exaggerated. This year's most ridiculous lie yet.

Jimmy Lai's conviction is final. Sentencing looms. The US and UK governments issue statements but take no action. His chances of walking free hover near zero. Yet his children refuse to quit. Their last card? Fabricate stories about their father's severe illness, hoping to manipulate foreign media into sympathy and manufacture public pressure. On New Year's Day, his daughter Claire Lai sat down with the BBC, tears flowing, painting a picture of extreme deterioration. Her "near-death" symptom checklist: grey-green fingernails falling off, rotting teeth, sudden heart problems he never had, weight loss, and lower back pain so severe he can barely stand. She catalogued every conceivable ailment to prove he's gravely ill and approaching the end.

They've recycled this performance repeatedly for foreign outlets—The Washington Post, Agence France-Presse, The Independent, and Nikkei Asian Review, etc. Jimmy Lai's international legal team amplifies the chorus, releasing a solemn "research report" on Lai's grave condition and going so far as to rush it to the United Nations. The theatrics are complete.

Evidence Crushes Fiction

The "health problems" Jimmy Lai's children trumpet are either grotesquely exaggerated or outright invented—utterly absurd. The Hong Kong government has systematically refuted each claim with concrete evidence. And Lai's recent court appearance to hear the verdict, where he displayed no abnormalities whatsoever, demolished their narrative all by itself.

Start with the grey-green, falling fingernails. Yesterday, while condemning the BBC report, the Hong Kong government revealed that Jimmy Lai had mentioned some nail issues to the Correctional Services Department last year. The institution's doctor prescribed ointment. He recovered. Since this minor problem got treated, his fingernails looked rosy and perfectly normal when he appeared in court recently.

I looked up what causes grey-green nails that fall off. Turns out it's just an infection from a type of bacillus. Some housewives and beauticians get this condition. You treat it with ointment and it clears up. Claire Lai presenting this as a symptom of grave illness? It terrifies people who don't know better and makes those who do burst out laughing.

Falling nails, rotted teeth? Just minor ailments already treated. Yet his children cry "near death" – laughably absurd.

Falling nails, rotted teeth? Just minor ailments already treated. Yet his children cry "near death" – laughably absurd.

As for rotting teeth, it's more surprising if someone doesn't have bad teeth at 78. The government stated that Jimmy Lai requested dental care in 2021 and 2022. The dentist treated him. No problems since. He hasn't raised any further requests. Claire Lai has inflated her father's dental issues by a factor of N, lying without batting an eye.

Medical Tests Expose the Truth

During the trial in August last year, Jimmy Lai told the Correctional Services Department he experienced rapid heartbeat and palpitations. These are normal reactions to anxiety and tension. But the department didn't take chances. The Lai Chi Kok Reception Centre medical team conducted blood tests and electrocardiograms. They found nothing wrong. As a precaution, the team recommended he wear a Holter monitor. He initially refused but later agreed. Since then? No abnormalities detected. His heart is healthy.

Regarding Claire Lai's claim that her father has "lower back pain, sometimes even when standing, with difficulty getting up and walking," authorities don't even need medical evidence to refute this. Simply watch him move normally in court—no cane, no assistance required. That proves Claire Lai's claims are false. Even if he does have some backache, it's utterly common at his age.

Now consider the weight loss. Jimmy Lai's nickname is "Fat Lai." He's been overweight for years. Losing weight after imprisonment isn't just normal—it's a sign of improvement. The Correctional Services Department takes his physical condition seriously, conducting regular examinations. They certainly wouldn't let him balloon up or waste away.

Prison Actually Saved His Health

A friend who knows Jimmy Lai well told me his lifestyle before imprisonment was extremely "indulgent." He chronically overate and drank, ignoring his diabetes and obesity, still gorging on braised pork belly. His health risks ran sky-high. If that continued, his body would certainly face serious problems. In contrast, after imprisonment, his risks have dropped dramatically thanks to normal diet and regular routine.

Claire Lai keeps "making empty boasts." Western media and politicians continue treating fiction as fact, even though they know she's deceiving them. But even so, this cannot change the final outcome fast approaching for Jimmy Lai.

Lai Ting-yiu




What Say You?

** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **

2026 marks a turning point. As Churchill famously declared during World War II's closing stages, we're witnessing "the beginning of the end." That great catastrophe moved toward its conclusion—and so too is Hong Kong's period of turbulence.

