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The G7's Death Rattle: When Your Club Becomes a One-Man Show

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The G7's Death Rattle: When Your Club Becomes a One-Man Show
Blog

Blog

The G7's Death Rattle: When Your Club Becomes a One-Man Show

2025-06-19 17:58 Last Updated At:17:58

The 50th anniversary G7 summit in Canada wasn't exactly the celebration organizers had in mind. Instead of marking half a century of Western cooperation, it highlighted just how irrelevant this old boys' club has become.

When Success Means "Trump Didn't Storm Out"

Bloomberg's Andreas Kluth really nailed it when he described how the summit's success was measured simply by "avoiding a rage quit by the American guest". Think about that for a moment – we're talking about the supposed premier forum of Western democracies, and their definition of victory is basically keeping one guy from having a tantrum and leaving early.

Bloomberg's brutal assessment says it all: the G7 has devolved into a dysfunctional family dinner where everyone's just hoping dad doesn't flip the table.

Bloomberg's brutal assessment says it all: the G7 has devolved into a dysfunctional family dinner where everyone's just hoping dad doesn't flip the table.

And yet, Trump did exactly that anyway, departing on June 16th citing "Middle East situation" as his excuse. The man literally couldn't even stick around for the full show. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney had to cancel the traditional final communiqué altogether – you know things are bad when you can't even agree on a piece of paper to wave around for the cameras.

The whole thing was so dysfunctional that a Canadian official reportedly described hosting the summit as "like preparing the red carpet for Godzilla". That's not exactly the diplomatic language you'd expect, but it perfectly captures the mood.

America First vs. Everyone Else

The fundamental problem here isn't just Trump's personality – though that certainly doesn't help. It's that American interests have diverged so dramatically from its supposed allies that they're basically operating in different universes.

Take the Middle East crisis. While French President Macron and others are pushing for Israel to dial down the escalation with Iran, Trump's over there cheerleading Israeli strikes as "excellent," showing how pleased he is with Israel for its “mission”. While Macron is working on UN conferences about the Two-State Solution, Trump's ambassador to Israel openly rejects the very concept.

On Ukraine, the gap between the US and G6 is even wider. Trump's promising to end the war "in one day" while European leaders are scrambling to figure out how to keep supporting Kyiv without American backing.

The personal dynamics didn't help either. Among those invited to the Summit, quite a number have had unpleasant experience with Trump. Ukrainian President Zelensky got into heated arguments with Trump right in front of White House media, and South African President Ramaphosa was ambushed by Trump, again, on live news cameras, with videos about alleged "racial genocide against whites". Not to say Trump’s open remarks about making Canada the 51st state of the US, and taking over Greenland.

And if all that wasn't enough, Trump's "reciprocal tariff" war against every trading partner has a July 9th deadline looming – talk about adding economic warfare to diplomatic chaos. This isn't exactly new territory either; back in 2018, Trump pulled the same stunt, refusing to sign the G7 joint communiqué and publicly trashing then-Canadian PM Trudeau as "dishonest and weak". Once is a tantrum, twice is a pattern.

The Numbers Don't Lie: G7's Shrinking Relevance

Here's where things get really interesting – and this is something Western media tends to gloss over. The G7's economic clout has been hemorrhaging for decades. But this decline isn't just about numbers – it's about the fundamental collapse of what the G7 was supposed to represent.

When you can't even manage a joint statement anymore, maybe it's time to admit your club's lost its purpose. The empty chairs tell the real story of Western "unity."

When you can't even manage a joint statement anymore, maybe it's time to admit your club's lost its purpose. The empty chairs tell the real story of Western "unity."

Remember, this club was born back in the 1970s to deal with oil crisis and huge economic problems. At the initiative of West Germany and France, the leading industrialized democracies convened their first regular meeting to manage a troubled world.  It was meant to be Western countries coordinating their positions on major economic and strategic issues during genuine crises.

But that shared purpose? It's gone. As Bloomberg's analysis brutally puts it: "The underlying issue is that Trump doesn't share the values of the other six democracies and no longer has any checks on his whims. To the extent that the G-7 used to embody 'the West,' that common basis is gone." Those "Western values" the G7 once symbolized simply don't exist anymore when the biggest player is operating from a completely different playbook.

The conclusion is as stark as it gets: "That era is gone. So is the reason for having the G-7 at all." When your founding principles have evaporated, what exactly are you meeting about?

And the economic data backs this up perfectly. According to IMF data highlighted in the Nikkei analysis, the G6 (excluding the US) saw their combined share of global GDP crash from 35% in 2000 to just 18% in 2024. Japan's decline has been particularly brutal, dropping from 15% of global GDP in 2000 to a mere 4% in 2024. No wonder Trump's looking at these guys like yesterday's news.

Meanwhile, China's sitting pretty at 17% of global GDP in 2024 – almost matching the entire G6 combined. That's not just impressive; it's a complete reordering of global economic power that the G7 framework simply wasn't designed to handle.

