特朗普近日不斷在Twitter上宣布自己贏得大選，比如他在16日用大寫的“I WIN 我贏了”，他稱“在底特律，選票數遠遠超過了當地人口數。沒有什麼能掩蓋這個巨大的騙局。我贏了密歇根州。”，但這些言論都已經被標註“有爭議”的標識。
特朗普基本上是在輸打蠃要：拜登選票多是因為欺詐；即便拜登選票多些，我也要讓選舉人不把票投給你。 例證如下：CNN 報導，特朗普之前聯絡了密歇根州州議會共和黨領袖Mike Shirkey，再通過他邀請密歇根州的共和黨議員於20日前往白宮。特朗普的私人律師朱利安尼說，這是要讓密歇根州共和黨議員推舉親特朗普的選舉人，直接無視拜登的勝利，一舉“顛覆結果”。
早前，在密歇根州還在初步計票之時，一發現拜登選票領先特朗普後，特朗普團隊就立即發聲明稱對該州法院提起訴訟，要求暫停計票。在訴訟失敗後，特朗普又要通過人為操作來否決拜登的勝利。這是在利用手中的權力來干預大選結果。
另，彭博社報導，G20峰會開幕現場直播，在沙特阿拉伯國王薩勒曼致開幕詞時，特朗普一直低著頭，心不在焉。就在薩勒曼花了大約9分鐘念完他的演講稿之際，特朗普發了一則推文，提到他和密歇根州共和黨領袖的會面，他誓言： “我們將揭發大規模和前所未有的欺詐！”
這些困獸猶鬥之舉，都說明了特朗普是不死心的，但他提不出任何證據支撐其“選舉操控”指控，大選的結果沒翻盤可能。 而蓬佩奧日前，數次大言不慚的說，"美國政府將過度到特朗普第二任期" ，他的意思是特朗普贏了大選，會繼續執政。
這兩位大話精政客極不愿失去了權力 ，輸掉大選是他們不甘心的，難以承認失敗，正在經歷痛苦的心理掙扎。可大選勝負已定，西方及很多其他國家的領袖已向拜登祝賀，拜登也在籌備著入主白宮。不管特朗普是否心甘，然大勢已去。特朗普及同伙拒絕承認敗選只是他們輸不起，自己把自己變成一個笑話。但，他們改變不了現實。
郭偉忠 測量師
香港建設專業聯會理事
香港建設專業聯會
** 博客文章文責自負,不代表本公司立場 **
I would like to introduce STEPHEN S. ROACH's essay, he is a faculty member at Yale University and the former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia,as follows :
Just as China led the world in economic recovery in the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2008, it is playing a similar role today. Its post-COVID rebound is gathering momentum amid a developed world that remains on shaky ground. Unfortunately, this is a bitter pill for many to swallow – especially in the United States, where demonization of China has reached epic proportions.
The two crises are, of course, different.... But in both cases, China’s crisis-response strategy was far more effective than that deployed by the US. In the five years following the onset of the 2008 crisis, annual real GDP growth in China averaged 8.6% (on a purchasing power parity basis)... , it was four times the US economy’s anemic 2.1% average annual growth over the post-crisis 2010-14 period.
China’s pandemic response hints at a comparable outcome in the years ahead. The GDP report for the third quarter of 2020 suggests a rapid return to the pre-COVID trend. The 4.9% year-on-year figure for real GDP growth does not convey a full sense of the self-sustaining recovery that is now emerging in China. Measuring economic growth on a sequential quarterly basis and converting those comparisons to annual rates – the preferred construct of US statisticians and policymakers – provides a much cleaner sense of real-time shifts in the underlying momentum of any economy. On that basis, China’s real GDP rose at an 11% sequential annual rate in the third quarter, following a 55% post-lockdown surge in the second quarter.
The comparison with the US is noteworthy. Both economies experienced comparable contractions during their respective lockdowns, which came one quarter later for the US. China’s 33.8% sequential (annualized) plunge in the first quarter was almost identical to the 31.2% US contraction in the second quarter...,the US at around 35% is a welcome and marked turnaround from the record decline during the lockdown, it is about 20 percentage points short of China’s post-lockdown rebound...
Post-lockdown rebounds are not the real story,..., The true test comes after the snapback, and that’s where China’s strategy has its greatest advantage.
China’s response to COVID-19 borrowed a page from its playbook in 2008, when it ring-fenced its financial markets from the toxic fallout of the subprime crisis....., containing and mitigating the spread of the disease, and then – and only then – make judicious use of monetary and fiscal policy to reinforce the post-lockdown snapback. This is very different from the approach taken in the US, where the post-lockdown debate is more about using monetary and fiscal policies as front-line instruments of economic liberation, rather than relying on disciplined public-health measures aimed at virus containment.
This underscores the sharp contrast between China’s COVID-first strategy and the America-first approach of US President Donald Trump’s administration. In China, unlike the US, there is no political and public resistance to masks, social distancing, and aggressive testing as requisite norms of the COVID-19 era. Meanwhile, the US is in the midst of its third serious wave of infection while China continues to exercise prompt and effective control over new outbreaks.....
unemployment insurance claims remained above 800,000 on a four-week moving average through mid-October, and the 7.9% national unemployment rate in September was still more than double its pre-pandemic 3.5% level – leaves America’s consumer-led economy highly vulnerable to a setback. The confluence of a new COVID-19 wave with the on-again, off-again political debate over another fiscal relief package has effectively neutralized the animal spirits that have long powered economic recovery in the US.
... For those unwilling to focus on containment, like the US, the long shadow of COVID-19 speaks volumes to the ever-present perils of a double-dip recession. That is exactly what has happened in the aftermath of eight of the last 11 US recessions. The contrast with China’s self-sustaining recovery couldn’t be more striking.
What the professor stated is frank and valid. Life is sometimes compared to a doyage. Life, if exists, of a country, may do the same.
S. L. Lee Engineer
HKFDP