The evidence speaks for itself: Jimmy Lai, already convicted, faces sentencing next year (2026). The "35+ subversion case" will see several major pan-democratic figures released by mid-year, likely retreating from public life for good. And Joshua Wong's trial looms on the horizon, expected around mid-year, bringing another chapter to a close.

Lai's guilty verdict is in. Sentencing starts January 12. Everyone awaits the verdict.

Lai's guilty verdict is in. Sentencing starts January 12. Everyone awaits the verdict.

The era these figures represented is ending—and that's precisely when Hong Kong's steady progress in stability truly begins.

Lai's Sentence: The Clock Is Ticking

The court has already found Jimmy Lai guilty of "colluding with foreign forces." Mitigation begins January 12, with sentencing to follow. The Hong Kong National Security Law leaves no room for ambiguity: serious offenses carry a minimum 10-year term, with life imprisonment as the ceiling. The weight of his punishment will become clear when the judge delivers the verdict.

Consider the precedent: Benny Tai Yiu-ting, the "35+ subversion case" ringleader, faced a 15-year sentencing starting point under the same National Security Law. His guilty plea from the outset reduced his term to 10 years. Lai differs in one crucial respect—he never pleaded guilty. The math isn't complicated.

Public attention now shifts to the eight defendants who pleaded guilty in Lai's case. This group includes former Apple Daily senior executives Cheung Kim-hung, Chan Pui-man, Lo Wai-kwong, Fung Wai-kong, Lam Man-chung, and Yeung Ching-kei, along with "Stand With Hong Kong" members Andy Chan Tsz-wah and Li Yu-hin. A guilty plea typically brings reduced sentences. But five of them—Cheung, Chan Pui-man, Yeung, Andy Chan, and Li—went further, serving as accomplice witnesses whose testimony helped secure Lai's conviction. Their cooperation means significantly lighter sentences and much shorter time behind bars.

Exits and Early Releases

The "35+ subversion case" offers instructive parallels. Au Nok-hin, a key primary election coordinator, initially faced at least 12 years. His guilty plea, demonstrated remorse, and agreement to testify for the prosecution cut his sentence to 6 years and 9 months. Counting from his arrest and remand, he's already served 5 years—release isn't far off.

Another defendant, Andrew Chiu Ka-yin, originally received 7 years. Good prison conduct and genuine remorse earned him leniency—he walked free two months ago.

These two cases set the pattern. If Cheung Kim-hung and the other accomplice witnesses receive substantial reductions, their release may be imminent. All have reportedly calmed down and focused on self-discipline during custody. Once free, they're expected to return to normal lives, avoiding any entanglement with political controversies.

Returning to the "35+ subversion case": eight convicted defendants currently serving sentences will be eligible for release next year. The list includes two major Democratic Party figures—Wu Chi-wai and Andrew Wan Siu-kin—plus former Civic Party leader Alvin Yeung Ngok-kiu. Wu and Wan are due for release in June and July respectively. Friends who've visited them report both are in good health and spirits. Their plans? Emigrate with their families, withdraw from public life, and sever all ties with politics.

As for Alvin Yeung, he pleaded guilty at the first opportunity after arrest and even volunteered to become an accomplice witness—though that offer wasn't accepted. This demonstrates clear regret for his actions. After release, he's expected to return to a proper life path, bidding farewell to his radical years.

Joshua Wong's turn. Collusion charges plus money laundering—another national security spectacle begins.

Joshua Wong's turn. Collusion charges plus money laundering—another national security spectacle begins.

Wong's Turn in the Spotlight

As one chapter closes, another major national security case is about to open. Joshua Wong faces charges of "colluding with foreign forces." His case will be mentioned in court again next year before being committed to the High Court for trial. Wong was already serving a sentence for other offenses when, on June 6 this year, he was arrested in prison and charged with "colluding with foreign forces"—along with a separate count of "money laundering." Like Lai's case, this one involves extensive evidence of intricate connections with foreign governments and politicians, including both public materials and confidential documents. It will draw major attention.

In the past, Wong was lauded by prominent US political figures like Democratic Party leader Nancy Pelosi and became a "darling" of Western media—even appearing on Time magazine's cover. Once trial begins, he'll likely become, like Jimmy Lai, a focal point of attention for Western countries. No doubt another round of commotion will follow.

That said, whatever foreign countries may do, Joshua Wong's case outcome can only be decided by Hong Kong's courts. What final fate awaits this figure? Everyone can grab their popcorn and watch.

Lai Ting-yiu

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