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Trump's "Big and Beautiful" Gamble: How America Risks Falling Further Behind Asia's Electric Revolution

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Trump's "Big and Beautiful" Gamble: How America Risks Falling Further Behind Asia's Electric Revolution
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Trump's "Big and Beautiful" Gamble: How America Risks Falling Further Behind Asia's Electric Revolution

2025-07-03 10:38 Last Updated At:10:38

After more than 24 hours of political theater in the Senate, Trump's so-called "Big and Beautiful" bill finally squeaked through on Tuesday with Vice President JD Vance casting the deciding vote in a nail-biting 50-50 tie. Three Republican senators jumped ship, but it wasn't enough to sink what many are calling a legislative gamble that could backfire spectacularly.

The "Big and Beautiful" bill squeaked through the Senate after JD Vance cast the tie-breaking vote. AP Photo

The "Big and Beautiful" bill squeaked through the Senate after JD Vance cast the tie-breaking vote. AP Photo

The bill's premise sounds simple enough: extend the corporate and individual tax cuts from Trump's first rodeo in office. But to pay for it, they're axing subsidies for wind, solar, and other renewable energy projects. It's a move that has industry analysts scratching their heads and wondering if Washington has completely lost the plot on where the global economy is heading.

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The "Big and Beautiful" bill squeaked through the Senate after JD Vance cast the tie-breaking vote. AP Photo

The "Big and Beautiful" bill squeaked through the Senate after JD Vance cast the tie-breaking vote. AP Photo

Scrapping renewable subsidies could leave America even further behind Asia's electrification surge.

Scrapping renewable subsidies could leave America even further behind Asia's electrification surge.

Musk's Twitter meltdown over the bill sparked a public spat with Trump. AP File Photo

Musk's Twitter meltdown over the bill sparked a public spat with Trump. AP File Photo

Trump points fingers at Fed Chair Powell as debt crisis deepens.

Trump points fingers at Fed Chair Powell as debt crisis deepens.

While America Debates, Asia Powers Ahead

Here's where things get a bit embarrassing for American policymakers. Bloomberg's number-crunching reveals that since 2000, US electrification has basically been treading water while Asian countries have been racing ahead like they're in some kind of clean energy Olympics.

The math is pretty stark when you look at it. China's electricity share of final energy consumption is pushing 30%, according to research from the Rocky Mountain Institute using International Energy Agency data. Meanwhile, the US and EU are stuck at around 22% – roughly the same place they were two decades ago. That's not exactly the kind of "America First" leadership Trump likes to talk about.

Scrapping renewable subsidies could leave America even further behind Asia's electrification surge.

Scrapping renewable subsidies could leave America even further behind Asia's electrification surge.

What makes this even more telling is the economic logic behind it all. Most Asian countries are net importers of fossil fuels, so going electric isn't just good for the planet – it's good for their wallets and energy security. America, sitting pretty as the world's top oil and gas producer, doesn't feel that same pinch. But that short-term thinking might just be setting the US up for a long-term strategic disaster.

Asian countries like Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Indonesia are ramping up their power equipment manufacturing at breakneck speed, driven by surging electricity demand. They're not just talking about energy transition – they're actually doing it, while America seems more interested in political point-scoring than practical progress.

Musk vs. Trump: When Billionaires Collide

Nothing quite captures the chaos of modern American politics like watching two of the country's most prominent figures duke it out on social media over energy policy. Elon Musk, never one to mince words, went absolutely ballistic over the "Big and Beautiful" bill, warning it would be a "massive strategic error" that would "destroy millions of jobs in America and cause immense strategic harm to our country".

Musk's Twitter meltdown over the bill sparked a public spat with Trump. AP File Photo

Musk's Twitter meltdown over the bill sparked a public spat with Trump. AP File Photo

The Tesla boss didn't stop there – he fired off dozens of tweets and even threatened to start his own political party called the "American Party" if the bill passed. That's when Trump decided to remind everyone who's boss, suggesting he might "take a look" at deporting Musk and telling him not to play this game with him. "If DOGE looks at Musk, we're going to save a fortune," he told reporters.

The whole spat reveals something deeper about America's energy future. Musk's fury isn't just about protecting Tesla's bottom line – though the bill's proposal to scrap tax exemptions for electric vehicle buyers certainly doesn't help his business. It's about watching America potentially sabotage its own chances in the industries that will define the next century.

Debt Mountain Gets Bigger, Blame Game Gets Louder

Here's the bit that should really worry anyone paying attention to America's fiscal future: this bill is going to make the debt crisis significantly worse, not better. We're talking about a country where annual interest payments on federal debt already exceed military spending and are roughly equal to what gets spent on Medicare each year.

The Congressional Budget Office isn't pulling any punches – they're projecting that debt interest payments will increase by an average of $55 billion annually over the next decade, possibly more. Meanwhile, the bill is expected to squeeze the poorest American families by nearly 4% while boosting incomes for the wealthiest by over 2%. That's not exactly the populist economics Trump campaigned on.

But rather than own up to the fiscal math, Trump's doing what he does best – pointing fingers. This time, it's Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell who's getting the heat, with Trump demanding interest rates be slashed to 1% to save "trillions in interest costs." He even sent Powell a handwritten letter spelling out exactly what he wants, which is either charmingly old-school or slightly unhinged, depending on your perspective.

Trump points fingers at Fed Chair Powell as debt crisis deepens.

Trump points fingers at Fed Chair Powell as debt crisis deepens.

The reality is that Trump's looking for someone else to clean up the mess his policies are creating. His tariff wars are already squeezing consumers and stoking inflation, and now this bill threatens to pile more debt onto an already groaning system. Blaming the Fed is classic political theater, but it doesn't change the underlying arithmetic.