The New Kids Are Taking Over

While the G7's been busy with its internal drama, the rest of the world hasn't been sitting idle. China and other emerging economies have been rising rapidly, with China becoming the "world's factory" and achieving high-speed growth that surpassed post-war Japan. In 2024, China's GDP accounted for 17% of the global total – almost matching the entire G6 combined.

Meanwhile, the BRICS mechanism led by China, Brazil, Russia, India, and South Africa continues to grow stronger. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE, Iran, and Ethiopia all became official BRICS members at the beginning of last year, dramatically expanding the bloc's reach.

More than half the world's people and nearly half its economic output is now organized under a framework that explicitly positions itself as an alternative to Western-dominated institutions. While the G7 argues about communiqués, BRICS is quietly building the future.




Deep Throat

** The blog article is the sole responsibility of the author and does not represent the position of our company. **

Trump just rolled out another tariff threat, and this time Iran's trading partners are in his crosshairs. On January 12, the US president announced a blanket 25% tariff on any country "doing business" with Tehran.

The international press immediately fixated on China—Iran's biggest trade partner. Reuters warned this could reignite the US–China trade war and shred the fragile truce both sides hammered out last year. But Chinese scholars aren't buying it. They say Trump lacks the nerve to slap Beijing with new tariffs, because China will hit back hard—and make him regret it.

Anti-government protests erupt in Iran. (AP photo)

Anti-government protests erupt in Iran. (AP photo)

The Financial Times reported on January 12 that these tariffs—which took effect immediately—could slam China, India, Turkey, Pakistan, the UAE, Brazil, and Iraq. All of them trade heavily with Iran. Russia sealed a new free trade deal with Iran in 2025, making it another potential target.

CNN pointed out the stakes for Beijing. China trades with both Iran and the US, so if Washington applies these tariffs, Chinese goods entering America could see costs spike. The network recalled that after last year's summit in Busan, South Korea, the Chinese and US presidents agreed to pause portions of their tariff war—a temporary truce.

Iran as Flashpoint, Again

Reuters published a piece on January 13 titled "Trump's Iran Tariff Threat Risks Reopening China Rift." The article traced how Iran became a powder keg in US–China relations during Trump's first term (2017–2021).

Back then, Washington tightened sanctions on Tehran and blacklisted Huawei, accusing the Chinese telecom giant of selling tech to Iran. That led to the arrest of Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei's daughter, Meng Wanzhou, in Canada—triggering a diplomatic crisis and sending bilateral tensions through the roof.

Now Trump's targeting Iran again. If he follows through, total US tariffs on Chinese exports could exceed 70%—way higher than the rates both sides agreed to last October when they dialed down their trade fight.

It's still unclear which countries or entities Trump will actually target. He hasn't named China explicitly. But Reuters noted Trump has a track record of making bombastic statements that could upend US foreign policy—only to back off later.

US–China "truce" forged in Busan last year now at risk if Trump's Iran tariffs target Beijing. (AP file photo)

US–China "truce" forged in Busan last year now at risk if Trump's Iran tariffs target Beijing. (AP file photo)

Beijing Calls Trump's Bluff

Wu Xinbo, Dean of Fudan University's School of International Relations, told Reuters that China sees through Trump's posturing. "China will call (Trump's) bluff. I can assure you that Trump has no guts to impose the extra 25% tariffs on China, and if he does, China will retaliate and he will be punished," said Wu.

Another Chinese scholar pushed back on the narrative that China and Iran are economically intertwined, noting that "China and Iran are not as close as in the public imagination".

China Customs data backs that up. Beijing has dramatically reduced imports from Iran in recent years. Through November last year, China imported just 2.9 billion USD worth of Iranian goods—a far cry from the 21 billion USD peak in 2018, during Trump's first presidency.

Some sources claim China's major oil companies stopped doing business with Iran in 2022. Yet China's purchases from Tehran still run into the billions, thanks to independent refiners handling shipments.

China as Convenient Scapegoat

Wang Jin, a researcher at Beijing's Dialogue Think Tank, told reporters that "China is just an excuse, a kind of disguise for the Trump administration, to impose new pressure (on) Iran."

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning responded to Trump's tariff threat on January 13. She stated that China's position on tariffs is crystal clear: tariff wars produce no winners. Beijing will firmly defend its legitimate rights and interests.

Analysts warn that Trump's renewed attempt to cut Iran off from global trade could heighten worries about the Belt and Road Initiative. Iran serves as a strategic hub for Chinese goods heading to the Middle East.

This tariff gambit has cast doubt on Trump's planned April visit to China. Observers had expected him to seal a comprehensive trade deal with Beijing during that trip.

The Wall Street Journal echoed Reuters' concerns, warning that new tariffs on Iran's trading partners could wreck the US–China trade truce.

But Reuters also cited Xu Tianchen, a senior analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit, who questioned whether Trump's tariff policy is even enforceable. "Last year he announced tariffs related to 'illicit' Russian oil trade, but their implementation was patchy." Xu said.

He went on stating that "Trump is also the kind of person who likes bullying the weak," Xu said. "He should manage his actions to avoid these tariffs escalating into direct confrontation with China".

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