What we're witnessing isn't just bad policy – it's America potentially sleepwalking into strategic irrelevance while other parts of the world sprint toward the future. The "Big and Beautiful" bill might deliver short-term political wins, but the long-term costs could be anything but beautiful.




Deep Throat

** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **

The 50th anniversary G7 summit in Canada wasn't exactly the celebration organizers had in mind. Instead of marking half a century of Western cooperation, it highlighted just how irrelevant this old boys' club has become.

When Success Means "Trump Didn't Storm Out"

Bloomberg's Andreas Kluth really nailed it when he described how the summit's success was measured simply by "avoiding a rage quit by the American guest". Think about that for a moment – we're talking about the supposed premier forum of Western democracies, and their definition of victory is basically keeping one guy from having a tantrum and leaving early.

Bloomberg's brutal assessment says it all: the G7 has devolved into a dysfunctional family dinner where everyone's just hoping dad doesn't flip the table.

Bloomberg's brutal assessment says it all: the G7 has devolved into a dysfunctional family dinner where everyone's just hoping dad doesn't flip the table.

And yet, Trump did exactly that anyway, departing on June 16th citing "Middle East situation" as his excuse. The man literally couldn't even stick around for the full show. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney had to cancel the traditional final communiqué altogether – you know things are bad when you can't even agree on a piece of paper to wave around for the cameras.

The whole thing was so dysfunctional that a Canadian official reportedly described hosting the summit as "like preparing the red carpet for Godzilla". That's not exactly the diplomatic language you'd expect, but it perfectly captures the mood.

America First vs. Everyone Else

The fundamental problem here isn't just Trump's personality – though that certainly doesn't help. It's that American interests have diverged so dramatically from its supposed allies that they're basically operating in different universes.

Take the Middle East crisis. While French President Macron and others are pushing for Israel to dial down the escalation with Iran, Trump's over there cheerleading Israeli strikes as "excellent," showing how pleased he is with Israel for its “mission”. While Macron is working on UN conferences about the Two-State Solution, Trump's ambassador to Israel openly rejects the very concept.

On Ukraine, the gap between the US and G6 is even wider. Trump's promising to end the war "in one day" while European leaders are scrambling to figure out how to keep supporting Kyiv without American backing.

The personal dynamics didn't help either. Among those invited to the Summit, quite a number have had unpleasant experience with Trump. Ukrainian President Zelensky got into heated arguments with Trump right in front of White House media, and South African President Ramaphosa was ambushed by Trump, again, on live news cameras, with videos about alleged "racial genocide against whites". Not to say Trump’s open remarks about making Canada the 51st state of the US, and taking over Greenland.

And if all that wasn't enough, Trump's "reciprocal tariff" war against every trading partner has a July 9th deadline looming – talk about adding economic warfare to diplomatic chaos. This isn't exactly new territory either; back in 2018, Trump pulled the same stunt, refusing to sign the G7 joint communiqué and publicly trashing then-Canadian PM Trudeau as "dishonest and weak". Once is a tantrum, twice is a pattern.

The Numbers Don't Lie: G7's Shrinking Relevance

Here's where things get really interesting – and this is something Western media tends to gloss over. The G7's economic clout has been hemorrhaging for decades. But this decline isn't just about numbers – it's about the fundamental collapse of what the G7 was supposed to represent.

When you can't even manage a joint statement anymore, maybe it's time to admit your club's lost its purpose. The empty chairs tell the real story of Western "unity."

When you can't even manage a joint statement anymore, maybe it's time to admit your club's lost its purpose. The empty chairs tell the real story of Western "unity."

Remember, this club was born back in the 1970s to deal with oil crisis and huge economic problems. At the initiative of West Germany and France, the leading industrialized democracies convened their first regular meeting to manage a troubled world.  It was meant to be Western countries coordinating their positions on major economic and strategic issues during genuine crises.

But that shared purpose? It's gone. As Bloomberg's analysis brutally puts it: "The underlying issue is that Trump doesn't share the values of the other six democracies and no longer has any checks on his whims. To the extent that the G-7 used to embody 'the West,' that common basis is gone." Those "Western values" the G7 once symbolized simply don't exist anymore when the biggest player is operating from a completely different playbook.

The conclusion is as stark as it gets: "That era is gone. So is the reason for having the G-7 at all." When your founding principles have evaporated, what exactly are you meeting about?

And the economic data backs this up perfectly. According to IMF data highlighted in the Nikkei analysis, the G6 (excluding the US) saw their combined share of global GDP crash from 35% in 2000 to just 18% in 2024. Japan's decline has been particularly brutal, dropping from 15% of global GDP in 2000 to a mere 4% in 2024. No wonder Trump's looking at these guys like yesterday's news.

Meanwhile, China's sitting pretty at 17% of global GDP in 2024 – almost matching the entire G6 combined. That's not just impressive; it's a complete reordering of global economic power that the G7 framework simply wasn't designed to handle.

The New Kids Are Taking Over

While the G7's been busy with its internal drama, the rest of the world hasn't been sitting idle. China and other emerging economies have been rising rapidly, with China becoming the "world's factory" and achieving high-speed growth that surpassed post-war Japan. In 2024, China's GDP accounted for 17% of the global total – almost matching the entire G6 combined.

Meanwhile, the BRICS mechanism led by China, Brazil, Russia, India, and South Africa continues to grow stronger. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE, Iran, and Ethiopia all became official BRICS members at the beginning of last year, dramatically expanding the bloc's reach.

More than half the world's people and nearly half its economic output is now organized under a framework that explicitly positions itself as an alternative to Western-dominated institutions. While the G7 argues about communiqués, BRICS is quietly building the future.

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